Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Netherlands, PVV is leading with 22.5%, followed by GL/PvdA with 15.7%, VVD with 13.7%, CDA with 10.2%, D66 with 8%, SP with 4.5%, PvdD with 4.2%, BBB with 3.7%, Denk with 3.1%, Volt with 2.7%, CU with 2.5%, FvD with 2.3%, SGP with 2.3%, NSC with 1.9% and JA21 with 1.6%. Other parties reach 1.1%.
On the rise: D66
+0.9 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: PVV
-2.0 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 42.6% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 15 parties could enter parliament: SP reaches 7 MPs, PvdD reaches 6 MPs, GL/PvdA reaches 25 MPs, Volt reaches 4 MPs, D66 reaches 12 MPs, BBB reaches 5 MPs, Denk reaches 5 MPs, VVD reaches 21 MPs, CDA reaches 16 MPs, CU reaches 3 MPs, SGP reaches 3 MPs, NSC reaches 2 MPs, PVV reaches 36 MPs, FvD reaches 3 MPs and JA21 reaches 2 MPs.
0.67% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in the Netherlands is 1/150, approximately 0.667%.
Majority from 76 MPs
To form a government, 76 of 150 MPs are required.
150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
7
4.7%
PvdD
6
4%
GL/PvdA
25
16.7%
Volt
4
2.7%
D66
12
8%
BBB
5
3.3%
DENK
5
3.3%
VVD
21
14%
CDA
16
10.7%
CU
3
2%
SGP
3
2%
NSC
2
1.3%
PVV
36
24%
FvD
3
2%
JA21
2
1.3%
Latest polls for Netherlands
22
15.5
13.4
10.1
8.2
4.6
4.3
3.8
3.2
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.2
1.9
1.7
1.6
24.8
16.9
15.3
10.4
6.8
4
3.5
3.3
3.1
2.8
2.6
2.3
1.8
1.7
1.3
Netherlands — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Netherlands
Election trend by party at a glance
Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PVV |
-2.0
|
-2.7
|
-3.3
|
-9.9
|
-1.0
|
GL/PvdA |
-0.8
|
-0.3
|
-1.6
|
-0.7
|
-0.1
|
VVD |
-1.4
|
-0.5
|
+0.3
|
+3.8
|
-1.6
|
CDA |
+0.1
|
+2.7
|
+4.5
|
+5.4
|
+6.9
|
D66 |
+0.9
|
+0.9
|
+1.5
|
+1.5
|
+1.7
|
SP |
+0.4
|
+0.2
|
+2.3
|
+0.9
|
+1.4
|
PvdD |
+0.5
|
-0.9
|
+0.6
|
+1.5
|
+1.9
|
BBB |
+0.6
|
-0.5
|
-1.5
|
-1.3
|
-0.9
|
Denk |
+0.3
|
+0.3
|
+0.4
|
+1.2
|
+0.7
|
Volt |
-0.5
|
+0.4
|
+0.5
|
+0.5
|
+1.0
|
CU |
+0.2
|
-0.3
|
+0.7
|
+0.3
|
+0.5
|
SGP |
+0.5
|
+0.1
|
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
FvD |
-0.2
|
-0.2
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
+0.1
|
NSC |
±0.0
|
-0.9
|
-5.4
|
-5.4
|
-11.0
|
JA21 |
+0.3
|
+0.4
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.9
|
Government and parliament
König Willem-Alexander
Head of state
Dick Schoof
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 150
Government & opposition
Government
: 88
Opposition
: 62
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 35
Right-leaning parties
: 96
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Netherlands
Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
---|---|---|---|
77
|
1.6
|
medium
| |
72
|
2.3
|
low
| |
64
|
1.7
|
medium
| |
59
|
2.1
|
medium
|
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.