Upcoming elections:

Polls, trends and elections for Vorarlberg

Current Election Trend for Vorarlberg

ÖVP
29.0
FPÖ
20.0
GRÜNE
14.0
SPÖ
13.0
NEOS
12.0
MFG
3.0
Sonst.
9.0
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Vorarlberg is expected to take place in 2024.
Government would have to worry
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 48.9% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Vorarlberg?

In the current election trend in Vorarlberg, ÖVP leads with 29%. This is a significant loss of -14.5 percentage points since the last election.

FPÖ reaches 20%. This is a significant increase of +6.1 percentage points since the last election.

GRÜNE experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 14% (-4.9).

SPÖ lands at 13% and gains +3.5 percentage points since the last election.

NEOS lands at 12% and gains +3.5 percentage points since the last election.

MFG (3%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

9% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Vorarlberg, the government from ÖVP and GRÜNE would secure 48.9% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: ÖVP, FPÖ, GRÜNE, SPÖ and NEOS reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 61.4% - 38.6% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Vorarlberg

Gallup
· 2 years ago
2 years ago
Open Details
Gallup
· 2 years ago
2 years ago
Open Details

What is the latest poll for Vorarlberg?

The latest poll for the election in Vorarlberg was published by Berndt. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 29%, FPÖ 20%, GRÜNE 14%, SPÖ 13%, NEOS 12% and MFG 3%.

Coalitions

36
SPÖ
5
GRÜNE
6
NEOS
5
ÖVP
12
FPÖ
8
Majority requires 19 seats
ÖVP + GRÜNE + SPÖ
ÖVP + GRÜNE + NEOS
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
ÖVP + FPÖ
20
ÖVP + GRÜNE
18
ÖVP + SPÖ
17
ÖVP + NEOS
17

Which coalitions are currently possible in Vorarlberg?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from ÖVP, GRÜNE and SPÖ, Coalition from ÖVP, GRÜNE and NEOS, Coalition from ÖVP, SPÖ and NEOS and Coalition from ÖVP and FPÖ each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Vorarlberg shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
ÖVP
FPÖ
GRÜNE
SPÖ
NEOS
MFG
Show more

Vorarlberg — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Vorarlberg in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Vorarlberg took place on 13.10.2019.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 36
Government & opposition
Government : 24
Opposition : 12
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 11
Right-leaning parties : 22

Which parties are in the parliament of Vorarlberg?

In the parliament of Vorarlberg, there are 36 representatives from 5 parties. 24 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and GRÜNE. The opposition from FPÖ, SPÖ and NEOS has 12 representatives.

11 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 22 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Vorarlberg?

In Vorarlberg, a coalition of ÖVP and GRÜNE governs.

State election in Vorarlberg 2024

The State election in Vorarlberg 2024 will probably take place in 2024. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Coalition of the center of ÖVP and GRÜNE. In the last State election in Vorarlberg in 2019, ÖVP (43.5% - 17 seats), GRÜNE (18.9% - 7 seats), FPÖ (13.9% - 5 seats), SPÖ (9.5% - 4 seats) and NEOS (8.5% - 3 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 61.4%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Vorarlberg?

The next election in Vorarlberg is expected to take place in the year 2024.

Who governs in Vorarlberg?

In Vorarlberg, a coalition of ÖVP and GRÜNE governs.

What is the latest poll for Vorarlberg?

The latest poll for the election in Vorarlberg was published by Berndt. The parties achieve the following values: ÖVP 29%, FPÖ 20%, GRÜNE 14%, SPÖ 13%, NEOS 12% and MFG 3%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Vorarlberg?

In the parliament of Vorarlberg, there are 36 representatives from 5 parties. 24 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and GRÜNE. The opposition from FPÖ, SPÖ and NEOS has 12 representatives.