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Austria: Polls and trends for the Austrian election 2024

Current Election Trend for Austria

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Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Austria, FPÖ is leading with 27.8%, followed by ÖVP with 24.2%, SPÖ with 20.6%, NEOS with 9.2%, GRÜNE with 8.4%, Bierpartei with 5.2%, KPÖ with 2.7%, Keine with 0.9% and Liste Madeleine Petrovic with 0.9%. Other parties reach 0.2%.

On the rise: ÖVP

+0.8 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: GRÜNE

-1.2 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 29.09.2024

The next general election in Austria will be held in 14.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 34.2% of the votes.
FPÖ
27.8
ÖVP
24.2
SPÖ
20.6
NEOS
9.2
GRÜNE
8.4
BIER
5.2
KPÖ
2.7
KEINE
0.9
PETRO
0.9
Sonst.
0.2

Coalitions

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Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: SPÖ reaches 40 MPs, GRÜNE reaches 16 MPs, NEOS reaches 17 MPs, Bierpartei reaches 10 MPs, ÖVP reaches 47 MPs and FPÖ reaches 53 MPs.

4% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Austria is 4% of valid votes or one basic mandate.

Majority from 92 MPs

To form a government, 92 of 183 MPs are required.
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
104
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
103
FPÖ + ÖVP
100
ÖVP + SPÖ + Bierpartei
FPÖ + SPÖ
93
ÖVP + NEOS + GRÜNE + Bierpartei
ÖVP + SPÖ
87
ÖVP + GRÜNE
63
183
SPÖ
40
GRÜNE
16
NEOS
17
BIER
10
ÖVP
47
FPÖ
53
Majority requires 92 seats

Latest polls for Austria

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FPÖ
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365 days trend
ÖVP
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365 days trend
SPÖ
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365 days trend
NEOS
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365 days trend
GRÜNE
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365 days trend
BIER
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365 days trend
KPÖ
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365 days trend
KEINE
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365 days trend
PETRO
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365 days trend
Others
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365 days trend

Election trend by party at a glance

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On the rise: ÖVP

+0.8 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: GRÜNE

-1.2 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
FPÖ
ÖVP
SPÖ
NEOS
GRÜNE
Bierpartei
KPÖ
Keine
Liste Madeleine Petrovic
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Polling the states

Austria — National parliament voting intention

Election 2024

General Info: Election Day, Voters, and Electorate

The 2024 Austrian National Council election will take place on September 29, 2024. Approximately 6.4 million Austrians are eligible to vote. Voter registration includes all individuals who were at least 16 years old by the cut-off date of July 9, 2024. Austrian citizens living abroad also have the option to participate. The election will determine the 183 seats in the National Council, which is elected for a five-year term.

Electoral Threshold & Mandates

In this election, a 4% threshold applies. Parties that receive less than 4% of the vote will not be represented in the National Council, unless they win a direct mandate in a regional constituency. A total of 183 seats will be distributed proportionally among the parties based on the election results.

Electoral System

Austria uses a proportional representation system to elect its National Council. This means that parties receive seats based on the percentage of votes they win. Seats are allocated on three levels: regional, state, and national. This ensures that votes are fairly translated into parliamentary mandates.

Polling Trends and Key Events

Current polls place the ÖVP and FPÖ ahead of the other parties. The FPÖ has gained traction on issues such as immigration and inflation, while the ÖVP faced internal challenges. External factors like the inflation crisis and the war in Ukraine are significantly impacting voter behavior.

Coalition Possibilities

No party is expected to achieve an absolute majority, making coalition governments necessary. In the latest election trend, no coalition can be formed without FPÖ or ÖVP. The final outcome will depend heavily on the election results.

Chancellor Candidates

Key candidates for chancellor in the 2024 election are Karl Nehammer (ÖVP), Andreas Babler (SPÖ), and Herbert Kickl (FPÖ). Nehammer focuses on stability and security, Babler emphasizes social justice, while Kickl prioritizes stricter asylum policies and tackling inflation.

Current Government

The current government is a coalition between the ÖVP and the Greens, with Karl Nehammer serving as Chancellor. The coalition has faced pressure due to rising inflation, the energy crisis, and immigration issues. Tensions between the coalition partners have increased in recent months.

2019 Election

In the 2019 National Council election, the ÖVP won with 37.5% of the vote. The Greens returned to the National Council with 13.9% and formed a coalition with the ÖVP. The SPÖ received 21.2%, FPÖ 16.2%, and NEOS 8.1%. This election was heavily influenced by the 'Ibiza scandal,' which led to the resignation of Vice-Chancellor Heinz-Christian Strache.

Government and parliament

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Alexander Van der Bellen

Head of state

Karl Nehammer

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 183
Government & opposition
Government : 97
Opposition : 86
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 66
Right-leaning parties : 102

FAQ

When is the next election in Austria?

The next election in Austria is on 29.09.2024.

Who is the president of Austria?

The head of state of Austria is Alexander Van der Bellen.

Who governs in Austria?

Karl Nehammer governs in Austria with a coalition of ÖVP and GRÜNE.

What is the restrictive clause in Austria?

The restrictive clause in Austria is 4% of valid votes or one basic mandate.

What is the latest poll for Austria?

The latest poll for the election in Austria was published by Unique Research. The parties achieve the following values: FPÖ 28%, ÖVP 25%, SPÖ 21%, NEOS 9%, GRÜNE 8%, Bierpartei 4%, KPÖ 3% and Liste Madeleine Petrovic 1%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Austria?

In the parliament of Austria, there are 183 representatives from 5 parties. 97 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and GRÜNE. The opposition from SPÖ, FPÖ and NEOS has 86 representatives.