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Con41
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Lab36
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LDEM12
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SNP4
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Reform3
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Greens2
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Sonst.2
Latest Election Polls by ComRes
About ComRes
PolitPro Score
ComRes achieved a PolitPro Score of 71 out of 100.
Election Accuracy
On average, ComRes's figures deviate by 1.6 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
Party Analysis: Statistical Deviations by ComRes
Historical Polls vs. Election Trend (in %)
How is the data calculated?
How is the data calculated?
The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.
Performance Track Record: Historical Accuracy of ComRes
Election Accuracy
On average, ComRes's figures deviate by 1.6 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from Actual Results (Historical)
How is election accuracy calculated?
How is election accuracy calculated?
Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).