Latest election polls for Estonia

PolitPro election trend

Ref
27.8%
-0.8
Kesk
20.1%
+0.2
EKRE
14.5%
-0.7
I
6.2%
+0.2
SDE
9.7%
+0.3
E200
15.6%
+0.7
EE
3.2%
+0.2
TULE
1.7%
+0.1
Sonstige
1.2%
-0.2
Development since the last election on 03.03.2019
Ref
-1.1
Kesk
-3.0
EKRE
-3.3
I
-5.2
SDE
-0.1
E200
+11.2
EE
+2.0
TULE
+1.7
Political orientation
Ref
arrow_forward_ios
Kesk
arrow_back_ios
EKRE
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
I
arrow_forward_ios
SDE
arrow_back_ios
E200
zoom_out_map
EE
nature
TULE
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 28.11.2020.

Latest election polls

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Ref
29.6%
-4.1
Kesk
21%
+1.4
EKRE
13.1%
-1.5
I
6.5%
+0.5
SDE
9.4%
+1.1
E200
14.8%
+1.4
EE
3%
+0.7
TULE
0.4%
-0.2
Sonstige
2.2%
+0.7
Ref
28%
-5
Kesk
17%
±0
EKRE
16%
+1
I
6%
+1
SDE
10%
-1
E200
18%
+5
TULE
2%
±0
EE
3%
+3
Ref
33.7%
+4
Kesk
19.6%
-4.9
EKRE
14.6%
-1.9
I
6%
+1.5
SDE
8.3%
-0.8
E200
13.4%
+2
EE
2.3%
+2.3
TULE
0.6%
+0.2
Sonstige
1.5%
+0.5
Ref
23%
-3
Kesk
24%
-3
EKRE
15%
-3
I
6%
+1
SDE
10%
+1
E200
13%
+6
EE
4%
+1
TULE
1%
±0
Sonstige
4%
±0
Ref
29.7%
-1.8
Kesk
24.5%
+3.5
EKRE
16.5%
-1.7
I
4.5%
-0.4
SDE
9.1%
+1.9
E200
11.4%
+1.3
EER
2.9%
+0.4
TULE
0.4%
+0.1
Sonstige
1%
-3.3
Ref
31.5%
-3.6
Kesk
21%
+0.7
EKRE
18.2%
+4
I
4.9%
-2
SDE
7.2%
-1.4
E200
10.1%
+1.2
EER
2.5%
+2.5
TULE
0.3%
-0.3
Sonstige
4.3%
+2

Possible coalitions

check_circle
Ref + E200 + EKRE
61.6%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + SDE
61.3%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
57.6%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE
56.5%
check_circle
Kesk + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
54.9%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
52.8%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE + Isamaa
51.6%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk
51.0%
cancel
Kesk + E200 + SDE
48.3%
cancel
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
46.5%
cancel
Ref + E200
46.2%
cancel
Ref + EKRE
45.0%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

Ref
Kesk
EKRE
I
SDE
E200
EE
TULE
EER
Kalj
EVA

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 03.03.2019.