Slovenia: Polls and trends for the Slovenian election 2026

Current Election Trend for Slovenia

SDS
40.7
GS
22.4
NSi
9.9
L
9.6
SD
5.7
Res
2.8
Vesna
2.8
PSS
2.7
SNS
2.1
SLS
1.2
Sonst.
0.1
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Slovenia is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 42.8% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Slovenia?

In the current election trend in Slovenia, SDS leads with 40.7%. This is a significant increase of +17.2 percentage points since the last election.

Svoboda reaches 22.4%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-12.1).

NSi lands at 9.9% and gains +3.0 percentage points since the last election.

Levica reaches 9.6%. This is a significant increase of +5.2 percentage points since the last election.

SD reaches 5.7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-1.0 percentage points).

Resnica (2.8%), Vesna (2.8%), Pirati (2.7%), SNS (2.1%) and SLS (1.2%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

0.1% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Ninamedia and Mediana, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 1420 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Slovenia, the government from Svoboda, SD and Levica would secure 42.8% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SDS, Svoboda, NSi, Levica and SD reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 70.1% - 29.9% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament

Slovenia
· 9 / 720 seats
EU-Parliament
19.9
15.8
15.8
8.6
5.1
34.8

Latest polls for Slovenia

Ninamedia
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
44.5
19.9
11.7
10.9
7.2
5.8
Mediana
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
36
25.5
8
7.7
3.9
3.6
3.6
3.5
2.9
2
0.5
0.2
2.1
Mediana
· 4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago
Open Details
35.2
20.6
13.1
7.8
6.5
3.8
3.6
2.1
1.8
1.7
0.5
0.3
0

What is the latest poll for Slovenia?

The latest poll for the election in Slovenia was published by Ninamedia. The parties achieve the following values: SDS 44.5%, Svoboda 19.9%, NSi 11.7%, Levica 10.9% and SD 7.2%.

Coalitions

SDS + NSi
57.3
SDS + Levica
57.0
SDS
46.1
Svoboda + Levica + SD
42.8

Which coalitions are currently possible in Slovenia?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from SDS and NSi and Coalition from SDS and Levica each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Slovenia shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: SDS
+6.7 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: SD
-5.2 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SDS
Svoboda
NSi
Levica
SD
Resnica
Vesna
Pirati
SNS
SLS
Show more

Slovenia — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Slovenia in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Slovenia took place on 24.04.2022.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 90
Government & opposition
Government : 53
Opposition : 37
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 53
Right-leaning parties : 35

Which parties are in the parliament of Slovenia?

In the parliament of Slovenia, there are 90 representatives from 6 parties. 53 representatives are part of the government from Svoboda, SD and Levica. The opposition from SDS, NSi and Sonstige Parteien has 37 representatives.

53 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 35 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Slovenia?

In Slovenia, a coalition of Svoboda, SD and Levica governs.

Parliamentary election in Slovenia 2026

The Parliamentary election in Slovenia 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Centre-left-wing coalition of SD, Levica and Svoboda. In the last Parliamentary election in Slovenia in 2022, Svoboda (34.5% - 41 seats), SDS (23.5% - 27 seats), NSi (6.9% - 8 seats), SD (6.7% - 7 seats), Levica (4.4% - 5 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (14.8% - 2 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 70.1%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Slovenia?

The next election in Slovenia is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who governs in Slovenia?

In Slovenia, a coalition of Svoboda, SD and Levica governs.

What is the electoral threshold in Slovenia?

The electoral threshold in Slovenia is 4%.

What is the latest poll for Slovenia?

The latest poll for the election in Slovenia was published by Ninamedia. The parties achieve the following values: SDS 44.5%, Svoboda 19.9%, NSi 11.7%, Levica 10.9% and SD 7.2%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Slovenia?

In the parliament of Slovenia, there are 90 representatives from 6 parties. 53 representatives are part of the government from Svoboda, SD and Levica. The opposition from SDS, NSi and Sonstige Parteien has 37 representatives.