These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Ipsos MORI

Evening Standard

October 22, 2020 - October 28, 2020

1007 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Ipsos MORI?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by Ipsos MORI, Labour leads with 42%. They are followed by Tories: 37%, Liberal Democrats: 8%, Scottish National Party: 6%, Green Party: 5% and Reform UK: 1%. Other parties secure 1% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Ipsos MORI Projection?

PolitPro Score

Ipsos MORI achieved a PolitPro Score of 76 out of 100.

0.6

Election Accuracy

On average, Ipsos MORI's figures deviate by 0.6 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Green Party

In 45% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Labour

In 45% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 32% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Scottish National Party

In 36% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Scottish National Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 78% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 41% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Ipsos MORI at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Learn More

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Take the survey (1 minute)

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

Report an Error