Latest voting intention survey by Savanta ComRes for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Savanta ComRes, the parties received the following results: Labour 42%, Tories 21%, Reform UK 14%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Green Party 5% and Scottish National Party 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2092 people during the period 24.06.2024 - 24.06.2024.
2092 participants
21.06.2024 - 24.06.2024
Savanta ComRes
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Lab
42.0
±0.0
Con
21.0
+2.0
Reform
14.0
-2.0
LDEM
10.0
+1.0
Greens
5.0
±0.0
SNP
4.0
+1.0
Others
4.0
-2.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
285
43.8%
Greens
33
5.1%
SNP
27
4.2%
LDEM
67
10.3%
Con
143
22%
Reform
95
14.6%
Labour + Tories
Labour + Liberal Democrats
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
61
PolitPro Score
Savanta ComRes achieves a score of 61/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Savanta ComRes pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
Deviation | Election | Rank |
---|---|---|
2.73
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2024 | 4/9 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.