These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Number Cruncher Politics

N/A

November 20, 2020 - November 28, 2020

1001 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Number Cruncher Politics?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by Number Cruncher Politics, Tories leads with 39%. They are followed by Labour: 37%, Liberal Democrats: 7%, Green Party: 5%, Scottish National Party: 5%, Reform UK: 4% and Plaid Cymru: 1%. Other parties secure 2% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Number Cruncher Politics Projection?

PolitPro Score

Number Cruncher Politics achieved a PolitPro Score of 81 out of 100.

0.5

Election Accuracy

On average, Number Cruncher Politics's figures deviate by 0.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Green Party

In 40% of polls, Number Cruncher Politics rated Green Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 30% of polls, Number Cruncher Politics rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Labour

In 30% of polls, Number Cruncher Politics rated Labour lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 80% of polls, Number Cruncher Politics rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Number Cruncher Politics at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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