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Portugal: Polls and trends for the Portuguese election 2028

Current Election Trend for Portugal

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Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Portugal, Aliança Democrática is leading with 29.1%, followed by Partido Socialista with 28.2%, Chega with 15.4%, Iniciativa Liberal with 8.8%, Bloco de Esquerda with 5.5%, LIVRE with 4.6%, PAN with 3.1% and CDU with 2.7%. Other parties reach 2.6%.

On the rise: PS

+0.8 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: CH

-1.2 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 29.9% of the votes.
AD
29.1
PS
28.2
CH
15.4
IL
8.8
BE
5.5
L
4.6
PAN
3.1
CDU
2.7
Sonst.
2.6

Coalitions

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Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Bloco de Esquerda reaches 13 MPs, CDU reaches 6 MPs, LIVRE reaches 11 MPs, PAN reaches 7 MPs, Partido Socialista reaches 67 MPs, Iniciativa Liberal reaches 21 MPs, Aliança Democrática reaches 69 MPs and Chega reaches 36 MPs.

No restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 0%.

Majority from 116 MPs

To form a government, 116 of 230 MPs are required.
Aliança Democrática + Partido Socialista
136
Aliança Democrática + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
126
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + LIVRE + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + LIVRE + CDU
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN + CDU
Aliança Democrática
69
230
BE
13
CDU
6
L
11
PAN
7
PS
67
IL
21
AD
69
CH
36
Majority requires 116 seats

Latest polls for Portugal

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Intercampus
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
28.4
26.6
13.3
7.4
5.7
3.2
2.7
1.2
11.5
Intercampus
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
28.7
26
15.5
9.8
6.3
5.3
3.6
2.4
2.4
CESOP-UCP
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
33
31
14
7
4
3
3
2
AD
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365 days trend
PS
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365 days trend
CH
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365 days trend
IL
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365 days trend
BE
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365 days trend
L
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365 days trend
PAN
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365 days trend
CDU
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365 days trend
Others
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365 days trend

Election trend by party at a glance

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On the rise: PS

+0.8 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: CH

-1.2 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Aliança Democrática
Partido Socialista
Chega
Iniciativa Liberal
Bloco de Esquerda
LIVRE
PAN
CDU
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Portugal — National parliament voting intention

Government and parliament

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Luís Montenegro

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 226
Government & opposition
Government : 79
Opposition : 147
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 91
Right-leaning parties : 127

FAQ

When is the next election in Portugal?

The next election in Portugal is expected to take place in the year 2028.

Who is the president of Portugal?

The head of state of Portugal is Luís Montenegro.

Who governs in Portugal?

Luís Montenegro governs in Portugal with a coalition of .

What is the latest poll for Portugal?

The latest poll for the election in Portugal was published by Intercampus. The parties achieve the following values: Partido Socialista 28.4%, Aliança Democrática 26.6%, Chega 13.3%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.4%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.7%, CDU 3.2%, LIVRE 2.7% and PAN 1.2%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Portugal?

In the parliament of Portugal, there are 226 representatives from 8 parties. 79 representatives are part of the government from Aliança Democrática. The opposition from Partido Socialista, Chega, Iniciativa Liberal, Bloco de Esquerda, LIVRE, CDU and PAN has 147 representatives.