Latest election polls for Estonia

PolitPro election trend

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Ref
28.3%
-1.6
Kesk
20.1%
-0.4
EKRE
23.1%
+4.2
I
4.9%
-0.4
SDE
6.6%
-0.7
E200
12.6%
-0.4
ER
2.2%
-0.1
TULE
1.7%
±0
Sonstige
0.5%
-0.6
Development since the last election on 03.03.2019
Ref
-0.6
Kesk
-3.0
EKRE
+5.3
I
-6.5
SDE
-3.2
E200
+8.2
ER
+1.0
TULE
+1.7
Political orientation
Ref
arrow_forward_ios
Kesk
arrow_back_ios
EKRE
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
I
arrow_forward_ios
SDE
arrow_back_ios
E200
zoom_out_map
ER
nature
TULE
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 09.05.2021.

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Estland
Ref
29.1%
-4.3
Kesk
20.7%
-1.6
EKRE
23.9%
+8.3
I
4.8%
-0.9
SDE
6%
-0.9
E200
11.9%
-0.2
ER
1.9%
±0
Sonstige
1.7%
-0.4
3 days ago
Norstat
Estland
Ref
33.4%
+3.7
Kesk
22.3%
+3
EKRE
15.6%
-1.8
I
5.7%
-0.2
SDE
6.9%
±0
E200
12.1%
-4.8
ER
1.9%
-0.2
Sonstige
2.1%
+0.3
1 week ago
Norstat
Estland
Ref
27%
-1
Kesk
19%
+1
EKRE
21%
+2
I
5%
±0
SDE
8%
-1
E200
14%
-2
ER
3%
-1
TULE
2%
+1
Sonstige
1%
+1
2 weeks ago
Kantar Emor
Estland
Ref
29.7%
-0.8
Kesk
19.3%
+2
EKRE
17.4%
-3.8
I
5.9%
+0.2
SDE
6.9%
-1.3
E200
16.9%
+3.4
ER
2.1%
+0.5
Sonstige
1.8%
-0.2
2 weeks ago
Norstat
Estland
Ref
27%
+1
Kesk
19%
-1
EKRE
23%
+4
I
5%
-1
SDE
7%
-2
E200
13%
-2
ER
2%
-1
TULE
1%
±0
Sonstige
3%
+2
3 weeks ago
Turu-uuringute AS
Estland
Ref
30.5%
-3.9
Kesk
17.3%
-2.8
EKRE
21.2%
+1.6
I
5.7%
+0.6
SDE
8.2%
+1.9
E200
13.5%
+2.6
ER
1.6%
-0.1
Sonstige
2%
+0.1
3 weeks ago
Norstat

Possible coalitions

check_circle
Ref + EKRE
56.7%
check_circle
Ref + Kesk
53.4%
check_circle
Ref + E200 + SDE
52.4%
cancel
Ref + E200
45.1%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

Ref
Kesk
EKRE
I
SDE
E200
ER
TULE
EER
Kalj
EVA

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2019 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 03.03.2019.