Latest election polls for Estonia

PolitPro election trend

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R
28.1%
+0.5
K
16.9%
-1
EKRE
24.9%
+1.3
I
6%
-0.1
SDE
8.1%
±0
E200
13.1%
-0.1
ER
1.8%
-0.7
TULE
1%
±0
Sonstige
0.1%
+0.1
Development since the last election on 03.03.2019
R
-0.8
K
-6.2
EKRE
+7.1
I
-5.4
SDE
-1.7
E200
+8.7
ER
+0.6
TULE
+1.0
Political orientation
R
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K
arrow_back_ios
EKRE
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I
arrow_forward_ios
SDE
arrow_back_ios
E200
zoom_out_map
ER
nature
TULE
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 25.07.2021.

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Estland
R
29.5%
+0.7
K
16.3%
-1.4
EKRE
26.3%
+1.9
I
6.2%
-0.1
SDE
6.9%
-0.1
E200
12.6%
-0.1
ER
1.5%
+0.7
Sonstige
0.7%
-1.6
4 days ago
Norstat
Estland
R
28.8%
-1.2
K
17.7%
-2.7
EKRE
24.4%
+3.4
I
6.3%
+0.2
SDE
7%
±0
E200
12.7%
+1.3
ER
0.8%
-1.7
Sonstige
2.3%
+0.7
1 week ago
Norstat
Estland
R
30%
+1.3
K
20.4%
+1.5
EKRE
21%
-0.1
I
6.1%
+1.4
SDE
7%
-2.2
E200
11.4%
-2.1
ER
2.5%
+0.4
Sonstige
1.6%
-0.2
2 weeks ago
Norstat
Estland
R
28.7%
+2.1
K
18.9%
+0.1
EKRE
21.1%
-4.4
I
4.7%
-0.9
SDE
9.2%
+0.7
E200
13.5%
+2.6
ER
2.1%
+0.4
Sonstige
1.8%
-0.6
1 month ago
Norstat
Estland
R
25%
-2
K
18%
-1
EKRE
20%
-1
I
4%
-1
SDE
13%
+5
E200
16%
+2
ER
2%
-1
TULE
1%
-1
Sonstige
1%
±0
1 month ago
Kantar Emor
Estland
R
24%
-2
K
19%
-1
EKRE
23%
+2
I
7%
+2
SDE
9%
+1
E200
13%
-2
TULE
1%
+1
ER
3%
+1
Sonstige
1%
-2
1 month ago
Turu-uuringute AS

Possible coalitions

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Ref + Kesk + SDE + Isamaa
60.8%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE + Isamaa
60.7%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + E200
59.8%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
56.9%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + SDE
54.6%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE
54.5%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
52.5%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE
50.7%
cancel
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
48.6%
cancel
Ref + Kesk
46.3%
cancel
Kesk + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
45.4%
cancel
EKRE + E200 + Isamaa
45.3%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

R
K
EKRE
I
SDE
E200
ER
TULE
EER
Kalj
EVA

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2019 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 03.03.2019.