Bulgaria: Poll by Sova Harris from 25.08.2020

Bulgaria: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
GERB
27.7
-9.7
BSP
24.5
+3.1
ITN
15.7
+6.6
DPS
9.2
+1.5
DB
7.0
+2.8
VMRO
3.7
+0.9
Volya
3.0
-1.2
ABV
1.1
-0.7
Others
8.1
-3.3
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
GERB
+2.2
BSP
+17.2
ITN
+9.1
DPS
-2.0
DB
New
VMRO
New
Volya
New
ABV
New
Sova Harris – 642 respondents – 19.08.2020-25.08.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 642 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates BSP higher

In 43% of election polls, Sova Harris rates BSP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates GERB higher

In 71% of election polls, Sova Harris rates GERB higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ITN lower

In 33% of election polls Sova Harris rates ITN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bulgaria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria from Sova Harris shows the following results: GERB 27.7%, BSP 24.5%, ITN 15.7%, DPS 9.2%, DB 7%, VMRO 3.7%, Volya 3% and ABV 1.1%. If an election were held in Bulgaria this Sunday, BSP might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.2 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Galab Donev is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from GERB, BSP and ITN. With 80.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Sova Harris. For this purpose, 642 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (19.08.2020 - 25.08.2020).

Coalition possibilities

240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
70
29.2%
ITN
45
18.8%
DPS
26
10.8%
GERB
79
32.9%
DB
20
8.3%
GERB + BSP
62.1%
BSP + ITN + DPS
58.8%
GERB + DPS + DB
52.1%
GERB + ITN
51.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bulgaria was conducted by Sova Harris. The survey took place between 19.08.2020 and 25.08.2020 among 642 eligible voters. After this election poll would get GERB 27.7%, BSP 24.5%, ITN 15.7%, DPS 9.2%, DB 7%, VMRO 3.7%, Volya 3% and ABV 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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