These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Opinium

April 29, 2026 - May 1, 2026

2051 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the Opinium projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 20.9% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Opinium?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by Opinium, Reform UK leads with 27%. They are followed by Labour: 19%, Tories: 18%, Green Party: 15% and Liberal Democrats: 12%. Other parties secure 9% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Opinium Projection?

PolitPro Score

Opinium achieved a PolitPro Score of 70 out of 100.

1.7

Election Accuracy

On average, Opinium's figures deviate by 1.7 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 34% of polls, Opinium rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 43% of polls, Opinium rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Scottish National Party

In 20% of polls, Opinium rated Scottish National Party higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 30% of polls, Opinium rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Labour

In 32% of polls, Opinium rated Labour lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Liberal Democrats

In 46% of polls, Opinium rated Liberal Democrats lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 29% of polls, Opinium rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Opinium at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Help Us Stay Independent

Your support helps shield PolitPro from the influence of lobbyists and political parties.

Learn More

Give Feedback

Tell us how we can make PolitPro even better for you!

Take the survey (1 minute)

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

Report an Error