Estonia: Latest election trends & polls

The current political sentiment at a glance

PolitPro Election trend

R
29.9
EKRE
25.7
K
15.5
E200
10.0
SDE
8.4
I
6.9
ER
2.0
P
1.2
TULE
0.3
Sonst.
0.1
In the latest election trend for Estonia, the parties would get the following votes: Ref 29.9%, EKRE 25.7%, Kesk 15.5%, E200 10%, SDE 8.4%, Isamaa 6.9%, Elurikkuse Erakond 2%, P 1.2% and TULE 0.3%.
23.9% of the votes went to parties on the left of the political spectrum (center-left, left,far-left), 63.7% to parties on the right of the political spectrum (center-right, right, far-right).
With 46.9% of seats, the government of Kaja Kallas would lose its majority in parliament.

Latest election polls

Possible coalitions

Ref + EKRE
57.7
Ref + Kesk + E200
57.5
Ref + E200 + SDE + Isamaa
Ref + Kesk + SDE
55.8
Ref + Kesk + Isamaa
54.3
Ref + E200 + SDE
50.1
Ref + E200 + Isamaa
48.6
Ref + Kesk
47.1
Ref + SDE + Isamaa
46.9

Development of the electoral trend

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
In each case, the most recent election polls from institutes with opinion polls in the past 3 months were taken into account. A total of at least 2431 persons participated in the election polls.
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