These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

BMG

N/A

June 4, 2024 - June 5, 2024

1534 respondents

Next General election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the BMG projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 42.2% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from BMG?

In the latest UK General Election poll, conducted by BMG on June 5, 2024, Labour secures 42% of the vote, with Tories: 23%, Reform UK: 16%, Liberal Democrats: 9%, Green Party: 6% and Scottish National Party: 4% trailing.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the BMG Projection?

PolitPro Score

BMG achieved a PolitPro Score of 66 out of 100.

Election Accuracy

On average, BMG's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 24% of polls, BMG rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 53% of polls, BMG rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 41% of polls, BMG rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 24% of polls, BMG rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Labour

In 47% of polls, BMG rated Labour lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

BMG at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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