Current Election Trend for Austria
Who is leading in the election trend in Austria?
In the current election trend in Austria, FPÖ leads with 28.6%. This is a significant increase of +12.4 percentage points since the last election.
SPÖ lands at 22.4% and gains +1.2 percentage points since the last election.
ÖVP reaches 21.1%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-16.4).
NEOS lands at 10.4% and gains +2.3 percentage points since the last election.
GRÜNE reaches 8.5%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-5.4).
Bierpartei reaches 5.7%. This is a significant increase of +5.6 percentage points since the last election.
KPÖ (2.8%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.
0.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).
Which polls were considered in the election trend?
For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft for O24, Market for Der Standard, IFDD, OGM for Servus TV, INSA for eXXpress, Triple M and Peter Hajek, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.
Therefore, the will of at least 9217 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.
What values do the small parties have?
Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.
Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.
Could the government stay in office?
Which parties would enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: FPÖ, SPÖ, ÖVP, NEOS, GRÜNE and Bierpartei reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.
To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.
Are non-voters considered in the election trend?
Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?
Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament
Latest polls for Austria
What is the latest poll for Austria?
Which coalitions are currently possible in Austria?
Information on the Coalition Overview
The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Austria shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.
The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).
Polling the states
Information about the Strongest Parties in the Federal States
The map of the polling results for the federal states shows the strongest party in the election trend of each respective state. The colors of the parties are updated daily based on the latest poll results.
SPÖ currently leads in the election trend of 3 federal states: Burgenland, Carinthia and Vienna.
ÖVP currently leads in the election trend of 4 federal states: Lower Austria, Salzburg, Tyrol and Vorarlberg.
FPÖ currently leads in the election trend of 2 federal states: Styria and Upper Austria.
Election trend by party at a glance
Austria — National parliament voting intention
Information on the Development of the Election Trend
Government and parliament
Which parties are in the parliament of Austria?
In the parliament of Austria, there are 183 representatives from 5 parties. 97 representatives are part of the government from ÖVP and GRÜNE. The opposition from SPÖ, FPÖ and NEOS has 86 representatives.
66 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 102 representatives are politically more right-leaning.
Who governs in Austria?
Parliamentary election in Austria 2024
The Parliamentary election in Austria 2024 will probably take place in 2024. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.
Karl Nehammer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of ÖVP and GRÜNE. In the last Parliamentary election in Austria in 2019, ÖVP (37.5% - 71 seats), SPÖ (21.2% - 40 seats), FPÖ (16.2% - 31 seats), GRÜNE (13.9% - 26 seats) and NEOS (8.1% - 15 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 75.6%.