United Kingdom: Poll by BMG Research from 25.06.2025

United Kingdom: Polling data

Reform
30.0
-1.0
Lab
27.0
+3.0
Con
19.0
+1.0
LDEM
12.0
-1.0
Greens
7.0
-2.0
SNP
2.0
-1.0
PC
1.0
+1.0
Others
2.0
±0.0
BMG Research – 1617 respondents – 24.06.2025-25.06.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Green Party higher

In 33% of election polls, BMG Research rates Green Party higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Liberal Democrats higher

In 56% of election polls, BMG Research rates Liberal Democrats higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Tories lower

In 56% of election polls BMG Research rates Tories lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

United Kingdom - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in United Kingdom from BMG Research shows the following results: Reform UK 30%, Labour 27%, Tories 19%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Green Party 7%, Scottish National Party 2% and Plaid Cymru 1%. If an election were held in United Kingdom this Sunday, Reform UK might gain the most in voter favorability with +15.7 growth since the last election. Labour, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Keir Starmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Labour. With 27.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by BMG Research. For this purpose, 1617 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (24.06.2025 - 25.06.2025).

Coalition possibilities

650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
180
27.7%
Greens
46
7.1%
SNP
13
2%
PC
6
0.9%
LDEM
79
12.2%
Con
126
19.4%
Reform
200
30.8%
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
59.2%
Labour + Tories + Green Party
54.2%
Reform UK + Tories
50.2%
Labour + Tories + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
50.0%
Reform UK + Liberal Democrats + Green Party
50.0%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
Labour + Tories + Scottish National Party
49.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in United Kingdom was conducted by BMG Research. The survey took place between 24.06.2025 and 25.06.2025 among 1617 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Reform UK 30%, Labour 27%, Tories 19%, Liberal Democrats 12%, Green Party 7%, Scottish National Party 2% and Plaid Cymru 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.