Current Election Trend for United Kingdom

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in United Kingdom, Labour is leading with 24.3%, followed by Reform UK with 24%, Tories with 22.3%, Liberal Democrats with 14.8%, Green Party with 8.6%, Scottish National Party with 2.6% and Plaid Cymru with 1%. Other parties reach 2.4%.

On the rise: LDEM

+1.8 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: Lab

-1.0 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2029.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 24.9% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Lab
24.3
Reform
24.0
Con
22.3
LDEM
14.8
Greens
8.6
SNP
2.6
PC
1.0
Others
2.4

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Labour reaches 162 MPs, Green Party reaches 57 MPs, Scottish National Party reaches 17 MPs, Plaid Cymru reaches 6 MPs, Liberal Democrats reaches 99 MPs, Tories reaches 149 MPs and Reform UK reaches 160 MPs.

No restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 0%.

Majority from 326 MPs

To form a government, 326 of 650 MPs are required.
Labour + Tories + Liberal Democrats
63.1%
Reform UK + Tories + Liberal Democrats
62.8%
Labour + Tories + Green Party
56.6%
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
51.5%
Labour + Tories + Scottish National Party
50.5%
Tories + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Plaid Cymru
49.8%
Tories + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
49.5%
Labour
24.9%
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
162
24.9%
Greens
57
8.8%
SNP
17
2.6%
PC
6
0.9%
LDEM
99
15.2%
Con
149
22.9%
Reform
160
24.6%

Latest polls for United Kingdom

United Kingdom — National parliament voting intention

Parties in United Kingdom

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Labour
Reform UK
Tories
Liberal Democrats
Green Party
Scottish National Party
Plaid Cymru
Show more

What's happening in United Kingdom?

Government and parliament

König Charles III.

Head of state

Keir Starmer

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 650
Government & opposition
Government : 411
Opposition : 239
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 437
Right-leaning parties : 131

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in United Kingdom

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
79
0.5
high
74
1.6
high
72
1.5
high
71
1.5
high
68
?
high
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.