United Kingdom: Poll by Survation from 02.06.2025

United Kingdom: Polling data

Reform
27.0
-3.0
Lab
24.0
-1.0
Con
20.0
+2.0
LDEM
13.0
±0.0
Greens
8.0
+1.0
PC
2.0
+1.0
SNP
2.0
-1.0
Others
4.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
Reform
+12.7
Lab
-9.7
Con
-3.7
LDEM
+0.8
Greens
+1.6
PC
+1.3
SNP
-0.5
Survation – 1096 respondents – 30.05.2025-02.06.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Green Party lower

In 52% of election polls Survation rates Green Party lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Labour higher

In 35% of election polls, Survation rates Labour higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Reform UK lower

In 55% of election polls Survation rates Reform UK lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Tories higher

In 31% of election polls, Survation rates Tories higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

United Kingdom - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in United Kingdom from Survation shows the following results: Reform UK 27%, Labour 24%, Tories 20%, Liberal Democrats 13%, Green Party 8%, Plaid Cymru 2% and Scottish National Party 2%. If an election were held in United Kingdom this Sunday, Reform UK might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.7 growth since the last election. Labour, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Keir Starmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Labour. With 25.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Survation. For this purpose, 1096 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (30.05.2025 - 02.06.2025).

Coalition possibilities

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
163
25.1%
Greens
54
8.3%
PC
13
2%
SNP
13
2%
LDEM
88
13.5%
Con
136
20.9%
Reform
183
28.2%
Reform UK + Tories + Liberal Democrats
62.6%
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
59.5%
Labour + Tories + Green Party
54.3%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
50.9%
Labour + Tories + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
50.0%
Reform UK + Liberal Democrats + Green Party
50.0%
Reform UK + Tories
49.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in United Kingdom was conducted by Survation. The survey took place between 30.05.2025 and 02.06.2025 among 1096 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Reform UK 27%, Labour 24%, Tories 20%, Liberal Democrats 13%, Green Party 8%, Plaid Cymru 2% and Scottish National Party 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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