Portugal: Latest election trends & polls

The current political sentiment at a glance

PolitPro Election trend

PS
38.2
PSD
27.2
CH
9.6
IL
7.8
BE
5.6
CDU
3.2
L
2.1
PAN
1.5
PP
1.4
Sonst.
3.4
In the latest election trend for Portugal, the parties would get the following votes: Partido Socialista 38.2%, PSD 27.2%, Chega 9.6%, Iniciativa Liberal 7.8%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.6%, CDU 3.2%, LIVRE 2.1%, PAN 1.5% and CDS–Partido Popular 1.4%.
50.6% of the votes went to parties on the left of the political spectrum (center-left, left,far-left), 38.2% to parties on the right of the political spectrum (center-right, right, far-right).
With 39.5% of seats, the government of António Costa would lose its majority in parliament.

Possible coalitions

Partido Socialista + PSD
67.7
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + LIVRE
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + LIVRE + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + Bloco de Esquerda
53.4
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + LIVRE
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU + PAN
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU + LIVRE + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + LIVRE + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + CDU
50.9
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU + LIVRE
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU + PAN
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + LIVRE
49.8
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal + PAN
49.2
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + LIVRE + PAN
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
48.6
Partido Socialista + Iniciativa Liberal
47.6
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal + CDS–Partido Popular
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + LIVRE
47.5
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN
46.9
Partido Socialista + CDU + LIVRE + PAN
PSD + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
46.2
Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda
45.3
Partido Socialista + CDU + LIVRE
45.0

Development of the electoral trend

Latest election polls

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
In each case, the most recent election polls from institutes with opinion polls in the past 3 months were taken into account. A total of at least 0 persons participated in the election polls.
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