Election trends and current polls for Portugal

Current Election Trend for Portugal

PS
29.2
PSD
26.6
CH
15.5
BE
7.4
IL
7.3
CDU
3.4
PAN
3.0
L
2.3
PP
1.9
Sonst.
3.4
Next election: 10.03.2024
The next general election in Portugal will be held in 90.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 30.2% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend for Portugal?

If the election were held this Sunday in Parliamentary election in Portugal, the parties would achieve the following values: Partido Socialista 29.2%, PSD 26.6%, Chega 15.5%, Bloco de Esquerda 7.4%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.3%, CDU 3.4%, PAN 3%, LIVRE 2.3% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.9%.

With a +8.3 increase since the last election, Chega could gain the most favor among voters. In comparison, Partido Socialista would lose the most votes compared to the last election (-12.5).

Important: Election polls are not election forecasts, but represent the current political mood in the respective survey period.

Which Sunday questions were considered in the election trend?

The election trend considers the latest polls from CESOP-UCP, Aximage, Intercampus and ICS/ISCTE.

The latest Sunday questions from institutes with surveys in the past 100 days were considered. In total, at least 3312 people participated in the election polls.

Latest election trend

CESOP-UCP
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
29
28
16
9
6
3
2
2
2
Aximage
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
32.9
26.7
16.2
6.9
5
3.2
2.9
2
1.5
2.7
Intercampus
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
25.6
23.7
14.6
10.3
9.1
4.8
3.5
3.2
2.1
3.1

What is the latest Sunday question for Portugal?

The latest Sunday question for the election in Portugal was published by CESOP-UCP. The parties achieve the following values: PSD 29%, Partido Socialista 28%, Chega 16%, Iniciativa Liberal 9%, Bloco de Esquerda 6%, CDU 3%, CDS–Partido Popular 2%, PAN 2% and LIVRE 2%.

Coalitions

Partido Socialista + PSD
57.7
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + PAN
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
51.1
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU
Partido Socialista
30.2

Which coalitions are currently possible in Portugal?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from Partido Socialista and PSD, Coalition from Partido Socialista, Bloco de Esquerda, Iniciativa Liberal, CDU and PAN and Coalition from PSD, Chega and Iniciativa Liberal each achieve a majority in parliament.

What is happening in Portugal?

Parliamentary election in Portugal 2024

The Parliamentary election in Portugal 2024 will take place on 10.03.2024. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

António Costa is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of Partido Socialista. In the last Parliamentary election in Portugal in 2022 Partido Socialista (41.7% - 117 seats), PSD (27.8% - 71 seats), Chega (7.2% - 12 seats), Iniciativa Liberal (5% - 8 seats), Bloco de Esquerda (4.7% - 5 seats), CDU (4.4% - 6 seats), PAN (1.5% - 1 seats), LIVRE (1.3% - 1 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (4.8% - 9 seats) entered parliament. The turnout at that time was 58%.

Government

Partido Socialista
Centre-left
António Costa
Head of government

Current Parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 230
Government & opposition
Government : 117
Opposition : 113
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 130
Right-leaning parties : 83