Upcoming elections:

Netherlands: Polls and trends for the Dutch election 2027

Current Election Trend for Netherlands

PVV
30.5
PvdA/GL
15.2
VVD
12.1
NSC
7.2
D66
6.8
BBB
5.0
PvdD
4.2
CDA
4.1
SP
2.4
FvD
2.4
DENK
2.4
SGP
2.2
Volt
2.0
CU
1.9
Sonst.
1.6
On the rise: NSC
+1.7 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: PvdA/GL
-1.5 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 25.3% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Netherlands?

In the current election trend in Netherlands, PVV leads with 30.5%. This is a significant increase of +7.0 percentage points since the last election.

PvdA/GL reaches 15.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.6 percentage points).

VVD experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 12.1% (-3.2).

NSC reaches 7.2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-5.7).

D66 reaches 6.8% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.5 percentage points).

BBB reaches 5% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.4 percentage points).

PvdD lands at 4.2% and gains +1.9 percentage points since the last election.

CDA reaches 4.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.8 percentage points).

SP reaches 2.4% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.7 percentage points).

FvD reaches 2.4% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.2 percentage points).

Denk reaches 2.4% and thus maintains the level of the last election (±0.0 percentage points).

SGP reaches 2.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.1 percentage points).

Volt reaches 2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.3 percentage points).

CU reaches 1.9% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.1 percentage points).

1.6% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from Ipsos, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 2048 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Netherlands, the government from VVD, D66, CDA and CU would secure 25.3% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 14 parties could enter parliament: PVV, PvdA/GL, VVD, NSC, D66, BBB, PvdD, CDA, SP, FvD, Denk, SGP, Volt and CU reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 77.8% - 22.2% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Netherlands

Ipsos
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
30.5
15.2
12.1
7.2
6.8
5
4.2
4.1
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.2
1.9
0.9
0.7
Ipsos
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
30
16.7
11.8
6.4
5.1
4.9
4.1
3.7
3.6
3.1
2.6
2.6
2.5
1.8
0.8
0.3
Ipsos
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
31.1
15.6
12.6
7
6.6
4.5
4.1
3.1
2.8
2.3
2.3
2.1
1.7
1.7
1.3
1.2

What is the latest poll for Netherlands?

The latest poll for the election in Netherlands was published by Ipsos. The parties achieve the following values: PVV 30.5%, PvdA/GL 15.2%, VVD 12.1%, NSC 7.2%, D66 6.8%, BBB 5%, PvdD 4.2%, CDA 4.1%, Denk 2.4%, FvD 2.4%, SP 2.4%, SGP 2.2%, Volt 2%, CU 1.9% and JA21 0.9%.

Coalitions

150
SP
3
PvdD
6
PvdA/GL
24
Volt
3
D66
10
BBB
8
DENK
3
VVD
19
NSC
11
CDA
6
SGP
3
CU
3
PVV
48
FvD
3
Majority requires 76 seats

Which coalitions are currently possible in Netherlands?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Netherlands shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: NSC
+1.7 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: PvdA/GL
-1.5 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
PVV
PvdA/GL
VVD
NSC
D66
BBB
PvdD
CDA
SP
Denk
FvD
SGP
Volt
CU
Show more

Netherlands — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Netherlands in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Netherlands took place on 22.11.2023.

Government and parliament

König Willem-Alexander
Head of state
Mark Rutte
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 150
Government & opposition
Government : 41
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 35
Right-leaning parties : 96

Which parties are in the parliament of Netherlands?

In the parliament of Netherlands, there are 150 representatives from 15 parties. 41 representatives are part of the government from VVD, D66, CDA and CU. The opposition from PVV, PvdA/GL, NSC, BBB, SP, Denk, PvdD, FvD, SGP, Volt and JA21 has 109 representatives.

35 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 96 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Netherlands?

Mark Rutte governs in Netherlands with a coalition of VVD, D66, CDA and CU. The head of state is König Willem-Alexander.

Parliamentary election in Netherlands 2027

The Parliamentary election in Netherlands 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center of VVD, CDA, D66 and CU. In the last Parliamentary election in Netherlands in 2023, PVV (23.5% - 37 seats), PvdA/GL (15.8% - 25 seats), VVD (15.3% - 24 seats), NSC (12.9% - 20 seats), D66 (6.3% - 9 seats), BBB (4.6% - 7 seats), CDA (3.3% - 5 seats), SP (3.1% - 5 seats), Denk (2.4% - 3 seats), PvdD (2.3% - 3 seats), FvD (2.2% - 3 seats), SGP (2.1% - 3 seats), CU (2% - 3 seats), Volt (1.7% - 2 seats) and JA21 (0.7% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 77.8%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Netherlands?

The next election in Netherlands is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who is the president of Netherlands?

The head of state of Netherlands is König Willem-Alexander.

Who governs in Netherlands?

Mark Rutte governs in Netherlands with a coalition of VVD, D66, CDA and CU.

What is the electoral threshold in Netherlands?

The electoral threshold in the Netherlands is 1/150, approximately 0.667%.

What is the latest poll for Netherlands?

The latest poll for the election in Netherlands was published by Ipsos. The parties achieve the following values: PVV 30.5%, PvdA/GL 15.2%, VVD 12.1%, NSC 7.2%, D66 6.8%, BBB 5%, PvdD 4.2%, CDA 4.1%, Denk 2.4%, FvD 2.4%, SP 2.4%, SGP 2.2%, Volt 2%, CU 1.9% and JA21 0.9%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Netherlands?

In the parliament of Netherlands, there are 150 representatives from 15 parties. 41 representatives are part of the government from VVD, D66, CDA and CU. The opposition from PVV, PvdA/GL, NSC, BBB, SP, Denk, PvdD, FvD, SGP, Volt and JA21 has 109 representatives.