Latest election polls for Estonia

PolitPro election trend

star star star star star star star star
Ref
31.4%
-1.5
Kesk
17.9%
+1.3
EKRE
19.3%
+0.4
I
5.5%
+0.1
SDE
7.3%
-0.6
E200
14.3%
+0.1
EE
2%
-0.4
TULE
1%
±0
Sonstige
1.3%
+0.6
Development since the last election on 03.03.2019
Ref
+2.5
Kesk
-5.2
EKRE
+1.5
I
-5.9
SDE
-2.5
E200
+9.9
EE
+0.8
TULE
+1.0
Political orientation
Ref
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Kesk
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EKRE
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I
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SDE
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E200
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EE
nature
TULE
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 26.02.2021.

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Estland
Ref
35.3%
+0.1
Kesk
19.3%
+3.8
EKRE
18.1%
-2.1
I
5.4%
+0.6
SDE
6.1%
-1.5
E200
12.5%
-1.2
EE
2.1%
+0.2
Sonstige
1.2%
+0.1
1 day ago
Norstat
Estland
Ref
30%
+3
Kesk
17%
-2
EKRE
20%
+6
I
5%
-3
SDE
9%
±0
E200
15%
-2
TULE
1%
±0
EE
2%
-2
Sonstige
1%
±0
1 week ago
Kantar Emor
Estland
Ref
28%
+1
Kesk
17%
-3
EKRE
20%
+3
I
6%
±0
SDE
7%
-1
E200
16%
+2
TULE
1%
±0
EE
2%
-1
Sonstige
3%
-1
1 week ago
Turu-uuringute AS
Estland
Ref
35.2%
+0.6
Kesk
15.5%
-5.2
EKRE
20.2%
+1.1
I
4.8%
-1.3
SDE
7.6%
+2.6
E200
13.7%
+2
EE
1.9%
+0.3
Sonstige
1.1%
-0.1
1 week ago
Norstat
Estland
Ref
34.6%
+2.3
Kesk
20.7%
+2.1
EKRE
19.1%
+2
I
6.1%
+1
SDE
5%
-2.7
E200
11.7%
-3.7
EE
1.6%
-0.9
Sonstige
1.2%
-0.1
2 weeks ago
Norstat
Estland
Ref
32.3%
+0.7
Kesk
18.6%
-2.1
EKRE
17.1%
-2.1
I
5.1%
-0.1
SDE
7.7%
+2.6
E200
15.4%
+0.4
EE
2.5%
+0.1
Sonstige
1.3%
+0.5
3 weeks ago
Norstat

Possible coalitions

check_circle
Ref + Kesk + SDE
59.1%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
57.2%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE
55.3%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
53.4%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE
53.0%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk
51.5%
cancel
Ref + E200
47.7%
cancel
Kesk + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
46.9%
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Ref + SDE + Isamaa
46.1%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

Ref
Kesk
EKRE
I
SDE
E200
EE
TULE
EER
Kalj
EVA

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2019 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 03.03.2019.