Portugal: Polls and trends for the Portuguese election 2028

Current Election Trend for Portugal

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Portugal, Aliança Democrática is leading with 30%, followed by Partido Socialista with 28.8%, Chega with 17.6%, Iniciativa Liberal with 6.8%, Bloco de Esquerda with 4.3%, LIVRE with 3.9%, CDU with 2.8% and PAN with 2.3%. Other parties reach 3.5%.

On the rise: CH

+0.9 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: AD

-1.7 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 31.1% of the votes.
AD
30.0
PS
28.8
CH
17.6
IL
6.8
BE
4.3
L
3.9
CDU
2.8
PAN
2.3
Others
3.5

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Bloco de Esquerda reaches 10 MPs, CDU reaches 6 MPs, LIVRE reaches 9 MPs, PAN reaches 5 MPs, Partido Socialista reaches 70 MPs, Iniciativa Liberal reaches 16 MPs, Aliança Democrática reaches 72 MPs and Chega reaches 42 MPs.

No restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 0%.

Majority from 116 MPs

To form a government, 116 of 230 MPs are required.
Aliança Democrática + Partido Socialista
61.7%
Aliança Democrática + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
56.5%
Aliança Democrática + Chega
49.6%
Aliança Democrática
31.3%
230
Majority requires 116 seats
BE
10
4.5%
CDU
6
2.9%
L
9
4%
PAN
5
2.4%
PS
70
29.8%
IL
16
7%
AD
72
31.1%
CH
42
18.2%

Latest polls for Portugal

Intercampus
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
30
28.8
16.2
8.3
5.8
3.3
3.3
3.2
1.1
Aximage
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
29.8
28.6
18.2
6.8
4.1
4
2.6
2.4
3.5
CESOP-UCP
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
33
29
18
6
4
3
3
2

Portugal — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Portugal

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Aliança Democrática
Partido Socialista
Chega
Iniciativa Liberal
Bloco de Esquerda
LIVRE
CDU
PAN
Show more

Government and parliament

Luís Montenegro

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 226
Government & opposition
Government : 79
Opposition : 147
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 91
Right-leaning parties : 127

FAQ

When is the next election in Portugal?

The next election in Portugal is expected to take place in the year 2028.

Who is the president of Portugal?

The head of state of Portugal is Luís Montenegro.

Who governs in Portugal?

Luís Montenegro governs in Portugal with a coalition of Aliança Democrática.

What is the latest poll for Portugal?

The latest poll for the election in Portugal was published by Intercampus. The parties achieve the following values: Partido Socialista 30%, Aliança Democrática 28.8%, Chega 16.2%, Iniciativa Liberal 8.3%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.8%, CDU 3.3%, LIVRE 3.3% and PAN 3.2%.