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Finland: Polls and trends for the Finnish election 2027

Current Election Trend for Finland

SDP
23.0
KOK
21.9
PS
15.0
KESK
11.6
VAS
9.4
VIHR
8.0
KD
3.8
SFP
3.7
LIIK
2.2
Sonst.
1.4
On the rise: Kokoomus
+0.8 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: Perussuomalaiset
-1.0 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Finland is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 45.1% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Finland?

In the current election trend in Finland, SDP leads with 23%. This is an increase of +3.1 percentage points since the last election.

Kokoomus lands at 21.9% and gains +1.1 percentage points since the last election.

Perussuomalaiset reaches 15%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-5.1).

Suomen Keskusta reaches 11.6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.3 percentage points).

Vasemmistoliitto lands at 9.4% and gains +2.3 percentage points since the last election.

Vihreä liitto reaches 8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+1.0 percentage points).

Kristillisdemokraatit reaches 3.8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.4 percentage points).

Svenska folkpartiet reaches 3.7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.6 percentage points).

Liike Nyt reaches 2.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.2 percentage points).

1.4% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Taloustutkimus for Yle and Verian for HS, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 4936 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Finland, the government from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit would secure 45.1% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 9 parties could enter parliament: SDP, Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Suomen Keskusta, Vasemmistoliitto, Vihreä liitto, Kristillisdemokraatit, Svenska folkpartiet and Liike Nyt reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 72.7% - 27.3% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Finland

Taloustutkimus
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
23
22.3
14.8
11.5
9.5
3.7
3.7
0.8
2.7
Verian
· 4 weeks ago
4 weeks ago
Open Details
22.7
19.9
16.2
12.1
9
7.8
4.2
3.4
2.2
2.5
Taloustutkimus
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
24.4
21.3
15.6
11.5
8.8
7.7
4
3.4
1.8
1.5

What is the latest poll for Finland?

The latest poll for the election in Finland was published by Taloustutkimus. The parties achieve the following values: SDP 23%, Kokoomus 22.3%, Perussuomalaiset 14.8%, Suomen Keskusta 11.5%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.5%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.7%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.7% and Liike Nyt 0.8%.

Coalitions

200
VAS
19
SDP
47
VIHR
16
KESK
24
SFP
7
KOK
45
KD
7
LIIK
4
PS
31
Majority requires 101 seats
SDP + Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta
116
SDP + Kokoomus + Vihreä liitto
108
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Kristillisdemokraatit
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vasemmistoliitto + Vihreä liitto
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta + Liike Nyt
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Svenska folkpartiet
SDP + Kokoomus + Kristillisdemokraatit
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Kristillisdemokraatit + Liike Nyt
SDP + Kokoomus + Svenska folkpartiet
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Suomen Keskusta
100
SDP + Suomen Keskusta + Vihreä liitto + Svenska folkpartiet + Liike Nyt
Kokoomus + Perussuomalaiset + Kristillisdemokraatit + Svenska folkpartiet

Which coalitions are currently possible in Finland?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from SDP, Kokoomus and Suomen Keskusta, Coalition from SDP, Kokoomus and Vihreä liitto, Coalition from SDP, Kokoomus, Kristillisdemokraatit and Svenska folkpartiet, Coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Suomen Keskusta and Kristillisdemokraatit, Coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Suomen Keskusta and Svenska folkpartiet, Coalition from SDP, Suomen Keskusta, Vasemmistoliitto and Vihreä liitto, Coalition from SDP, Kokoomus, Kristillisdemokraatit and Liike Nyt, Coalition from SDP, Kokoomus, Svenska folkpartiet and Liike Nyt, Coalition from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Suomen Keskusta and Liike Nyt and Coalition from SDP, Suomen Keskusta, Vihreä liitto, Kristillisdemokraatit and Svenska folkpartiet each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Finland shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: Kokoomus
+0.8 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: Perussuomalaiset
-1.0 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SDP
Kokoomus
Perussuomalaiset
Suomen Keskusta
Vasemmistoliitto
Vihreä liitto
Kristillisdemokraatit
Svenska folkpartiet
Liike Nyt
Show more

Finland — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Finland in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Finland took place on 02.04.2023.

Government and parliament

Sauli Niinistö
Head of state
Petteri Orpo
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 200
Government & opposition
Government : 108
Opposition : 92
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 67
Right-leaning parties : 100

Which parties are in the parliament of Finland?

In the parliament of Finland, there are 200 representatives from 10 parties. 108 representatives are part of the government from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. The opposition from SDP, Suomen Keskusta, Vasemmistoliitto, Vihreä liitto, Liike Nyt and Sonstige Parteien has 92 representatives.

67 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 100 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Finland?

Petteri Orpo governs in Finland with a coalition of Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. The head of state is Sauli Niinistö.

Parliamentary election in Finland 2027

The Parliamentary election in Finland 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Petteri Orpo is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition of Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. In the last Parliamentary election in Finland in 2023, Kokoomus (20.8% - 48 seats), Perussuomalaiset (20.1% - 46 seats), SDP (19.9% - 43 seats), Suomen Keskusta (11.3% - 23 seats), Vasemmistoliitto (7.1% - 11 seats), Vihreä liitto (7% - 13 seats), Svenska folkpartiet (4.3% - 9 seats), Kristillisdemokraatit (4.2% - 5 seats), Liike Nyt (2.4% - 1 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (2.9% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 72.7%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Finland?

The next election in Finland is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who is the president of Finland?

The head of state of Finland is Sauli Niinistö.

Who governs in Finland?

Petteri Orpo governs in Finland with a coalition of Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit.

What is the latest poll for Finland?

The latest poll for the election in Finland was published by Taloustutkimus. The parties achieve the following values: SDP 23%, Kokoomus 22.3%, Perussuomalaiset 14.8%, Suomen Keskusta 11.5%, Vasemmistoliitto 9.5%, Vihreä liitto 8%, Kristillisdemokraatit 3.7%, Svenska folkpartiet 3.7% and Liike Nyt 0.8%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Finland?

In the parliament of Finland, there are 200 representatives from 10 parties. 108 representatives are part of the government from Kokoomus, Perussuomalaiset, Svenska folkpartiet and Kristillisdemokraatit. The opposition from SDP, Suomen Keskusta, Vasemmistoliitto, Vihreä liitto, Liike Nyt and Sonstige Parteien has 92 representatives.