United Kingdom
Election trend
Parties
Coalitions
Institutes
Elections

United Kingdom: Poll by Opinium from 17.11.2023

Polling data

Lab
40.0
-2.0
Con
27.0
±0.0
LDEM
12.0
+2.0
Reform
9.0
+1.0
Greens
6.0
-1.0
SNP
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 12.12.2019
Lab
+7.8
Con
-16.6
LDEM
+0.5
Reform
+7.0
Greens
+3.3
SNP
-0.9
Opinium – 1433 respondents – 15.11.2023-17.11.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates Labour lower
In 44% of election polls Opinium rates Labour lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Liberal Democrats lower
In 46% of election polls Opinium rates Liberal Democrats lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Reform UK higher
In 38% of election polls, Opinium rates Reform UK higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Tories higher
In 33% of election polls, Opinium rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

United Kingdom - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in United Kingdom from Opinium shows the following results: Labour 40%, Tories 27%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Reform UK 9%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%. If an election were held in United Kingdom this Sunday, Labour might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.8 growth since the last election. Tories, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-16.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Rishi Sunak is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Tories. With 27.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Opinium. For this purpose, 1433 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (15.11.2023 - 17.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

Labour + Tories
69.0
Labour + Liberal Democrats
53.6
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
50.5
Tories + Liberal Democrats + Reform UK
49.5

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.gb was conducted by Opinium. The survey took place between 15.11.2023 and 17.11.2023 among 1433 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Labour 40%, Tories 27%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Reform UK 9%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.