These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Transversal

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

N/A

June 21, 2024 - June 24, 2024

10000 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

UK Incumbent Government Without a Majority

Based on the Redfield & Wilton Strategies projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 42.2% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Redfield & Wilton Strategies?

In the latest UK General Election poll, conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies on June 24, 2024, Labour secures 42% of the vote, with Reform UK: 19%, Tories: 18%, Liberal Democrats: 12%, Green Party: 6% and Scottish National Party: 3% trailing.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Redfield & Wilton Strategies Projection?

PolitPro Score

Redfield & Wilton Strategies achieved a PolitPro Score of 50 out of 100.

3.9

Election Accuracy

On average, Redfield & Wilton Strategies's figures deviate by 3.9 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 32% of polls, Redfield & Wilton Strategies rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 41% of polls, Redfield & Wilton Strategies rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Reform UK

In 47% of polls, Redfield & Wilton Strategies rated Reform UK higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 31% of polls, Redfield & Wilton Strategies rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 21% of polls, Redfield & Wilton Strategies rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 24% of polls, Redfield & Wilton Strategies rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Redfield & Wilton Strategies at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

Report an Error