Election trends and current polls for Slovenia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SDS
28.7%
-1.8
LMŠ
14.5%
-3.9
SD
18.2%
+1
L
12.6%
+2.9
NSi
6%
-0.2
PAB
2.1%
±0
DeSUS
4.2%
-0.6
SNS
3%
-0.3
SLS
3.2%
+0.5
ZaAB
3.3%
+1.5
Sonstige
4.2%
+0.9
Changes to last election from 03.06.2018
SDS
+3.8
LMŠ
+1.9
SD
+8.3
L
+3.3
NSi
-1.2
PAB
+2.1
DeSUS
-0.7
SNS
-1.2
SLS
+0.6
ZaAB
-1.8
Political orientation
SDS
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LMŠ
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SD
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L
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NSi
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PAB
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DeSUS
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SNS
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SLS
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ZaAB
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Državni zbor
Mediana - 27.07.2020
SDS
26.5%
-0.7
12.3%
-6.1
SD
18.8%
+1.6
SMC
0.6%
-2.3
L
14.2%
+4.5
NSi
5.8%
-0.5
3.5%
-0.3
SNS
3.2%
-0.9
2.3%
+2.3
SLS
3.5%
+1
3.7%
+1.4
5.6%
±0
Državni zbor
Mediana - 13.07.2020
SDS
27.2%
+0.4
18.4%
+2
SD
17.2%
+4
SMC
2.9%
+2.9
L
9.7%
-4.5
NSi
6.3%
-1.4
3.8%
-3.4
SNS
4.1%
-1.8
SLS
2.5%
-0.7
2.3%
+2.3
5.6%
+3.1
Državni zbor
Parsifal SC - 06.07.2020
SDS
31.1%
+12.2
20.7%
+3.9
SD
16.5%
+9.4
SMC
0.6%
-1.2
L
9%
+4.3
NSi
5.3%
+0.3
5.7%
+2.7
SNS
4.3%
+0.1
SLS
2.5%
-0.8
1.2%
+1.2
3.1%
-30
Državni zbor
Ninamedia - 03.07.2020
SDS
33.1%
+11
15.9%
+3.7
SD
22.2%
+14
SMC
0.4%
+0.1
L
12%
+5.9
NSi
5.7%
+1.6
PAB
1.9%
+0.8
4.2%
+0.5
SNS
2%
+0.2
SLS
1.6%
-0.2
1%
-37.6
Državni zbor
Parsifal - 03.07.2020
SDS
32.8%
+2.2
18%
+0.1
SD
13.2%
+0.4
SMC
1.6%
+1.4
L
8.5%
-1
NSi
7.8%
+1.6
PAB
2.2%
-1.5
5.9%
-0.5
SNS
2%
-3.8
SLS
4.2%
+1.4
3.8%
-0.3

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
SD + LMŠ + L
53.8%
SD + LMŠ + NSi + DeSUS
50.9%
SD + LMŠ + NSi
45.9%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 4%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SDS
LMŠ
SD
L
NSi
PAB
DeSUS
SNS
SLS
ZaAB
SMC
Pirati

Last election

The results of the last election from 03.06.2018
Seats
Party Percent Seats
SDS 24.9% 4.2% 25 4
LMŠ 12.6% 12.6% 13 13
SD 9.9% 3.9% 10 4
SMC 9.8% -24.7% 10 -26
Levica 9.3% 3.3% 9 3
NSi 7.2% 1.6% 7 2
Stranka Bratušek 5.1% 5.1% 5 5
DeSUS 4.9% -5.2% 5 -5
SNS 4.2% 4.2% 4 4
Sonstige 7.3% -9.8% 2 -4
SLS 2.6% 2.6% 0 0
Pirati 2.2% 2.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 03.06.2018 100 representatives from 11 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2022.