Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in United Kingdom, Labour is leading with 26%, followed by Tories with 24.3%, Reform UK with 23.7%, Liberal Democrats with 12.1%, Green Party with 8.3%, Scottish National Party with 2.7% and Plaid Cymru with 1%. Other parties reach 1.9%.
On the rise: Reform
+4.1 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: Con
-2.8 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2029
The next parliamentary election in United Kingdom is expected to take place in 2029.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 26.6% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 05.07.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Labour reaches 173 MPs, Green Party reaches 54 MPs, Scottish National Party reaches 18 MPs, Plaid Cymru reaches 6 MPs, Liberal Democrats reaches 79 MPs, Tories reaches 162 MPs and Reform UK reaches 158 MPs.
No restrictive clause
The restrictive clause is 0%.
Majority from 326 MPs
To form a government, 326 of 650 MPs are required.
Tories + Reform UK + Liberal Democrats
Labour + Tories
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
Labour + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party
Tories + Reform UK
Tories + Liberal Democrats + Green Party + Scottish National Party + Plaid Cymru
Labour
650
Majority requires 326 seats
Lab
173
26.6%
Greens
54
8.3%
SNP
18
2.8%
PC
6
0.9%
LDEM
79
12.2%
Con
162
24.9%
Reform
158
24.3%
Latest polls for United Kingdom
United Kingdom — National parliament voting intention
Parties in United Kingdom
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour |
-1.7
|
-3.0
|
-7.7
|
-18.5
|
-7.7
|
| Tories |
-2.8
|
-0.7
|
+0.6
|
+0.3
|
+0.6
|
| Reform UK |
+4.1
|
+4.2
|
+9.4
|
+13.2
|
+9.4
|
| Liberal Democrats |
+0.3
|
-1.0
|
-0.1
|
+2.3
|
-0.1
|
| Green Party |
+0.4
|
+0.9
|
+1.9
|
+2.0
|
+1.9
|
| Scottish National Party |
-0.1
|
+0.3
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
| Plaid Cymru |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.3
|
±0.0
|
+0.3
|
Government and parliament
König Charles III.
Head of state
Keir Starmer
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 650
Government & opposition
Government
: 411
Opposition
: 239
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 437
Right-leaning parties
: 131
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in United Kingdom
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Neutrality |
|---|---|---|---|
|
82
|
0.6
|
bad
| |
|
79
|
0.5
|
bad
| |
|
74
|
1.6
|
bad
| |
|
71
|
1.5
|
bad
| |
|
68
|
?
|
bad
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.