Election trends and current polls for Finland

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SDP
21.1%
-1.6
PS
18.1%
-0.4
KOK
17.2%
-0.1
KESK
12.4%
-0.1
VIHR
11.1%
+0.4
VAS
7.6%
+0.1
SFP
4.2%
+0.1
KD
3.6%
+0.1
LIIK
1.7%
+0.2
Sonstige
3%
+1.3
Changes to last election from 14.04.2019
SDP
+3.4
PS
+0.6
KOK
+0.2
KESK
-1.4
VIHR
-0.4
VAS
-0.6
SFP
-0.3
KD
-0.3
LIIK
-0.6
Political orientation
SDP
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PS
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KOK
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KESK
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VIHR
nature
VAS
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SFP
zoom_out_map
KD
arrow_forward_ios
LIIK
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Eduskunta
Kantar TNS - 20.05.2020
SDP
20.1%
±0
PS
18.1%
±0
KOK
17%
±0
12.3%
±0
11.2%
±0
VAS
7.6%
±0
SFP
4.2%
±0
KD
3.7%
±0
1.9%
±0
3.9%
+2.5
Eduskunta
Taloustutkimus - 07.05.2020
SDP
22.1%
+2.5
PS
17.9%
-2.1
KOK
18.2%
+0.6
12.2%
-0.2
11.4%
-0.6
VAS
7.7%
-0.2
SFP
4.1%
±0
KD
3.7%
-0.2
1.5%
±0
1.2%
-1.3
Eduskunta
Tietoykkönen - 02.05.2020
SDP
24.1%
+3
PS
18.8%
-1.3
KOK
16.2%
-0.6
12.9%
+1
9.7%
-1
VAS
7.3%
-0.5
SFP
4%
-0.6
KD
3.2%
+0.3
1.4%
±0
2.4%
-1.7
Eduskunta
Kantar TNS - 20.04.2020
SDP
20.4%
±0
PS
20.2%
±0
KOK
16.8%
±0
12.6%
±0
11.2%
±0
VAS
7.4%
±0
SFP
4.2%
±0
KD
3.5%
±0
2%
±0
1.7%
±0
Eduskunta
Taloustutkimus - 07.04.2020
SDP
19.6%
+3
PS
20%
-2.4
KOK
17.6%
-0.4
12.4%
±0
12%
-0.5
VAS
7.9%
+0.5
SFP
4.1%
±0
KD
3.9%
+1
2.5%
-1.2
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
SDP + KOK + VIHR + SFP
55.2%
SDP + KOK + VIHR + KD
54.6%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + SFP + KD
54%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + VAS
53.8%
PS + KOK + KESK + SFP
53.5%
PS + KOK + KESK + KD
52.9%
SDP + KOK + VIHR + LIIK
52.7%
SDP + KOK + KESK
52.3%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + SFP + LIIK
52.1%
KOK + KESK + VIHR + SFP + KD + LIIK
51.7%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + KD + LIIK
51.5%
PS + KOK + KESK + LIIK
51%
SDP + KOK + VIHR
50.9%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + SFP
50.3%
KOK + KESK + VIHR + SFP + KD
49.9%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + KD
49.7%
SDP + KOK + SFP + KD + LIIK
49.3%
PS + KOK + KESK
49.2%
KOK + KESK + VIHR + SFP + LIIK
48%
SDP + KESK + VIHR + LIIK
47.8%
SDP + KOK + SFP + KD
47.5%
KOK + KESK + VIHR + KD + LIIK
47.4%
SDP + KESK + VAS + SFP
46.7%
PS + KOK + SFP + KD + LIIK
46.2%
KOK + KESK + VIHR + SFP
46.2%
SDP + KESK + VIHR
46%
KOK + KESK + VIHR + KD
45.6%
SDP + KOK + SFP + LIIK
45.6%
SDP + VIHR + VAS + SFP
45.3%
SDP + KOK + KD + LIIK
45%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 0%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SDP
PS
KOK
KESK
VIHR
VAS
SFP
KD
LIIK
SIN

Last election

The results of the last election from 14.04.2019
Seats
Party Percent Seats
SDP 17.7% 1.2% 40 6
Perussuomalaiset 17.5% -0.2% 39 1
Kokoomus 17.0% -1.2% 38 1
Suomen Keskusta 13.8% -7.3% 31 -18
Vihreä liitto 11.5% 3% 20 5
Vasemmisto 8.2% 1.1% 16 4
Svenska 4.5% -0.4% 9 0
Kristillisdemokraatit 3.9% 0.4% 5 0
Liike Nyt 2.3% 2.3% 1 1
Sonstige 2.0% 0.3% 0 0
Sininen tulevaisuus 1.0% 1% 0 0
Piraattipuolue 0.6% -0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 14.04.2019 198 representatives from 8 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2023.