Election trends and current polls for Portugal

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
PS
39.4%
±0
PSD
25.8%
-0.6
BE
8.6%
-0.1
CDU
6.1%
+0.4
PP
3.2%
+0.7
PAN
2.9%
-0.5
CH
6%
+0.5
IL
2.5%
+1
Sonstige
5.5%
-1.4
Changes to last election from 06.10.2019
PS
+1.2
PSD
-3.4
BE
-1.4
CDU
-0.6
PP
-1.2
PAN
-0.6
CH
+4.6
IL
+1.1
Political orientation
PS
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PSD
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BE
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CDU
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
PP
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
PAN
pets
CH
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
IL
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Assembleia da República
CESOP-UCP - 23.07.2020
PS
39%
±0
PSD
26%
±0
BE
7%
±0
CDU
6%
±0
PP
3%
±0
PAN
3%
±0
CH
7%
±0
IL
3%
±0
6%
±0
Assembleia da República
Intercampus - 20.07.2020
PS
39%
-1
PSD
23.9%
-0.2
BE
10.4%
+0.6
CDU
6.2%
±0
PP
4.8%
+0.7
PAN
3%
-0.1
CH
6.2%
-0.6
IL
2.8%
+0.9
L
0.4%
-0.4
3.3%
+0.1
Assembleia da República
Aximage - 20.07.2020
PS
40.4%
+0.5
PSD
26.7%
+0.9
BE
8.5%
+0.5
CDU
6%
+1.1
PP
2.1%
+0.9
PAN
2.6%
-1.7
CH
5.2%
-0.1
IL
2.1%
+0.7
6.4%
-2.6
Assembleia da República
Eurosondagem - 04.07.2020
PS
38.4%
+0.5
PSD
29.3%
-0.7
BE
8.4%
+0.3
CDU
6%
+0.8
PP
2.2%
-1
PAN
2.8%
+0.6
CH
4.4%
+0.1
IL
1.1%
-0.1
7.4%
-0.5
Assembleia da República
Aximage - 04.07.2020
PS
39.9%
+4.8
PSD
25.8%
-0.3
BE
8%
+0.3
CDU
4.9%
-0.5
PP
1.2%
-0.9
PAN
4.3%
+0.2
CH
5.3%
+1
IL
1.4%
-1.1
L
0.2%
-0.5
9%
-3

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
PS + PSD
69%
PS + BE + CDU
57.3%
PS + BE + PAN
53.9%
PS + CDU + PAN + IL
53.9%
PS + BE + IL
53.4%
PS + CDU + PAN
51.3%
PS + BE
50.8%
PS + CDU + IL
50.8%
PS + CDU
48.2%
PS + PAN + IL
47.4%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 0%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
PS
PSD
BE
CDU
PP
PAN
CH
IL
L
A

Last election

The results of the last election from 06.10.2019
Seats
Party Percent Seats
Partido Socialista 38.2% 5.9% 108 22
PSD 29.2% 27.68% 79 74
Bloco de Esquerda 10.0% -0.2% 19 0
CDU 6.7% -1.6% 12 -5
CDS–Partido Popular 4.4% -34.5% 5 -97
PAN 3.5% 2.1% 4 3
Chega 1.4% 1.4% 1 1
Iniciativa Liberal 1.4% 1.4% 1 1
LIVRE 1.2% 0.5% 1 1
Sonstige 2.5% -1.98% 0 0
Aliança 0.8% 0.8% 0 0
Partido Comunistas 0.7% -0.4% 0 0
In the last election of the 06.10.2019 230 representatives from 9 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2023.