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Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

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Far-Right

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Animal Welfare

Satire

Survation

N/A

December 4, 2020 - December 10, 2020

3452 respondents

Next General Election in United Kingdom: 2029

The next General Election in United Kingdom is expected in 2029.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Survation?

According to the latest national poll in United Kingdom by Survation, Tories leads with 39%. They are followed by Labour: 37%, Liberal Democrats: 8%, Green Party: 5%, Scottish National Party: 5%, Reform UK: 1% and Plaid Cymru: 0%. Other parties secure 5% of the votes.

United Kingdom: Current Election Trends

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in United Kingdom

Quality Check: How Reliable is the Survation Projection?

PolitPro Score

Survation achieved a PolitPro Score of 63 out of 100.

2.3

Election Accuracy

On average, Survation's figures deviate by 2.3 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates Labour

In 48% of polls, Survation rated Labour higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Liberal Democrats

In 25% of polls, Survation rated Liberal Democrats higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Overestimates Tories

In 31% of polls, Survation rated Tories higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Green Party

In 57% of polls, Survation rated Green Party lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Labour

In 20% of polls, Survation rated Labour lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Reform UK

In 47% of polls, Survation rated Reform UK lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates Tories

In 25% of polls, Survation rated Tories lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Survation at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

In the United Kingdom, seats are allocated via the First Past the Post (FPTP) system. Since polls only gauge nationwide party preferences, inferring precise constituency results is impossible. Thus, a reliable seat distribution remains elusive.

Data Sources and Methodology

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