Latest Opinion Poll for the UK Election (BMG Research, May 29, 2025)

May 28, 2025 - May 29, 2025

1510 respondents

Next General election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the BMG Research projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 24.6% of the parliamentary seats.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the BMG Research Projection?

72

PolitPro Score

BMG Research achieved a PolitPro Score of 72 out of 100.

1.5

Election Accuracy

On average, BMG Research's figures deviate by 1.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

BMG Research at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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