Latest voting intention survey by Techne for United Kingdom
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in United Kingdom conducted by Techne, the parties received the following results: Labour 26%, Tories 25%, Reform UK 23%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Green Party 7% and Scottish National Party 2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1624 people during the period 16.01.2025 - 16.01.2025.
1624 participants
15.01.2025 - 16.01.2025
Techne
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Seats in parliament
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
179
27.5%
Greens
48
7.4%
SNP
13
2%
LDEM
81
12.5%
Con
171
26.3%
Reform
158
24.3%
Labour + Tories
Tories + Reform UK
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.8
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Techne pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.8 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.8
|
Parliamentary Election in Großbritannien 2024 | 5/9 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
We compare pre-election polls from the institutes with the actual election results. This involves calculating the average deviation of party values and deriving an overall average. All parties with an election result of 3% or higher are included in the calculation.