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Georgia: Polls and trends for the Georgian election 2024

Current Election Trend for Georgia

GD
48.1
UNM
13.7
Ahali
13.2
ForGeo
4.6
Lelo
4.5
LP
2.5
EG
2.4
C
2.0
CM
2.0
DM
1.9
Droa
1.8
FP
1.6
Gi
1.5
Sonst.
0.2
On the rise: GD
+11.5 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: ForGeo
-4.2 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Georgia is expected to take place in 2024.

Who is leading in the election trend in Georgia?

In the current election trend in Georgia, GD leads with 48.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.1 percentage points).

UNM reaches 13.7%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election (-13.5).

Ahali reaches 13.2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

ForGeo reaches 4.6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

Lelo lands at 4.5% and gains +1.3 percentage points since the last election.

LP lands at 2.5% and gains +1.5 percentage points since the last election.

EG experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 2.4% (-1.4).

C reaches 2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

CM reaches 2%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

DM reaches 1.9%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

Droa reaches 1.8%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

FP reaches 1.6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

Girchi experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 1.5% (-1.4).

0.2% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from ISSA and GORBI, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 3312 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Georgia, the government from would secure 0% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 13 parties could enter parliament: GD, UNM, Ahali, ForGeo, Lelo, LP, EG, C, CM, DM, Droa, FP and Girchi reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 56.1% - 43.9% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Georgia

ISSA
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
45.6
13.9
13.2
4.8
4.4
2.5
2
2
2
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.5
0.6
2.4
GORBI
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
60.4
12.6
4.7
4.5
3.7
1.4
0.9
0.6
0.6
7.6
Edison Research
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
36.6
21.5
8.8
6.7
4.7
3.7
3
2.9
2.5
1.7
1.7
0.7
0.5

What is the latest poll for Georgia?

The latest poll for the election in Georgia was published by ISSA. The parties achieve the following values: GD 45.6%, UNM 13.9%, Ahali 13.2%, ForGeo 4.8%, Lelo 4.4%, LP 2.5%, C 2%, CM 2%, EG 2%, DM 1.9%, Droa 1.6%, FP 1.6%, Girchi 1.5% and APG 0.6%.

Coalitions

150
Ahali
20
GD
72
C
4
FP
2
ForGeo
7
Lelo
7
Droa
2
Gi
2
UNM
21
EG
4
LP
4
DM
2
CM
3
Majority requires 76 seats
GD + UNM
93
GD + Ahali
92
GD + ForGeo
79
GD + Lelo
79
GD + EG
76
GD + C
76
GD
72

Which coalitions are currently possible in Georgia?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from GD and UNM, Coalition from GD and Ahali, Coalition from GD and ForGeo, Coalition from GD and Lelo, Coalition from GD and EG and Coalition from GD and C each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Georgia shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: GD
+11.5 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: ForGeo
-4.2 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
GD
UNM
Ahali
ForGeo
Lelo
LP
EG
CM
C
DM
Droa
FP
Girchi
Show more

Georgia — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Georgia in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Georgia took place on 31.10.2020.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 150
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 90
Right-leaning parties : 50

Which parties are in the parliament of Georgia?

In the parliament of Georgia, there are 150 representatives from 9 parties. 0 representatives are part of the government from . The opposition from GD, UNM, EG, Lelo, SB, APG, Girchi, Ci and LP has 150 representatives.

90 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 50 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Georgia?

In Georgia, a coalition of governs.

Parliamentary election in Georgia 2024

The Parliamentary election in Georgia 2024 will probably take place in 2024. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Unknown orientation of . In the last Parliamentary election in Georgia in 2020, GD (48.2% - 90 seats), UNM (27.2% - 36 seats), EG (3.8% - 5 seats), Lelo (3.2% - 4 seats), SB (3.2% - 4 seats), APG (3.1% - 4 seats), Girchi (2.9% - 4 seats), Ci (1.3% - 2 seats) and LP (1% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 56.1%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Georgia?

The next election in Georgia is expected to take place in the year 2024.

Who governs in Georgia?

In Georgia, a coalition of governs.

What is the electoral threshold in Georgia?

The electoral threshold in Georgia is 1%.

What is the latest poll for Georgia?

The latest poll for the election in Georgia was published by ISSA. The parties achieve the following values: GD 45.6%, UNM 13.9%, Ahali 13.2%, ForGeo 4.8%, Lelo 4.4%, LP 2.5%, C 2%, CM 2%, EG 2%, DM 1.9%, Droa 1.6%, FP 1.6%, Girchi 1.5% and APG 0.6%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Georgia?

In the parliament of Georgia, there are 150 representatives from 9 parties. 0 representatives are part of the government from . The opposition from GD, UNM, EG, Lelo, SB, APG, Girchi, Ci and LP has 150 representatives.