Albania: Polls and trends for the Albanian election 2025

Current Election Trend for Albania

PS
48.7
PD-AN
39.4
LSI
6.8
PSD
2.3
Sonst.
2.8
Development since the last election on 25.04.2021
Political orientation
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Albania is expected to take place in 2025.
Government would have to worry
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 50.1% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Albania?

In the current election trend in Albania, PS leads with 48.7% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

PD-AN reaches 39.4% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

LSI reaches 6.8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

PSD reaches 2.3% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

2.8% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Albania, the government from PS would secure 50.1% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: PS, PD-AN, LSI and PSD reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 46.3% - 53.7% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Albania

Ipsos
· 2 years ago
2 years ago
Open Details
48.1
43.6
3.6
0.8
3.9
Noto Sondaggi
· 2 years ago
2 years ago
Open Details
45.5
44.5
5.8
1
3.2
Piepoli
· 2 years ago
2 years ago
Open Details
50
41
5.5
1
2.5

What is the latest poll for Albania?

The latest poll for the election in Albania was published by Ipsos. The parties achieve the following values: PS 48.1%, PD-AN 43.6%, LSI 3.6% and PSD 0.8%.

Coalitions

PS
50.1
PD-AN + LSI
47.5
LSI
7.0

Which coalitions are currently possible in Albania?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from PS each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Albania shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
PS
PD-AN
LSI
PSD

Albania — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Albania in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Albania took place on 25.04.2021.

Government and parliament

Bajram Begaj
Head of state
Edi Rama
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 140
Government & opposition
Government : 74
Opposition : 66
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 81
Right-leaning parties : 59

Which parties are in the parliament of Albania?

In the parliament of Albania, there are 140 representatives from 4 parties. 74 representatives are part of the government from PS. The opposition from PD-AN, LSI and PSD has 66 representatives.

81 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 59 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Albania?

Edi Rama governs in Albania with a coalition of PS. The head of state is Bajram Begaj.

Parliamentary election in Albania 2025

The Parliamentary election in Albania 2025 will probably take place in 2025. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Edi Rama is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of PS. In the last Parliamentary election in Albania in 2021, PS (48.7% - 74 seats), PD-AN (39.4% - 59 seats), LSI (6.8% - 4 seats) and PSD (2.3% - 3 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 46.3%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Albania?

The next election in Albania is expected to take place in the year 2025.

Who is the president of Albania?

The head of state of Albania is Bajram Begaj.

Who governs in Albania?

Edi Rama governs in Albania with a coalition of PS.

What is the electoral threshold in Albania?

The electoral threshold in Albania is 3% for parties and 5% for party alliances.

What is the latest poll for Albania?

The latest poll for the election in Albania was published by Ipsos. The parties achieve the following values: PS 48.1%, PD-AN 43.6%, LSI 3.6% and PSD 0.8%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Albania?

In the parliament of Albania, there are 140 representatives from 4 parties. 74 representatives are part of the government from PS. The opposition from PD-AN, LSI and PSD has 66 representatives.