Austria: Polls and trends for the Austrian election 2029

Current Election Trend for Austria

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Austria, FPÖ is leading with 36.5%, followed by ÖVP with 20%, SPÖ with 17.8%, GRÜNE with 10.9%, NEOS with 9.7% and KPÖ with 3.1%. Other parties reach 2%.

On the rise: FPÖ

+1.0 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: ÖVP

-1.3 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Austria is expected to take place in 2029.

Government would have to worry

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 49.7% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 29.09.2024
FPÖ
+7.7
ÖVP
-6.3
SPÖ
-3.3
GRÜNE
+2.7
NEOS
+0.6
KPÖ
+0.7
Political orientation
FPÖ
ÖVP
SPÖ
GRÜNE
NEOS
KPÖ
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
FPÖ
36.5
ÖVP
20.0
SPÖ
17.8
GRÜNE
10.9
NEOS
9.7
KPÖ
3.1
Others
2.0

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SPÖ reaches 34 MPs, GRÜNE reaches 21 MPs, NEOS reaches 18 MPs, ÖVP reaches 39 MPs and FPÖ reaches 71 MPs.

Electoral System

The Austrian Parliament has 183 seats. The distribution is based on proportional representation with a 4% threshold. Seats are allocated through three investigative procedures: regional, statewide, and federal.

4% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Austria is 4% of valid votes or one basic mandate.

Majority from 92 MPs

To form a government, 92 of 183 MPs are required.
FPÖ + ÖVP
60.1%
FPÖ + SPÖ
57.4%
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
51.4%
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
49.7%
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
34
18.6%
GRÜNE
21
11.5%
NEOS
18
9.8%
ÖVP
39
21.3%
FPÖ
71
38.8%

Latest polls for Austria

New Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft
· 5 days ago
5 days ago
FPÖ
38
ÖVP
19
SPÖ
18
GRÜNE
10
NEOS
10
KPÖ
2
Others
3
OGM
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
FPÖ
36
ÖVP
20
SPÖ
17
GRÜNE
12
NEOS
9
KPÖ
4
Others
2
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
FPÖ
38
ÖVP
19
SPÖ
18
GRÜNE
10
NEOS
10
KPÖ
2
Others
3

Parliamentary Election in Austria 2024

29.09.2024

Parliamentary Election in Austria 2019

29.09.2019

Austria — National parliament voting intention

FPÖ ÖVP SPÖ GRÜNE NEOS KPÖ BIER KEINE LMP MFG

Polling the states

Parties in Austria

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative
FPÖ ÖVP SPÖ NEOS GRÜNE

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
FPÖ
+1.0
+1.5
+3.8
+1.8
+7.7
ÖVP
-1.3
-1.4
-2.2
-1.1
-6.3
SPÖ
±0.0
-1.4
-2.0
-2.1
-3.3
GRÜNE
+0.4
+0.9
+0.8
+3.0
+2.7
NEOS
+0.7
±0.0
-1.1
-0.8
+0.6
KPÖ
-0.3
+0.5
±0.0
+0.4
+0.7
Show more

Electoral system

Two chambers, one parliament: National Council and Federal Council

Austria's Parliament consists of two chambers: the National Council with 183 representatives and the Federal Council with 61 members. The National Council is directly elected every five years and is the actual center of power. The Federal Council represents the nine federal states - its composition changes after each state election.

Proportional representation with twists: How votes turn into seats

Austria votes based on the principle of proportional representation with a 4% threshold nationwide. A unique feature: the allocation of seats occurs in three stages - from the 39 regional electoral districts to the nine state electoral districts and finally to the federal electoral district. Parties that remain below 4% nationwide can still enter through a basic mandate in the regional electoral district.

Preference votes and leftover votes: The fine print matters

Voters can promote individual candidates with preference votes - once a certain threshold is reached, they can even surpass list positions. Interestingly, unused votes carry over as 'leftover votes' to the next level of allocation. This allows parties to gain additional mandates even if they performed poorly regionally.
Direct Election Members are elected directly by the people.
Party List Vote Voters choose between party lists instead of individuals.
Proportional System Seats are distributed in proportion to votes received.
One Round The election is decided in a single round of voting.
Free Elections are free, fair and competitive.

Government and parliament

Alexander Van der Bellen

Head of state

Christian Stocker

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 183
Government & opposition
Government : 110
Opposition : 73
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 57
Right-leaning parties : 108

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Austria

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
87
IFDD
1.1
low
87
Unique Research
1.3
low
83
OGM
1.7
very low
82
Market
1.6
low
80
Spectra
1.3
low
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!