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Estonia: Polls and trends for the Estonian election 2027

Current Election Trend for Estonia

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Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Estonia, Isamaa is leading with 28.8%, followed by Reformierakond with 16.8%, Keskerakond with 13.7%, SDE with 13.7%, EKRE with 12.4%, Parempoolsed with 5.5%, E200 with 3.5%, Elurikkuse Erakond with 1.6%, KOOS with 1.5% and EER with 1.4%. Other parties reach 1.1%.

On the rise: I

+2.6 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: R

-1.3 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.

Government could stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 65.3% of the votes.
I
28.8
R
16.8
K
13.7
SDE
13.7
EKRE
12.4
P
5.5
E200
3.5
ER
1.6
KOOS
1.5
EER
1.4
Others
1.1

Coalitions

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Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: SDE reaches 15 MPs, Keskerakond reaches 15 MPs, Reformierakond reaches 19 MPs, Isamaa reaches 32 MPs, Parempoolsed reaches 6 MPs and EKRE reaches 14 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Estonia is 5%.

Majority from 51 MPs

To form a government, 51 of 101 MPs are required.
Isamaa + Reformierakond + SDE
Isamaa + Keskerakond + SDE
Reformierakond + Keskerakond + SDE + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + Keskerakond + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + SDE + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + EKRE + Parempoolsed
Isamaa + Reformierakond
51
101
SDE
15
K
15
R
19
I
32
P
6
EKRE
14
Majority requires 51 seats

Latest polls for Estonia

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Norstat
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
30.9
16.4
14.3
12.8
12.3
5.1
3.7
1.3
1.2
1.1
0.9
Norstat
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
27.5
20.1
15.7
13
12
4.3
3.8
1.7
0.9
0.9
0.1
Kantar Emor
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
24.4
17
14.9
14.4
13.3
6.4
2.8
2.3
1.9
1.9
0.7
I
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365 days trend
R
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365 days trend
K
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365 days trend
SDE
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365 days trend
EKRE
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365 days trend
P
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365 days trend
E200
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365 days trend
ER
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365 days trend
KOOS
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365 days trend
EER
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365 days trend
Others
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365 days trend

Election trend by party at a glance

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On the rise: I

+2.6 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: R

-1.3 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Isamaa
Reformierakond
Keskerakond
SDE
EKRE
Parempoolsed
E200
Elurikkuse Erakond
KOOS
EER
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Estonia — National parliament voting intention

Government and parliament

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Alar Karis

Head of state

Kaja Kallas

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 101
Government & opposition
Government : 54
Opposition : 47
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 25
Right-leaning parties : 62

FAQ

When is the next election in Estonia?

The next election in Estonia is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who is the president of Estonia?

The head of state of Estonia is Alar Karis.

Who governs in Estonia?

Kaja Kallas governs in Estonia with a coalition of Reformierakond, SDE and Isamaa.

What is the restrictive clause in Estonia?

The restrictive clause in Estonia is 5%.

What is the latest poll for Estonia?

The latest poll for the election in Estonia was published by Norstat. The parties achieve the following values: Isamaa 30.9%, Reformierakond 16.4%, Keskerakond 14.3%, SDE 12.8%, EKRE 12.3%, Parempoolsed 5.1%, E200 3.7%, Elurikkuse Erakond 1.3%, EER 1.2% and KOOS 1.1%.