Latest election polls for Estonia

PolitPro election trend

star star star star star star star star
Ref
30.9%
+0.5
Kesk
18.5%
-7.6
EKRE
14.8%
-2
I
5.7%
+1
SDE
9.3%
+0.5
E200
9.6%
+1
EER
2.4%
+0.4
Kalj
15%
+15
EE
0%
-1.7
Sonstige
0.3%
-0.6
Changes to the last election from 03.03.2019
Ref
+2.0
Kesk
-4.6
EKRE
-3.0
I
-5.7
SDE
-0.5
E200
+5.2
EER
+0.6
Kalj
+15.0
EE
-1.2
Political orientation
Ref
arrow_forward_ios
Kesk
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EKRE
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I
arrow_forward_ios
SDE
arrow_back_ios
E200
zoom_out_map
EER
nature
Kalj
arrow_back_ios
EE
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 20.09.2020.

Latest election polls

Riigikogu
Ref
32.5%
-0.8
EKRE
13.8%
-1.7
I
5.8%
+1.2
SDE
9.1%
+0.8
E200
9.7%
+1.3
EER
2.5%
+2.5
Kalj
22.5%
+22.5
Sonstige
4.1%
+2.4
4 days ago
Norstat
Riigikogu
Ref
33.3%
+0.3
Kesk
26.2%
+1.7
EKRE
15.5%
-0.7
I
4.6%
+0.6
SDE
8.3%
-0.5
E200
8.4%
+0.8
EE
2%
+2
Sonstige
1.7%
-0.9
1 week ago
Norstat
Riigikogu
Ref
33%
-2.5
Kesk
24.5%
+3.6
EKRE
16.2%
+0.1
I
4%
-1.8
SDE
8.8%
+2.1
E200
7.6%
-2.3
EER
3.3%
+2
Sonstige
2.6%
±0
2 weeks ago
Norstat
Riigikogu
Ref
35.5%
+2.5
Kesk
20.9%
-2
EKRE
16.1%
+0.7
I
5.8%
-0.3
SDE
6.7%
-3.1
E200
9.9%
+2
EER
1.3%
-1
EVA
0.7%
+0.1
EE
0.5%
±0
Sonstige
2.6%
+1.1
3 weeks ago
Norstat
Riigikogu
Ref
23%
-10
Kesk
26%
-1
EKRE
20%
+4
I
5%
+2
SDE
10%
+2
E200
9%
±0
EER
2%
±0
EVA
0%
±0
EE
1%
+1
Sonstige
4%
+2
3 weeks ago
Turu-uuringute AS
Riigikogu
Ref
33%
+0.9
Kesk
22.9%
+3.5
EKRE
15.4%
-3.6
I
6.1%
-0.1
SDE
9.8%
+1.4
E200
7.9%
-1.5
EER
2.3%
+1.1
EVA
0.6%
-0.5
EE
0.5%
-0.7
Sonstige
1.5%
-0.5
4 weeks ago
Norstat

Possible coalitions

check_circle
Ref + Kesk + E200
60.7%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + SDE
60.4%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
57.2%
check_circle
Ref + Raimond Kaljulaid + E200
57.1%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE + E200
56.9%
check_circle
Ref + Raimond Kaljulaid + SDE
56.8%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
56.7%
check_circle
Kesk + Raimond Kaljulaid + E200 + SDE
53.9%
check_circle
Ref + Raimond Kaljulaid + Isamaa
53.1%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE + Isamaa
52.9%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE
51.3%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk
50.8%
check_circle
Kesk + Raimond Kaljulaid + E200 + Isamaa
50.2%
cancel
Kesk + Raimond Kaljulaid + SDE + Isamaa
49.9%
cancel
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
47.6%
cancel
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
47.3%
cancel
Ref + Raimond Kaljulaid
47.2%
cancel
Ref + EKRE
47.0%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

Ref
Kesk
EKRE
I
SDE
E200
EER
EE
Kalj
EVA

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 03.03.2019.