Latest election polls for Portugal

PolitPro election trend

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PS
38.2%
-1.3
PSD
26.3%
+0.5
BE
8.9%
+0.6
CDU
5.5%
-0.6
PP
3.3%
-0.4
PAN
3.6%
+0.5
CH
6%
-1
IL
1.7%
-0.8
Sonstige
6.5%
+2.5
Changes to the last election from 06.10.2019
PS
±0.0
PSD
-2.9
BE
-1.1
CDU
-1.2
PP
-1.1
PAN
+0.1
CH
+4.6
IL
+0.3
Political orientation
PS
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PSD
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BE
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CDU
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PP
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PAN
pets
CH
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IL
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 20.09.2020.

Latest election polls

Assembleia da República
PS
37.4%
-2.2
PSD
24.3%
-0.5
BE
9.9%
+1.4
CDU
5.1%
-1
PP
4.3%
-0.1
PAN
4.1%
+0.9
CH
7.4%
-0.5
IL
2.1%
-0.7
L
0.4%
+0.4
Sonstige
5%
+2.3
6 days ago
Intercampus
Assembleia da República
PS
38.5%
+0.1
PSD
28.2%
-1.1
BE
8.3%
-0.1
CDU
5.8%
-0.2
PP
2.5%
+0.3
PAN
3.3%
+0.5
CH
4.5%
+0.1
IL
1%
-0.1
Sonstige
7.9%
+0.5
1 week ago
Eurosondagem
Assembleia da República
PS
39.6%
+0.6
PSD
24.8%
+0.9
BE
8.5%
-1.9
CDU
6.1%
-0.1
PP
4.4%
-0.4
PAN
3.2%
+0.2
CH
7.9%
+1.7
IL
2.8%
±0
Sonstige
2.7%
-0.6
1 month ago
Intercampus
Assembleia da República
PS
39%
±0
PSD
26%
±0
BE
7%
±0
CDU
6%
±0
PP
3%
±0
PAN
3%
±0
CH
7%
±0
IL
3%
±0
Sonstige
6%
±0
1 month ago
CESOP-UCP
Assembleia da República
PS
39%
-1
PSD
23.9%
-0.2
BE
10.4%
+0.6
CDU
6.2%
±0
PP
4.8%
+0.7
PAN
3%
-0.1
CH
6.2%
-0.6
IL
2.8%
+0.9
L
0.4%
-0.4
Sonstige
3.3%
+0.1
2 months ago
Intercampus
Assembleia da República
PS
40.4%
+0.5
PSD
26.7%
+0.9
BE
8.5%
+0.5
CDU
6%
+1.1
PP
2.1%
+0.9
PAN
2.6%
-1.7
CH
5.2%
-0.1
IL
2.1%
+0.7
Sonstige
6.4%
-2.6
2 months ago
Aximage

Possible coalitions

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Partido Socialista + PSD
69.0%
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Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + CDU
56.3%
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Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + PAN
54.3%
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Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN + Iniciativa Liberal
52.5%
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Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda + Iniciativa Liberal
52.2%
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Partido Socialista + CDU + PAN
50.7%
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Partido Socialista + Bloco de Esquerda
50.4%
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Partido Socialista + CDU + Iniciativa Liberal
48.6%
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Partido Socialista + CDU
46.8%
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Partido Socialista + PAN + Iniciativa Liberal
46.6%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 0%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

PS
PSD
BE
CDU
PP
PAN
CH
IL
L
A

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 06.10.2019.