These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

BMG Research

N/A

June 24, 2025 - June 25, 2025

1617 respondents

Next General election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the BMG Research projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 27.7% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from BMG Research?

In the latest UK General Election poll, conducted by BMG Research on June 25, 2025, Reform UK secures 30% of the vote, with Labour: 27%, Tories: 19%, Liberal Democrats: 12%, Green Party: 7%, Scottish National Party: 2% and Plaid Cymru: 1% trailing. Other parties secure 2% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the BMG Research Projection?

PolitPro Score

BMG Research achieved a PolitPro Score of 72 out of 100.

1.5

Election Accuracy

On average, BMG Research's figures deviate by 1.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Green Party

In 36% of polls, BMG Research rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Labour

In 31% of polls, BMG Research rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 38% of polls, BMG Research rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 24% of polls, BMG Research rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 29% of polls, BMG Research rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 44% of polls, BMG Research rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

BMG Research at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

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