Moldova: Polls and trends for the Moldovan election 2026

Current Election Trend for Moldova

PAS
37.2
PSRM
20.3
SAN
19.2
MAN
4.7
PR
3.6
PCRM
3.2
PN
3.1
PDCM
2.9
PSDE
2.8
PPDA
1.2
Sonst.
1.8
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Who is leading in the election trend in Moldova?

In the current election trend in Moldova, PAS leads with 37.2%. This is a significant loss of -15.6 percentage points since the last election.

PSRM reaches 20.3%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

Șansă reaches 19.2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

MAN (4.7%), PR (3.6%), PCRM (3.2%), PN (3.1%), PDCM (2.9%), PSDE (2.8%) and PPDA (1.2%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

1.8% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from iData, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 1011 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Moldova, the government from would secure 0% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 3 parties could enter parliament: PAS, PSRM and Șansă reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 48.4% - 51.6% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Moldova

iData
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
37.2
20.3
19.2
4.7
3.6
3.2
3.1
2.9
2.8
1.2
0.9
0.9
iData
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
35.5
19
17.8
7.2
4
3.7
2.7
2.5
2.4
1.3
1.2
0.4
2.3
iData
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
35.6
19.3
18.3
5.2
5.1
4.6
3.3
2.8
2.1
0.9
0.6
1.2

What is the latest poll for Moldova?

The latest poll for the election in Moldova was published by iData. The parties achieve the following values: PAS 37.2%, PSRM 20.3%, Șansă 19.2%, MAN 4.7%, PR 3.6%, PCRM 3.2%, PN 3.1%, PDCM 2.9%, PSDE 2.8%, PPDA 1.2% and CUB 0.9%.

Coalitions

PAS + PSRM
75.0
PAS + Șansă
73.5
PAS
48.5

Which coalitions are currently possible in Moldova?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from PAS and PSRM and Coalition from PAS and Șansă each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Moldova shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: Șansă
+6.8 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: PN
-2.0 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
PAS
PSRM
Șansă
MAN
PR
PCRM
PN
PDCM
PSDE
PPDA
Show more

Moldova — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Moldova in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Moldova took place on 11.07.2021.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 101
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 95
Right-leaning parties : 6

Which parties are in the parliament of Moldova?

In the parliament of Moldova, there are 101 representatives from 3 parties. 0 representatives are part of the government from . The opposition from PAS, BECS and PPȘ has 101 representatives.

95 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 6 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Moldova?

In Moldova, a coalition of governs.

Parliamentary election in Moldova 2026

The Parliamentary election in Moldova 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Unknown orientation of . In the last Parliamentary election in Moldova in 2021, PAS (52.8% - 63 seats), BECS (27.2% - 32 seats) and PPȘ (5.7% - 6 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 48.4%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Moldova?

The next election in Moldova is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who governs in Moldova?

In Moldova, a coalition of governs.

What is the electoral threshold in Moldova?

The electoral threshold in Moldova is 5% for parties, 3% for independent candidates, and 12% for party alliances.

What is the latest poll for Moldova?

The latest poll for the election in Moldova was published by iData. The parties achieve the following values: PAS 37.2%, PSRM 20.3%, Șansă 19.2%, MAN 4.7%, PR 3.6%, PCRM 3.2%, PN 3.1%, PDCM 2.9%, PSDE 2.8%, PPDA 1.2% and CUB 0.9%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Moldova?

In the parliament of Moldova, there are 101 representatives from 3 parties. 0 representatives are part of the government from . The opposition from PAS, BECS and PPȘ has 101 representatives.