Latest election polls for Estonia

PolitPro election trend

Ref
30.9%
±0
Kesk
22.8%
+4.3
EKRE
15.2%
+0.4
I
4.9%
-0.8
SDE
9.6%
+0.3
E200
8.6%
-1
EE
3.1%
+3.1
Sonstige
4.9%
-12.8
Changes to the last election from 03.03.2019
Ref
+2.0
Kesk
-0.3
EKRE
-2.6
I
-6.5
SDE
-0.2
E200
+4.2
EE
+1.9
Political orientation
Ref
arrow_forward_ios
Kesk
arrow_back_ios
EKRE
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I
arrow_forward_ios
SDE
arrow_back_ios
E200
zoom_out_map
EE
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 26.09.2020.

Latest election polls

Ref
27%
+4
Kesk
24%
-2
EKRE
16%
-4
I
5%
±0
SDE
11%
+1
E200
9%
±0
EE
3%
+2
Sonstige
5%
+1
Ref
34.7%
+2.2
Kesk
21.6%
+21.6
EKRE
14.3%
+0.5
I
4.8%
-1
SDE
8.2%
-0.9
E200
8.1%
-1.6
EE
3.2%
+3.2
Sonstige
5.1%
+1
Ref
32.5%
-0.8
EKRE
13.8%
-1.7
I
5.8%
+1.2
SDE
9.1%
+0.8
E200
9.7%
+1.3
EER
2.5%
+2.5
Kalj
22.5%
+22.5
Sonstige
4.1%
+2.4
Ref
33.3%
+0.3
Kesk
26.2%
+1.7
EKRE
15.5%
-0.7
I
4.6%
+0.6
SDE
8.3%
-0.5
E200
8.4%
+0.8
EE
2%
+2
Sonstige
1.7%
-0.9
Ref
33%
-2.5
Kesk
24.5%
+3.6
EKRE
16.2%
+0.1
I
4%
-1.8
SDE
8.8%
+2.1
E200
7.6%
-2.3
EER
3.3%
+2
Sonstige
2.6%
±0
Ref
35.5%
+2.5
Kesk
20.9%
-2
EKRE
16.1%
+0.7
I
5.8%
-0.3
SDE
6.7%
-3.1
E200
9.9%
+2
EER
1.3%
-1
EVA
0.7%
+0.1
EE
0.5%
±0
Sonstige
2.6%
+1.1

Possible coalitions

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Ref + Kesk
61.7%
check_circle
Ref + SDE + E200
56.4%
check_circle
Ref + EKRE
53.0%
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Kesk + SDE + E200
47.1%
cancel
Ref + SDE
46.5%
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Ref + E200
45.4%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

Ref
Kesk
EKRE
I
SDE
E200
EE
EER
Kalj
EVA

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 03.03.2019.