United Kingdom: Reform UK Leads Poll in Great Britain (JL Partners Poll from 12.02.2026)

02/18/2026 - The latest JL Partners poll shows Reform UK as the clear frontrunner with 31 percent, followed by Labour at 23 percent and the Tories at 19 percent.

Latest Opinion Poll for the UK Election (JL Partners, February 12, 2026)

Reform

Lab

Con

LDEM

Greens

SNP

Others

Change since the July 5, 2024 election

Political Alignment of Parties

What do the symbols mean?

These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

JL Partners

N/A

February 4, 2026 - February 12, 2026

2006 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the JL Partners projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 23.8% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from JL Partners?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by JL Partners, Reform UK leads with 31%. They are followed by Labour: 23%, Tories: 19%, Liberal Democrats: 12%, Green Party: 9%, Scottish National Party: 2% and Plaid Cymru: 1%. Other parties secure 3% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the JL Partners Projection?

PolitPro Score

JL Partners achieved a PolitPro Score of 65 out of 100.

Election Accuracy

On average, JL Partners's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 57% of polls, JL Partners rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 29% of polls, JL Partners rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 36% of polls, JL Partners rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 50% of polls, JL Partners rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 29% of polls, JL Partners rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

JL Partners at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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