Election trends and current polls for Estonia

Latest election trend

R
23.7
EKRE
22.5
K
16.9
E200
12.3
SDE
10.0
I
8.0
P
2.6
ER
2.5
EÜVP
1.1
Others
0.4
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Estonia is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 44.7% of the votes.
Election trend information

Various institutes regularly conduct election polls to determine the current political mood in Estonia. In order to make poll values comparable, the PolitPro election trend calculates a weighted average value of current election polls.

In the current PolitPro election trend for Parliamentary election in Estonia, the parties score as follows: Ref 23.7%, EKRE 22.5%, Kesk 16.9%, E200 12.3%, SDE 10%, Isamaa 8%, Parempoolsed 2.6%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2.5% and EÜVP 1.1%. If this week were an election in Estonia, EKRE might make the biggest gains in voter favorability, with +6.4 growth since the last election. Elurikkuse Erakond, on the other hand, would lose the most votes to the last election result ().

The most recent election polls were surveyed by Norstat for Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut, Kantar Emor for ERR and Turu-uuringute AS. The most recent polls from institutes with polls in the past 3 months were considered in each case. A total of at least 3380 people participated in the election polls.

Important: Election polls are not election forecasts, but represent the current political mood in the respective survey period.

Latest election polls

Coalitions

Ref + EKRE + E200
62.7
Ref + EKRE + Isamaa
58.1
Ref + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
Ref + Kesk + E200
56.7
Ref + Kesk + SDE
54.2
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
52.1
Kesk + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
Ref + EKRE
49.5
Ref + E200 + SDE
49.3
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
44.7
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Election trend development

Government

Ref
Centre-right
SDE
Centre-left
Isamaa
Centre-right
Alar Karis
Head of state
Kaja Kallas
Head of government

Current Parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 101
Government & opposition
Government : 54
Opposition : 47
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 25
Right-leaning parties : 62

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