Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Portugal, Aliança Democrática is leading with 30.3%, followed by Partido Socialista with 28.5%, Chega with 17.8%, Iniciativa Liberal with 6.1%, LIVRE with 3.7%, CDU with 3.4%, Bloco de Esquerda with 2.8% and PAN with 2.2%. Other parties reach 5.2%.
On the rise: CH
+1.4 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: L
-0.8 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 18.05.2025
The next general election in Portugal will be held in 21.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 32.2% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 10.03.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: CDU reaches 8 MPs, Bloco de Esquerda reaches 7 MPs, LIVRE reaches 9 MPs, PAN reaches 5 MPs, Partido Socialista reaches 70 MPs, Iniciativa Liberal reaches 14 MPs, Aliança Democrática reaches 74 MPs and Chega reaches 43 MPs.
No restrictive clause
The restrictive clause is 0%.
Majority from 116 MPs
To form a government, 116 of 230 MPs are required.
Aliança Democrática + Partido Socialista
Aliança Democrática + Chega
Aliança Democrática
230
Majority requires 116 seats
CDU
8
3.5%
BE
7
3%
L
9
3.9%
PAN
5
2.2%
PS
70
30.4%
IL
14
6.1%
AD
74
32.2%
CH
43
18.7%
Latest polls for Portugal
Portugal — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Portugal
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliança Democrática |
-0.1
|
+0.7
|
-0.1
|
+6.0
|
+0.8
|
| Partido Socialista |
+0.4
|
-0.9
|
-0.6
|
-0.2
|
-0.2
|
| Chega |
+1.4
|
+0.7
|
+2.6
|
+2.2
|
-0.3
|
| Iniciativa Liberal |
-0.6
|
-1.4
|
-0.7
|
-1.8
|
+1.0
|
| LIVRE |
-0.8
|
+0.2
|
+0.3
|
-2.0
|
+0.4
|
| CDU |
±0.0
|
+0.4
|
±0.0
|
+1.1
|
+0.1
|
| Bloco de Esquerda |
-0.7
|
-2.2
|
-2.7
|
-6.9
|
-1.7
|
| PAN |
+0.1
|
-0.6
|
+0.1
|
-0.7
|
+0.3
|
Parliamentary Election in Portugal 2025
What's happening in Portugal?
Germany: McCann prime suspect in court for new charges
British toddler Madeleine McCann went missing in a Portuguese resort in 2007. The prime suspect in the case will face a German court in February over five unrelated sexual offenses.
DW.com
- 30.11.2023
Portuguese parliament approves euthanasia
With the new law legalizing euthanasia, Portugal joins a handful of countries that allow medically assisted dying. It would apply to people suffering from "lasting" and "unbearable" pain.
DW.com
- 13.05.2023
German court drops Maddie McCann suspect case
The German court in Brunswick said it could not try Christian B. as the region where it's located doesn't correspond to his last German address. The suspect was never formally charged in the McCann case.
DW.com
- 20.04.2023
Government and parliament
Luís Montenegro
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 226
Government & opposition
Government
: 79
Opposition
: 147
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 91
Right-leaning parties
: 127
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Portugal
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
74
|
0.9
|
high
| |
|
74
|
1.9
|
medium
| |
|
73
|
1.5
|
low
| |
|
69
|
2.0
|
high
| |
|
68
|
2.1
|
high
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.