Current Election Trend for Portugal

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Portugal, Aliança Democrática is leading with 31.8%, followed by Chega with 22.8%, Partido Socialista with 22.8%, Iniciativa Liberal with 5.4%, LIVRE with 4.1%, CDU with 2.9%, Bloco de Esquerda with 2%, PAN with 1.4% and ADN with 1.3%. Other parties reach 5.5%.

On the rise: CH

+6.2 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: PS

-6.0 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Portugal is expected to take place in 2029.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 39.7% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
AD
31.8
CH
22.8
PS
22.8
IL
5.4
L
4.1
CDU
2.9
BE
2.0
PAN
1.4
ADN
1.3
Others
5.5

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: CDU reaches 3 MPs, Bloco de Esquerda reaches 1 MPs, LIVRE reaches 6 MPs, PAN reaches 1 MPs, Partido Socialista reaches 58 MPs, Iniciativa Liberal reaches 9 MPs, Aliança Democrática reaches 91 MPs and Chega reaches 60 MPs.

No restrictive clause

The restrictive clause is 0%.

Majority from 115 MPs

To form a government, 115 of 229 MPs are required.
Aliança Democrática + Chega
65.9%
Aliança Democrática + Partido Socialista
65.1%
Aliança Democrática
39.7%
229
Majority requires 115 seats
CDU
3
1.3%
BE
1
0.4%
L
6
2.6%
PAN
1
0.4%
PS
58
25.3%
IL
9
3.9%
AD
91
39.7%
CH
60
26.2%

Latest polls for Portugal

CESOP-UCP
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
34
26
19
7
5
3
2
1
Consulmark2
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
33.1
25.9
15.7
7.6
6.2
3.8
2.8
1.1
3.8
Pitagórica
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
31.5
26.3
18.3
7
4.4
3.7
2.4
1.1
5.3

Portugal — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Portugal

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Aliança Democrática
Partido Socialista
Chega
Iniciativa Liberal
LIVRE
CDU
Bloco de Esquerda
PAN
ADN
Show more

What's happening in Portugal?

Government and parliament

Luís Montenegro

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 230
Government & opposition
Government : 91
Opposition : 139
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 70
Right-leaning parties : 151

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Portugal

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
73
1.6
high
72
2.0
medium
72
2.1
medium
72
2.1
medium
66
1.8
high
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.