Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Lithuania, LSDP is leading with 19.9%, followed by NA with 18.2%, TS-LKD with 16%, DSVL with 11.6%, LS with 10.8%, LVŽS with 9.2%, LRP with 2.8%, DP with 2.7%, Laisvės with 2.5%, LLRA-KŠS with 2.3%, LT with 1.8%, NS with 1.5% and LŽP with 0.6%. Other parties reach 0.7%.
On the rise: LS
+3.0 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: TS-LKD
-2.3 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Lithuania is expected to take place in 2028.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 10.6% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 13.10.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: NA reaches 30 MPs, LSDP reaches 33 MPs, LS reaches 18 MPs, LVŽS reaches 15 MPs, DSVL reaches 19 MPs and TS-LKD reaches 26 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Lithuania is 5% for parties and 7% for party alliances.
Majority from 71 MPs
To form a government, 71 of 141 MPs are required.
LSDP + NA + TS-LKD
LSDP + DSVL + LS + LVŽS
LSDP + DSVL + LS + LVŽS
NA + DSVL + LS + LVŽS
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + NA + DSVL
LSDP + NA + LS
LSDP + TS-LKD + DSVL
LSDP + NA + LVŽS
TS-LKD + DSVL + LS + LVŽS
TS-LKD + DSVL + LS + LVŽS
LSDP + TS-LKD + LS
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL
NA + TS-LKD + DSVL
LSDP + TS-LKD + LVŽS
NA + TS-LKD + LS
NA + TS-LKD + LVŽS
LSDP + DSVL + LS
LSDP + DSVL + LS
141
Majority requires 71 seats
NA
30
21.3%
LSDP
33
23.4%
LS
18
12.8%
LVŽS
15
10.6%
DSVL
19
13.5%
TS-LKD
26
18.4%
Latest polls for Lithuania
22.9
17.1
14.8
13.7
8.5
4.8
3.5
3.4
3.3
2.9
2.1
1.2
1
0.3
0.5
Lithuania — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Lithuania
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSDP |
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
-4.5
|
-4.1
|
+0.2
|
| NA |
±0.0
|
+2.9
|
+5.9
|
+12.7
|
+2.9
|
| TS-LKD |
±0.0
|
-2.3
|
+0.2
|
+1.5
|
-2.3
|
| DSVL |
±0.0
|
+2.2
|
+0.8
|
+0.4
|
+2.2
|
| LS |
±0.0
|
+3.0
|
+6.8
|
±0.0
|
+3.0
|
| LVŽS |
±0.0
|
+2.0
|
-4.3
|
-2.4
|
+2.0
|
| LRP |
±0.0
|
+0.9
|
+0.6
|
-1.9
|
+0.9
|
| DP |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-3.1
|
-1.3
|
+2.7
|
| Laisvės |
±0.0
|
-2.1
|
-2.0
|
-2.9
|
-2.1
|
| LLRA-KŠS |
±0.0
|
-1.7
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.7
|
| LT |
±0.0
|
+1.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.8
|
+1.0
|
| NS |
±0.0
|
-1.4
|
±0.0
|
-1.1
|
-1.4
|
| LŽP |
±0.0
|
-1.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.1
|
Government and parliament
Ingrida Šimonytė
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 141
Government & opposition
Government
: 8
Opposition
: 133
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 52
Right-leaning parties
: 46
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Lithuania
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Neutrality |
|---|---|---|---|
|
63
|
?
|
bad
| |
|
60
|
1.7
|
bad
| |
|
51
|
?
|
bad
|
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.