These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Ipsos

The Evening Standard

September 6, 2023 - September 12, 2023

1004 respondents

Next General election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Ipsos?

In the latest UK General Election poll, conducted by Ipsos on September 12, 2023, Labour secures 44% of the vote, with Tories: 24%, Liberal Democrats: 12%, Green Party: 8% and Reform UK: 4% trailing. Other parties secure 8% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Ipsos Projection?

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieved a PolitPro Score of 57 out of 100.

Election Accuracy

On average, Ipsos's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Green Party

In 47% of polls, Ipsos rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Labour

In 53% of polls, Ipsos rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 40% of polls, Ipsos rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 31% of polls, Ipsos rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Scottish National Party

In 36% of polls, Ipsos rated Scottish National Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 20% of polls, Ipsos rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 33% of polls, Ipsos rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 54% of polls, Ipsos rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 60% of polls, Ipsos rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Ipsos at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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