Election trends and current polls for Lithuania

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
TS-LKD
27.8%
+0.2
LVŽS
17.1%
+1.9
LSDP
14%
+0.1
LRLS
8.3%
-0.3
LCP
2.6%
+0.5
LLRA-KŠS
4.2%
-1.1
TT
6.6%
+0.2
DP
8.1%
-1
LSDDP
3.7%
-0.3
LP
4.8%
+2.1
Sonstige
2.8%
-2.3
Changes to last election from 23.10.2016
TS-LKD
+6.1
LVŽS
-4.4
LSDP
-0.4
LRLS
-0.8
LCP
-3.5
LLRA-KŠS
-1.3
TT
+1.3
DP
+3.4
LSDDP
+3.7
LP
+4.8
Political orientation
TS-LKD
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LVŽS
nature
LSDP
arrow_back_ios
LRLS
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LCP
arrow_back_iosarrow_forward_ios
LLRA-KŠS
arrow_forward_ios
TT
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
DP
arrow_back_ios
LSDDP
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LP
zoom_out_map

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Seimas
Baltijos tyrimai - 20.05.2020
24.3%
+0.5
15%
+5.1
15.6%
-1.9
11.6%
+3.9
LCP
2.6%
-1.8
5%
-1
TT
6.7%
-1.2
DP
9.1%
-3.7
LP
4.1%
+0.8
3.1%
-0.1
2.9%
-0.6
Seimas
Vilmorus - 20.05.2020
29%
-0.4
21.2%
+2
14.2%
-1.9
6%
+0.9
LCP
2.6%
+0.8
2.4%
-0.3
TT
6.5%
-3
DP
8.7%
-1.1
LP
3.8%
+1.8
4.3%
+0.5
1.3%
+0.7
Seimas
Spinter tyrimai - 20.05.2020
30.1%
+2.5
15.1%
+0.4
12.2%
-0.1
7.3%
-2.8
5.1%
-1.1
DP
6.5%
-1.6
LP
6.5%
+3.6
3.6%
-0.6
13.6%
+6.4
Seimas
Spinter tyrimai - 20.05.2020
26.4%
-1.2
19.3%
+4.6
13.7%
+1.4
8.5%
-1.6
5.9%
-0.3
DP
6.4%
-1.7
LP
4.3%
+1.4
3.2%
-1
12.3%
+5.1
Seimas
Spinter tyrimai - 25.02.2020
27.6%
+0.9
14.7%
+0.3
12.3%
+1
10.1%
+1
LCP
1.8%
±0
6.2%
+1.8
TT
4.9%
±0
DP
8.1%
-1.8
LP
2.9%
-2.8
4.2%
+1.3
7.2%
-3.5
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
TS-LKD + LSDP + LRLS
61.1%
TS-LKD + LSDP + DP
60.9%
LVŽS + LSDP + LRLS + DP
58%
TS-LKD + LVŽS
54.8%
TS-LKD + LRLS + DP
53.9%
TS-LKD + LRLS + TT
52.1%
TS-LKD + LSDP
51%
LVŽS + LSDP + LRLS
48.1%
LVŽS + LSDP + DP
47.9%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
TS-LKD
LVŽS
LSDP
LRLS
LCP
LLRA-KŠS
TT
DP
LP
LSDDP
LŽP
LS

Last election

The results of the last election from 23.10.2016
Seats
Party Percent Seats
LVŽS 21.5% 17.6% 54 53
TS-LKD 21.7% 6.6% 31 -2
LSDP 14.4% -4% 17 -21
LRLS 9.1% 0.5% 14 4
LLRA-KŠS 5.5% -0.3% 8 0
TT 5.3% -2% 8 -3
Sonstige 4.7% -2.1% 4 1
DP 4.7% -15.1% 2 -27
LCP 6.1% 6.1% 1 1
LŽP 1.9% 1.9% 1 1
LS 1.7% 1.7% 1 1
Liberalai 2.1% 2.1% 0 0
LLP 1.0% 1% 0 0
Drąsos Kelias 0.3% -7.7% 0 -7
In the last election of the 23.10.2016 149 representatives from 12 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election takes place on 25.10.2020.