United Kingdom: Reform UK Remains Strongest Party in New Poll (Focaldata Poll from 19.01.2026)

01/22/2026 - The latest poll clearly shows Reform UK as the frontrunner with 26 percent, followed by Labour at 21 percent and the Tories at 20 percent.

Latest Opinion Poll for the UK Election (Focaldata, January 19, 2026)

Reform

Lab

Con

LDEM

Greens

SNP

Others

Change since the July 5, 2024 election

Political Alignment of Parties

What do the symbols mean?

These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Focaldata

N/A

January 16, 2026 - January 19, 2026

1585 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the Focaldata projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 22.2% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Focaldata?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by Focaldata, Reform UK leads with 26%. They are followed by Labour: 21%, Tories: 20%, Liberal Democrats: 14%, Green Party: 10%, Scottish National Party: 3% and Plaid Cymru: 1%. Other parties secure 5% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Focaldata Projection?

PolitPro Score

Focaldata achieved a PolitPro Score of 65 out of 100.

Election Accuracy

On average, Focaldata's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 44% of polls, Focaldata rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 29% of polls, Focaldata rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 31% of polls, Focaldata rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 44% of polls, Focaldata rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 50% of polls, Focaldata rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Scottish National Party

In 20% of polls, Focaldata rated Scottish National Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 25% of polls, Focaldata rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Focaldata at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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