Current Election Trend for Netherlands

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Netherlands, PVV is leading with 18.6%, followed by GL/PvdA with 16.9%, VVD with 16.2%, CDA with 11.3%, D66 with 7%, PvdD with 4.4%, SP with 3.9%, BBB with 3.4%, FvD with 2.8%, Denk with 2.8%, Volt with 2.6%, JA21 with 2.5%, CU with 2.4%, SGP with 2.2% and NSC with 1.4%. Other parties reach 1.6%.

On the rise: CDA

+1.7 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: PVV

-3.3 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 40.6% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
PVV
18.6
GL/PvdA
16.9
VVD
16.2
CDA
11.3
D66
7.0
PvdD
4.4
SP
3.9
BBB
3.4
FvD
2.8
DENK
2.8
Volt
2.6
JA21
2.5
CU
2.4
SGP
2.2
NSC
1.4
Others
1.6

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 15 parties could enter parliament: SP reaches 6 MPs, PvdD reaches 7 MPs, GL/PvdA reaches 26 MPs, Volt reaches 4 MPs, D66 reaches 11 MPs, BBB reaches 5 MPs, Denk reaches 4 MPs, VVD reaches 25 MPs, CDA reaches 17 MPs, CU reaches 3 MPs, SGP reaches 3 MPs, NSC reaches 2 MPs, PVV reaches 29 MPs, FvD reaches 4 MPs and JA21 reaches 4 MPs.

0.67% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in the Netherlands is 1/150, approximately 0.667%.

Majority from 76 MPs

To form a government, 76 of 150 MPs are required.
150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
6
4%
PvdD
7
4.7%
GL/PvdA
26
17.3%
Volt
4
2.7%
D66
11
7.3%
BBB
5
3.3%
DENK
4
2.7%
VVD
25
16.7%
CDA
17
11.3%
CU
3
2%
SGP
3
2%
NSC
2
1.3%
PVV
29
19.3%
FvD
4
2.7%
JA21
4
2.7%

Latest polls for Netherlands

Ipsos
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
17.9
16.8
16.4
11.7
6.7
4.6
3.6
3.5
3
2.9
2.7
2.5
2.3
2.1
1.3
Verian
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
21.9
17.4
15.3
9.5
8.4
5.6
3.4
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.6
2.5
1.7
1.7
1.5
Ipsos
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
22
15.5
13.4
10.1
8.2
4.6
4.3
3.8
3.2
2.6
2.5
2.4
2.2
1.9
1.7
1.6

Netherlands — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Netherlands

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
PVV
GL/PvdA
VVD
CDA
D66
PvdD
SP
BBB
Denk
FvD
Volt
JA21
CU
SGP
NSC
Show more

What's happening in Netherlands?

Eurovision: Dutch entrant Joost Klein excluded from final
One of the Eurovision Song Contest favorites has been disqualified hours before the grand final. Police are investigating complaints against him from a female member of the production crew.
DW.com - 11.05.2024
Dutch election: Wilders' far-right PVV set to win — exit poll
An exit poll shows Geert Wilders' far-right PVV could receive 35 seats in parliament. Dutch voters have been picking a successor to Mark Rutte, whose coalition collapsed in July.
DW.com - 22.11.2023
Netherlands: Prince Bernhard's Nazi membership card found
A historian says he found the original membership card showing the Dutch late Prince Bernhard was a member of Hitler's Nazi party. This was broadly known and little doubted, but Bernhard went to his grave denying it.
DW.com - 04.10.2023

Government and parliament

König Willem-Alexander

Head of state

Dick Schoof

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 150
Government & opposition
Government : 88
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 35
Right-leaning parties : 96

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Netherlands

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
77
1.6
medium
72
2.3
low
64
1.7
medium
59
2.1
medium

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.