Upcoming elections:

Polls, trends and elections for Upper Austria

Current Election Trend for Upper Austria

FPÖ
29.0
ÖVP
28.0
SPÖ
18.0
GRÜNE
13.0
MFG
6.0
NEOS
5.0
Sonst.
1.0
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Upper Austria is expected to take place in 2027.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 88.9% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Upper Austria?

In the current election trend in Upper Austria, FPÖ leads with 29%. This is a significant increase of +9.2 percentage points since the last election.

ÖVP reaches 28%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-9.6).

SPÖ reaches 18% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.6 percentage points).

GRÜNE reaches 13% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.7 percentage points).

MFG reaches 6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.2 percentage points).

NEOS reaches 5% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.8 percentage points).

1% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Upper Austria, the government from ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ and GRÜNE would secure 88.9% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: FPÖ, ÖVP, SPÖ, GRÜNE, MFG and NEOS reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 76.3% - 23.7% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Upper Austria

What is the latest poll for Upper Austria?

The latest poll for the election in Upper Austria was published by Unique Research. The parties achieve the following values: FPÖ 29%, ÖVP 28%, SPÖ 18%, GRÜNE 13%, MFG 6% and NEOS 5%.

Coalitions

56
SPÖ
10
GRÜNE
7
NEOS
3
ÖVP
16
FPÖ
17
MFG
3
Majority requires 29 seats
FPÖ + ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
FPÖ + ÖVP
33
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
ÖVP + SPÖ
26

Which coalitions are currently possible in Upper Austria?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from FPÖ, ÖVP, SPÖ and GRÜNE, Coalition from ÖVP, SPÖ and GRÜNE, Coalition from FPÖ and ÖVP and Coalition from ÖVP, SPÖ and NEOS each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Upper Austria shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
FPÖ
ÖVP
SPÖ
GRÜNE
MFG
NEOS
Show more

Upper Austria — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Upper Austria in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Upper Austria took place on 26.09.2021.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 56
Government & opposition
Government : 51
Opposition : 5
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 18
Right-leaning parties : 36

Which parties are in the parliament of Upper Austria?

In the parliament of Upper Austria, there are 56 representatives from 6 parties. 51 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ and GRÜNE. The opposition from MFG and NEOS has 5 representatives.

18 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 36 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Upper Austria?

In Upper Austria, a coalition of ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ and GRÜNE governs.

State election in Oberösterreich 2027

The State election in Oberösterreich 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Coalition of the center of FPÖ, GRÜNE, SPÖ and ÖVP. In the last State election in Oberösterreich in 2021, ÖVP (37.6% - 22 seats), FPÖ (19.8% - 11 seats), SPÖ (18.6% - 11 seats), GRÜNE (12.3% - 7 seats), MFG (6.2% - 3 seats) and NEOS (4.2% - 2 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 76.3%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Upper Austria?

The next election in Upper Austria is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who governs in Upper Austria?

In Upper Austria, a coalition of ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ and GRÜNE governs.

What is the latest poll for Upper Austria?

The latest poll for the election in Upper Austria was published by Unique Research. The parties achieve the following values: FPÖ 29%, ÖVP 28%, SPÖ 18%, GRÜNE 13%, MFG 6% and NEOS 5%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Upper Austria?

In the parliament of Upper Austria, there are 56 representatives from 6 parties. 51 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP, FPÖ, SPÖ and GRÜNE. The opposition from MFG and NEOS has 5 representatives.