Current election polls and polling data from Redfield & Wilton Strategies

Latest voting intention survey by Redfield & Wilton Strategies for United Kingdom

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, the parties received the following results: Labour 42%, Reform UK 19%, Tories 18%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 10000 people during the period 24.06.2024 - 24.06.2024.
10000 participants
21.06.2024 - 24.06.2024
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Lab
42.0
-1.0
Reform
19.0
+1.0
Con
18.0
±0.0
LDEM
12.0
±0.0
Greens
6.0
+1.0
SNP
3.0
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
274
42.2%
Greens
39
6%
SNP
19
2.9%
LDEM
78
12%
Con
117
18%
Reform
123
18.9%
Labour + Tories
60.2%
Labour + Liberal Democrats
54.2%
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
51.1%

58

PolitPro Score

Redfield & Wilton Strategies achieves a score of 58/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
Con
20
49
31
Greens
23
72
5
LDEM
3
58
39
Lab
17
49
34
Reform
7
68
25
SNP
8
92
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

3.3

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Redfield & Wilton Strategies pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.3 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
3.3
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2024 8/9

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.