United Kingdom: Reform UK Remains Strongest Force in New Poll (Ipsos Poll from 27.01.2026)

02/03/2026 - The Reform UK party scores 30 percent in the latest Ipsos poll, maintaining its position as the leading political force in Great Britain, despite a three-point drop.

Latest Opinion Poll for the UK Election (Ipsos, January 27, 2026)

Reform

Lab

Con

Greens

LDEM

SNP

Others

Change since the July 5, 2024 election

Political Alignment of Parties

What do the symbols mean?

These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Ipsos

N/A

January 22, 2026 - January 27, 2026

1104 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the Ipsos projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 22.3% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Ipsos?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by Ipsos, Reform UK leads with 30%. They are followed by Labour: 22%, Tories: 19%, Green Party: 12%, Liberal Democrats: 12%, Plaid Cymru: 2% and Scottish National Party: 2%. Other parties secure 1% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Ipsos Projection?

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieved a PolitPro Score of 59 out of 100.

Election Accuracy

On average, Ipsos's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Green Party

In 44% of polls, Ipsos rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Labour

In 61% of polls, Ipsos rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 33% of polls, Ipsos rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Scottish National Party

In 50% of polls, Ipsos rated Scottish National Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 22% of polls, Ipsos rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 33% of polls, Ipsos rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 50% of polls, Ipsos rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 56% of polls, Ipsos rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Ipsos at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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