Ipsos
Evening Standard
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Evening Standard
1003 respondents
The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.
In the latest UK General Election poll, conducted by Ipsos on June 20, 2023, Labour secures 47% of the vote, with Tories: 25%, Liberal Democrats: 13%, Green Party: 8%, Reform UK: 3%, Scottish National Party: 3% and Plaid Cymru: 1% trailing.
Ipsos achieved a PolitPro Score of 57 out of 100.
On average, Ipsos's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 50% of polls, Ipsos rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 56% of polls, Ipsos rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 38% of polls, Ipsos rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 29% of polls, Ipsos rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 42% of polls, Ipsos rated Scottish National Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 38% of polls, Ipsos rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 50% of polls, Ipsos rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 63% of polls, Ipsos rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.