These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Ipsos MORI

N/A

July 21, 2022 - July 27, 2022

1052 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Ipsos MORI?

In the latest UK General Election poll, conducted by Ipsos MORI on July 27, 2022, Labour secures 44% of the vote, with Tories: 30%, Liberal Democrats: 10%, Green Party: 8%, Scottish National Party: 5%, Reform UK: 1%, UKIP: 1% and Plaid Cymru: 0% trailing. Other parties secure 1% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Ipsos MORI Projection?

PolitPro Score

Ipsos MORI achieved a PolitPro Score of 80 out of 100.

0.6

Election Accuracy

On average, Ipsos MORI's figures deviate by 0.6 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Green Party

In 39% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Labour

In 29% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 41% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Scottish National Party

In 32% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Scottish National Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 27% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 20% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 62% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 29% of polls, Ipsos MORI rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Ipsos MORI at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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