Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania, LSDP is leading with 20.2%, followed by NA with 15.8%, DSVL with 15.6%, TS-LKD with 13.3%, LVŽS with 10%, LS with 8%, Laisvės with 2.9%, LRP with 2.1%, NS with 2.1%, LLRA-KŠS with 2% and LŽP with 1.8%. Other parties reach 6.2%.
On the rise: DSVL
+3.6 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: LS
-3.3 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 12.1% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: NA reaches 27 MPs, LSDP reaches 34 MPs, LS reaches 13 MPs, LVŽS reaches 17 MPs, DSVL reaches 27 MPs and TS-LKD reaches 23 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Lithuania is 5% for parties and 7% for party alliances.
Majority from 71 MPs
To form a government, 71 of 141 MPs are required.
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + DSVL + TS-LKD
LSDP + NA + TS-LKD
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
DSVL + TS-LKD + LVŽS + LS
LSDP + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
NA + DSVL + TS-LKD
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + NA + LS
LSDP + DSVL + LS
LSDP + DSVL + LS
NA + DSVL + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
27
19.1%
LSDP
34
24.1%
LS
13
9.2%
LVŽS
17
12.1%
DSVL
27
19.1%
TS-LKD
23
16.3%
Latest polls for Lithuania
22.6
17.9
17.4
11.7
10.6
5.4
2.1
2.1
2
1.8
1.4
2.9
Lithuania — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Lithuania
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSDP |
+1.9
|
-4.1
|
-2.1
|
-7.6
|
+0.5
|
| NA |
+1.2
|
-4.9
|
+2.9
|
+10.8
|
+0.5
|
| DSVL |
+3.6
|
+4.8
|
+3.4
|
+1.7
|
+6.2
|
| TS-LKD |
-1.6
|
+1.5
|
-1.0
|
+1.2
|
-5.0
|
| LVŽS |
+1.0
|
+0.4
|
-2.4
|
-4.0
|
+2.8
|
| LS |
-3.3
|
-5.5
|
+4.2
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
| Laisvės |
-0.9
|
±0.0
|
-1.3
|
-1.5
|
-1.7
|
| LRP |
-1.2
|
±0.0
|
-0.2
|
-1.6
|
+0.2
|
| NS |
-0.7
|
-1.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.8
|
| LLRA-KŠS |
-0.8
|
-0.2
|
+0.8
|
+0.9
|
-2.0
|
| LŽP |
+0.7
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
What's happening in Lithuania?
Lithuania: Nauseda and Simonyte head to presidential run-off
Incumbent Gitanas Nauseda declared victory in the first round but will face a run-off vote against Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte. The election was marked by security concerns amid the war in Ukraine.
DW.com
- 13.05.2024
Top European court upholds Lithuania's ban on Russian singer
The ECHR has upheld Lithuania's barring of entry to Russian pop singer Philipp Kirkorov. Lithuania accuses the entertainer of being a "soft power" tool for Russia's propaganda in former Soviet states.
DW.com
- 18.04.2024
Germany sends first soldiers for permanent Lithuania force
Germany is setting up a military base in Lithuania intended to deter Russia from further attacking its neighbors. The base is set to be fully operational with nearly 5,000 troops by 2027.
DW.com
- 08.04.2024
Government and parliament
Ingrida Šimonytė
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 141
Government & opposition
Government
: 8
Opposition
: 133
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 52
Right-leaning parties
: 46
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Lithuania
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
64
|
?
|
medium
| |
|
56
|
1.7
|
high
| |
|
48
|
?
|
high
|
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.