Election trends and current polls for Netherlands

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
VVD
26%
+1.4
PVV
10.1%
±0
CDA
9.9%
+0.3
D66
6.4%
+0.3
GL
9.6%
+0.4
SP
6.5%
-0.3
PvdA
10.5%
-0.2
CU
4.7%
-0.3
PvdD
3.3%
-0.1
50+
0.9%
-2.6
SGP
2.5%
-0.3
DENK
0.9%
+0.2
FvD
7.8%
+0.4
PvdT
0.7%
+0.3
Sonstige
0.2%
-0.6
Changes to last election from 15.03.2017
VVD
+4.7
PVV
-3.0
CDA
-2.5
D66
-5.8
GL
+0.5
SP
-2.6
PvdA
+4.8
CU
+1.3
PvdD
+0.1
50+
-2.2
SGP
+0.4
DENK
-1.2
FvD
+6.0
PvdT
+0.7
Political orientation
VVD
zoom_out_map
PVV
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
CDA
arrow_forward_ios
D66
arrow_back_iosarrow_forward_ios
GL
arrow_back_ios
SP
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
PvdA
arrow_back_ios
CU
arrow_forward_ios
PvdD
pets
50+
arrow_forward_ios
SGP
arrow_forward_ios
DENK
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
FvD
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
PvdT
mood

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Staten-Generaal
Ipsos - 26.05.2020
VVD
29.3%
±0
PVV
9.3%
±0
CDA
9.3%
±0
D66
6.7%
±0
GL
10%
±0
SP
6%
±0
8.7%
±0
CU
4%
±0
3.3%
±0
50+
1.3%
±0
SGP
2%
±0
1.3%
±0
FvD
8%
±0
0.7%
±0
0%
-8
Staten-Generaal
Peil.nl - 23.05.2020
VVD
21.3%
+0.6
PVV
12%
±0
CDA
11.3%
+0.6
D66
6.7%
±0
GL
8.7%
+0.7
SP
6.7%
±0
12.7%
+0.7
CU
5.3%
±0
3.3%
±0
50+
0.7%
-3.3
SGP
2.7%
±0
0.7%
-0.6
FvD
7.3%
+0.6
0.7%
±0
0%
±0
Staten-Generaal
Peil.nl - 21.05.2020
VVD
21.3%
+0.6
PVV
12%
±0
CDA
11.3%
+0.6
D66
6.7%
±0
GL
8.7%
+0.7
SP
6.7%
±0
12.7%
+0.7
CU
5.3%
±0
3.3%
±0
50+
0.7%
-3.3
SGP
2.7%
±0
0.7%
-0.6
FvD
7.3%
+0.6
0.7%
±0
0%
±0
Staten-Generaal
Peil.nl - 18.05.2020
VVD
20.7%
+0.7
PVV
12%
+0.7
CDA
10.7%
+0.7
D66
6.7%
-0.6
GL
8%
+0.7
SP
6.7%
+0.7
12%
±0
CU
5.3%
±0
3.3%
±0
50+
4%
-1.3
SGP
2.7%
±0
1.3%
±0
FvD
6.7%
-1.3
0%
±0
0%
±0
Staten-Generaal
Peil.nl - 18.05.2020
VVD
21.3%
+0.6
PVV
12%
±0
CDA
11.3%
+0.6
D66
6.7%
±0
GL
8.7%
+0.7
SP
6.7%
±0
12.7%
+0.7
CU
5.3%
±0
3.3%
±0
50+
0.7%
-3.3
SGP
2.7%
±0
0.7%
-0.6
FvD
7.3%
+0.6
0.7%
±0
0%
±0
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
VVD + PvdA + CDA + GL
56.1%
VVD + CDA + FvD + D66 + CU
54.9%
VVD + PVV + CDA + FvD
53.9%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + CU + SGP
53.7%
VVD + PvdA + GL + CU + SGP
53.4%
VVD + PVV + CDA + CU + SGP
53.3%
VVD + PVV + FvD + D66 + SGP
52.9%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + D66
52.9%
VVD + CDA + GL + CU + SGP
52.8%
VVD + CDA + FvD + D66 + SGP
52.7%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
52.6%
VVD + PvdA + GL + D66
52.6%
VVD + PvdA + GL + CU + 50+ + PvdT
52.5%
VVD + PVV + CDA + D66
52.5%
VVD + PVV + CDA + CU + 50+ + PvdT
52.4%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU + SGP + 50+
52.1%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + CU + 50+
52.1%
VVD + PVV + FvD + D66 + 50+ + PvdT
52%
VVD + CDA + GL + D66
52%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + CU + PvdT
51.9%
VVD + CDA + GL + CU + 50+ + PvdT
51.9%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU + SGP + PvdT
51.9%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + SGP + 50+
51.9%
VVD + PvdA + GL + CU + 50+
51.8%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
51.8%
VVD + CDA + FvD + D66 + 50+ + PvdT
51.8%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + SGP + PvdT
51.7%
VVD + PVV + CDA + CU + 50+
51.7%
VVD + PvdA + GL + CU + PvdT
51.6%
VVD + PVV + CDA + CU + PvdT
51.5%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
51.4%
VVD + PVV + FvD + D66 + 50+
51.3%
VVD + CDA + GL + CU + 50+
51.2%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + CU
51.2%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
51.2%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU + SGP
51.2%
VVD + PVV + FvD + D66 + PvdT
51.1%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+
51.1%
VVD + CDA + FvD + D66 + 50+
51.1%
VVD + CDA + GL + CU + PvdT
51%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + SGP
51%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
50.9%
VVD + PvdA + GL + CU
50.9%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + SGP + PvdT
50.9%
VVD + CDA + FvD + D66 + PvdT
50.9%
VVD + PVV + CDA + CU
50.8%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+
50.7%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
50.6%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + SGP + PvdT
50.5%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+
50.5%
VVD + PVV + FvD + D66
50.4%
VVD + PvdA + GL + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
50.3%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU + 50+ + PvdT
50.3%
VVD + CDA + GL + CU
50.3%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + SGP + PvdT
50.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + SGP
50.2%
VVD + PVV + CDA + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
50.2%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+
50.2%
VVD + CDA + FvD + D66
50.2%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + 50+ + PvdT
50.1%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + SGP + PvdT
50%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + SGP + 50+
49.9%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + SGP
49.8%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + SGP + PvdT
49.7%
VVD + CDA + GL + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
49.7%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + SGP
49.6%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU + 50+
49.6%
VVD + PvdA + GL + SGP + 50+
49.6%
VVD + PVV + CDA + SGP + 50+
49.5%
VVD + PvdA + GL + SGP + PvdT
49.4%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU + PvdT
49.4%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + 50+
49.4%
VVD + PVV + CDA + SGP + PvdT
49.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + 50+ + PvdT
49.3%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + SGP
49.3%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU + PvdT
49.2%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
49.1%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + SGP
49%
VVD + CDA + GL + SGP + 50+
49%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + 50+ + PvdT
48.9%
VVD + CDA + GL + SGP + PvdT
48.8%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + 50+ + PvdT
48.7%
VVD + PVV + FvD + CU
48.7%
VVD + PvdA + GL + SGP
48.7%
VVD + PVV + CDA + SGP
48.6%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + 50+
48.6%
VVD + CDA + FvD + CU
48.5%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU + PvdT
48.4%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + 50+ + PvdT
48.4%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+
48.4%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + 50+
48.2%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + SGP + PvdT
48.2%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + 50+ + PvdT
48.1%
VVD + CDA + GL + SGP
48.1%
VVD + PVV + FvD + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
48.1%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU + PvdT
48%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + 50+
48%
VVD + CDA + FvD + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
47.9%
VVD + PvdA + GL + 50+ + PvdT
47.8%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU + PvdT
47.8%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + 50+
47.7%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + CU
47.7%
VVD + PVV + CDA + 50+ + PvdT
47.7%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU + PvdT
47.5%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + SGP
47.5%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + 50+
47.4%
VVD + PVV + FvD + SGP + 50+
47.4%
VVD + PVV + D66 + CU
47.3%
VVD + CDA + GL + 50+ + PvdT
47.2%
VVD + PVV + FvD + SGP + PvdT
47.2%
VVD + PvdA + CDA + PvdT
47.2%
VVD + CDA + FvD + SGP + 50+
47.2%
VVD + PvdA + GL + 50+
47.1%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
47.1%
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU
47.1%
VVD + PVV + CDA + 50+
47%
VVD + CDA + FvD + SGP + PvdT
47%
VVD + PvdA + GL + PvdT
46.9%
VVD + PVV + CDA + PvdT
46.8%
VVD + GL + D66 + CU
46.8%
VVD + PVV + D66 + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
46.7%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + 50+ + PvdT
46.6%
VVD + CDA + GL + 50+
46.5%
VVD + PvdA + CDA
46.5%
VVD + CDA + D66 + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
46.5%
VVD + PVV + FvD + SGP
46.5%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + SGP + 50+
46.4%
VVD + CDA + GL + PvdT
46.3%
VVD + CDA + FvD + SGP
46.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + SGP + PvdT
46.2%
VVD + PvdA + GL
46.2%
VVD + GL + D66 + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
46.2%
VVD + PVV + CDA
46.1%
VVD + PVV + D66 + SGP + 50+
46%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + 50+
45.9%
VVD + PVV + D66 + SGP + PvdT
45.8%
VVD + CDA + D66 + SGP + 50+
45.8%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU + PvdT
45.7%
VVD + CDA + GL
45.6%
VVD + CDA + D66 + SGP + PvdT
45.6%
VVD + PVV + FvD + 50+ + PvdT
45.6%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + SGP
45.5%
VVD + GL + D66 + SGP + 50+
45.5%
VVD + PvdA + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
45.4%
VVD + CDA + FvD + 50+ + PvdT
45.4%
VVD + GL + D66 + SGP + PvdT
45.3%
PvdA + CDA + GL + D66 + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
45.2%
VVD + PVV + D66 + SGP
45.1%
VVD + PVV + CU + SGP + 50+ + PvdT
45%
VVD + FvD + D66 + CU
45%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 0.67%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
VVD
PVV
CDA
D66
GL
SP
PvdA
CU
PvdD
50+
SGP
DENK
FvD
PvdT

Last election

The results of the last election from 15.03.2017
Seats
Party Percent Seats
VVD 21.3% -5.3% 33 -8
PVV 13.1% 3% 20 5
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 3.9% 19 6
Democraten 66 12.2% 4.2% 19 7
GroenLinks 9.1% 6.8% 14 10
Socialistische Partij 9.1% -0.6% 14 -1
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% -19.1% 9 -29
ChristenUnie 3.4% 0.3% 5 0
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 1.3% 5 3
50Plus 3.1% 1.2% 4 2
Denk 2.1% 2.1% 3 3
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 0% 3 0
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 1.8% 2 2
Sonstige 0.7% 0% 0 0
VoorNederland 0.4% 0.4% 0 0
Piratenpartij 0.3% 0% 0 0
In the last election of the 15.03.2017 150 representatives from 13 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2021.