Portugal: Polls and trends for the Portuguese election 2028

Current Election Trend for Portugal

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Portugal, Aliança Democrática is leading with 29.8%, followed by Partido Socialista with 28.5%, Chega with 17.6%, Iniciativa Liberal with 5.8%, Bloco de Esquerda with 4.4%, LIVRE with 3.5%, CDU with 3.4% and PAN with 2.6%. Other parties reach 4.4%.

On the rise: CH

+0.9 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: IL

-1.7 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 31.3% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
AD
29.8
PS
28.5
CH
17.6
IL
5.8
BE
4.4
L
3.5
CDU
3.4
PAN
2.6
Others
4.4

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Bloco de Esquerda reaches 10 MPs, CDU reaches 8 MPs, LIVRE reaches 8 MPs, PAN reaches 6 MPs, Partido Socialista reaches 69 MPs, Iniciativa Liberal reaches 14 MPs, Aliança Democrática reaches 72 MPs and Chega reaches 43 MPs.

No restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 0%.

Majority from 116 MPs

To form a government, 116 of 230 MPs are required.
Aliança Democrática + Partido Socialista
61.3%
Aliança Democrática + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
56.1%
Aliança Democrática + Chega
50.0%
Aliança Democrática
31.3%
230
Majority requires 116 seats
BE
10
4.3%
CDU
8
3.5%
L
8
3.5%
PAN
6
2.6%
PS
69
30%
IL
14
6.1%
AD
72
31.3%
CH
43
18.7%

Latest polls for Portugal

New Aximage
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
29.3
28.1
18.4
5.6
4.1
3.8
3.5
2.4
4.8
Intercampus
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
28.2
27.8
17.3
7
5.9
3.9
3.4
3.4
3.1
ICS/ISCTE
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
33
30
17
4
3
3
2
2

Portugal — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Portugal

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Aliança Democrática
Partido Socialista
Chega
Iniciativa Liberal
Bloco de Esquerda
LIVRE
CDU
PAN
Show more

Government and parliament

Luís Montenegro

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 226
Government & opposition
Government : 79
Opposition : 147
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 91
Right-leaning parties : 127

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Portugal

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
74
1.5
low
73
1.9
medium
72
0.9
high
70
2.1
medium
68
2.0
high
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.