Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Portugal, Aliança Democrática is leading with 30%, followed by Partido Socialista with 28.8%, Chega with 17.6%, Iniciativa Liberal with 6.8%, Bloco de Esquerda with 4.3%, LIVRE with 3.9%, CDU with 2.8% and PAN with 2.3%. Other parties reach 3.5%.
On the rise: CH
+0.9 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: AD
-1.7 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2028.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 31.1% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 10.03.2024
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Bloco de Esquerda reaches 10 MPs, CDU reaches 6 MPs, LIVRE reaches 9 MPs, PAN reaches 5 MPs, Partido Socialista reaches 70 MPs, Iniciativa Liberal reaches 16 MPs, Aliança Democrática reaches 72 MPs and Chega reaches 42 MPs.
No restrictive clause
The restrictive clause is 0%.
Majority from 116 MPs
To form a government, 116 of 230 MPs are required.
Aliança Democrática + Partido Socialista
Aliança Democrática + Chega + Iniciativa Liberal
Aliança Democrática + Chega
Aliança Democrática
230
Majority requires 116 seats
BE
10
4.5%
CDU
6
2.9%
L
9
4%
PAN
5
2.4%
PS
70
29.8%
IL
16
7%
AD
72
31.1%
CH
42
18.2%
Latest polls for Portugal
Portugal — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Portugal
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliança Democrática |
-1.7
|
+2.6
|
+0.4
|
-0.7
|
+0.5
|
| Partido Socialista |
-0.3
|
-0.4
|
+1.4
|
-0.5
|
+0.1
|
| Chega |
+0.9
|
+3.6
|
+1.0
|
+1.3
|
-0.5
|
| Iniciativa Liberal |
+0.4
|
-0.5
|
-1.9
|
+0.1
|
+1.7
|
| Bloco de Esquerda |
-0.4
|
-1.0
|
-2.4
|
-0.9
|
-0.2
|
| LIVRE |
+0.7
|
+1.0
|
-1.5
|
±0.0
|
+0.6
|
| CDU |
-0.4
|
-0.4
|
+0.9
|
±0.0
|
-0.5
|
| PAN |
+0.3
|
+0.8
|
-0.6
|
+0.3
|
+0.4
|
Government and parliament
Luís Montenegro
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 226
Government & opposition
Government
: 79
Opposition
: 147
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 91
Right-leaning parties
: 127
FAQ
When is the next election in Portugal?
The next election in Portugal is expected to take place in the year 2028.
Who is the president of Portugal?
The head of state of Portugal is Luís Montenegro.
Who governs in Portugal?
Luís Montenegro governs in Portugal with a coalition of Aliança Democrática.
What is the latest poll for Portugal?
The latest poll for the election in Portugal was published by Intercampus. The parties achieve the following values: Partido Socialista 30%, Aliança Democrática 28.8%, Chega 16.2%, Iniciativa Liberal 8.3%, Bloco de Esquerda 5.8%, CDU 3.3%, LIVRE 3.3% and PAN 3.2%.