PolitPro Election trend
Development since the last election on 03.03.2019
In the latest election trend for Estonia, the parties would get the following votes: Ref 29.9%, EKRE 25.7%, Kesk 15.5%, E200 10%, SDE 8.4%, Isamaa 6.9%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2%, P 1.2% and TULE 0.3%.
23.9% of the votes went to parties on the left of the political spectrum (center-left, left,far-left), 63.7% to parties on the right of the political spectrum (center-right, right, far-right).
With 46.9% of seats, the government of Kaja Kallas would lose its majority in parliament.
Latest election polls
Possible coalitions
Ref + EKRE
Ref + Kesk + E200
Ref + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
Ref + Kesk + SDE
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
Ref + E200 + SDE
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
Ref + Kesk
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
Development of the electoral trend
Things to know about the election trend
This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated
The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
In each case, the most recent election polls from institutes with opinion polls in the past 3 months were taken into account. A total of at least 2431 persons participated in the election polls.