These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

BMG Research

N/A

May 28, 2025 - May 29, 2025

1510 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the BMG Research projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 24.6% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from BMG Research?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by BMG Research, Reform UK leads with 31%. They are followed by Labour: 24%, Tories: 18%, Liberal Democrats: 13%, Green Party: 9%, Scottish National Party: 3% and Plaid Cymru: 0%. Other parties secure 2% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the BMG Research Projection?

PolitPro Score

BMG Research achieved a PolitPro Score of 70 out of 100.

1.8

Election Accuracy

On average, BMG Research's figures deviate by 1.8 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 53% of polls, BMG Research rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 47% of polls, BMG Research rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 20% of polls, BMG Research rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 33% of polls, BMG Research rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 27% of polls, BMG Research rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 20% of polls, BMG Research rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

BMG Research at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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