United Kingdom: Poll by BMG from 29.05.2024

United Kingdom: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Lab
43.0
-1.0
Con
27.0
-2.0
Reform
11.0
+3.0
LDEM
9.0
-1.0
Greens
6.0
+2.0
SNP
3.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Lab
+9.3
Con
+3.3
Reform
-3.3
LDEM
-3.2
Greens
-0.4
SNP
+0.5
BMG – 1500 respondents – 28.05.2024-29.05.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Labour lower

In 40% of election polls BMG rates Labour lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Liberal Democrats higher

In 33% of election polls, BMG rates Liberal Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Tories higher

In 53% of election polls, BMG rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

United Kingdom - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in United Kingdom from BMG shows the following results: Labour 43%, Tories 27%, Reform UK 11%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%. If an election were held in United Kingdom this Sunday, Labour might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.3 growth since the last election. Reform UK, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Keir Starmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Labour. With 43.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by BMG. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (28.05.2024 - 29.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
283
43.5%
Greens
39
6%
SNP
19
2.9%
LDEM
59
9.1%
Con
178
27.4%
Reform
72
11.1%
Labour + Tories
70.9%
Labour + Liberal Democrats
52.6%
Labour + Green Party + Scottish National Party
52.5%
Labour + Green Party
49.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in United Kingdom was conducted by BMG. The survey took place between 28.05.2024 and 29.05.2024 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Labour 43%, Tories 27%, Reform UK 11%, Liberal Democrats 9%, Green Party 6% and Scottish National Party 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!