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Hungary: Polls and trends for the Hungarian election 2026

Current Election Trend for Hungary

Fidesz
41.6
TISZA
20.5
DK
15.1
MKKP
5.1
MH
4.9
MM
3.5
2RK
2.0
MSZP
2.0
NP
1.4
J
1.3
MMM
1.2
LMP
0.7
P
0.6
Sonst.
0.5
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Hungary is expected to take place in 2026.
Government would have to worry
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 50.8% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Hungary?

In the current election trend in Hungary, Fidesz/KDNP leads with 41.6%. This is a significant loss of -11.5 percentage points since the last election.

TISZA reaches 20.5%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

Demokratikus Koalíció reaches 15.1%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

MKKP lands at 5.1% and gains +1.8 percentage points since the last election.

Mi Hazánk (4.9%), Momentum (3.5%), 2RK (2%), MSZP (2%), NP (1.4%), Jobbik (1.3%), MMM (1.2%), LMP (0.7%) and Párbeszéd (0.6%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

0.5% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from IDEA Intézet, Nézőpont Intézet, Publicus, Republikon Intézet, Iránytű Intézet and Závecz, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 7573 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Hungary, the government from Fidesz/KDNP would secure 50.8% of the virtual seats. The government could thus remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: Fidesz/KDNP, TISZA, Demokratikus Koalíció and MKKP reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was % - 100% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Latest polls for Hungary

What is the latest poll for Hungary?

The latest poll for the election in Hungary was published by IDEA Intézet. The parties achieve the following values: Fidesz/KDNP 39%, TISZA 21%, Demokratikus Koalíció 15%, Mi Hazánk 4%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 4%, 2RK 3%, MMM 2%, NP 2%, Jobbik 1%, LMP 1%, MSZP 1% and Párbeszéd 1%.

Coalitions

199
DK
37
MKKP
12
TISZA
50
Fidesz
100
Majority requires 100 seats
Fidesz/KDNP
100
TISZA + Demokratikus Koalíció + MKKP
TISZA + MKKP
62

Which coalitions are currently possible in Hungary?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from Fidesz/KDNP each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Hungary shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Fidesz/KDNP
TISZA
Demokratikus Koalíció
MKKP
Mi Hazánk
Momentum
MSZP
2RK
NP
Jobbik
MMM
LMP
Párbeszéd
Show more

Hungary — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Hungary in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Hungary took place on 03.04.2022.

Government and parliament

Viktor Orbán
Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 199
Government & opposition
Government : 135
Opposition : 64
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 0
Right-leaning parties : 142

Which parties are in the parliament of Hungary?

In the parliament of Hungary, there are 199 representatives from 4 parties. 135 representatives are part of the government from Fidesz/KDNP. The opposition from EM, Mi Hazánk and Sonstige Parteien has 64 representatives.

0 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 142 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Hungary?

Viktor Orbán governs in Hungary with a coalition of Fidesz/KDNP.

Parliamentary election in Hungary 2026

The Parliamentary election in Hungary 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Right-wing coalition of Fidesz/KDNP. In the last Parliamentary election in Hungary in 2022, Fidesz/KDNP (53.1% - 135 seats), EM (35% - 56 seats), Mi Hazánk (6.2% - 7 seats) and Sonstige Parteien (0.6% - 1 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was %.

FAQ

When is the next election in Hungary?

The next election in Hungary is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who is the president of Hungary?

The head of state of Hungary is Viktor Orbán.

Who governs in Hungary?

Viktor Orbán governs in Hungary with a coalition of Fidesz/KDNP.

What is the electoral threshold in Hungary?

The electoral threshold in Hungary is 5% for parties, 10% for two-party alliances, and 15% for alliances with more than two parties.

What is the latest poll for Hungary?

The latest poll for the election in Hungary was published by IDEA Intézet. The parties achieve the following values: Fidesz/KDNP 39%, TISZA 21%, Demokratikus Koalíció 15%, Mi Hazánk 4%, MKKP 4%, Momentum 4%, 2RK 3%, MMM 2%, NP 2%, Jobbik 1%, LMP 1%, MSZP 1% and Párbeszéd 1%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Hungary?

In the parliament of Hungary, there are 199 representatives from 4 parties. 135 representatives are part of the government from Fidesz/KDNP. The opposition from EM, Mi Hazánk and Sonstige Parteien has 64 representatives.