Latest election polls for Norway

PolitPro election trend

Ap
22.4%
-0.9
H
25.3%
±0
FrP
12.6%
+1.1
Sp
14.4%
+0.6
SV
7.5%
-0.4
V
2.8%
-0.3
KrF
3.6%
±0
MDG
5%
-0.1
R
4.1%
-0.1
Sonstige
2.3%
+0.1
Changes to the last election from 11.11.2017
Ap
-5.0
H
+0.3
FrP
-2.6
Sp
+4.1
SV
+1.5
V
-1.6
KrF
-0.6
MDG
+1.8
R
+1.7
Political orientation
Ap
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H
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FrP
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Sp
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SV
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V
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KrF
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MDG
nature
R
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 20.09.2020.

Latest election polls

Ap
21.8%
-1.3
H
24.8%
-3.9
FrP
14.7%
+1.9
Sp
14.6%
+2
SV
7.2%
-0.8
V
2.6%
+0.5
KrF
3.5%
+0.9
MDG
4.3%
+0.4
R
4%
-0.1
Sonstige
2.5%
+0.4
Ap
19.9%
-4.7
H
27%
-0.7
FrP
10.3%
+0.5
Sp
16%
+0.9
SV
6.9%
+0.8
V
2.5%
-0.6
KrF
3.9%
+0.6
MDG
7.5%
+2.9
R
4.4%
+0.1
Sonstige
1.6%
+0.2
Ap
24.7%
-1.9
H
25.6%
+2.1
FrP
12.8%
+0.3
Sp
13%
-0.2
SV
8.1%
+0.9
V
2.9%
-0.6
KrF
4.1%
+0.5
MDG
3.5%
-2.6
R
3.3%
-0.8
Sonstige
2%
+2
Ap
24.7%
-0.7
H
19.6%
-5.4
FrP
11.4%
+2
Sp
13%
-2
SV
9.6%
+2.1
V
3.2%
+0.9
KrF
3.9%
-0.6
MDG
5.7%
+0.5
R
5.5%
+0.9
Sonstige
3.4%
+2.3
Ap
24%
±0
H
28.3%
+1.5
FrP
11.4%
+1.7
Sp
12.2%
-1.8
SV
8.1%
+0.2
V
3.4%
+0.2
KrF
2.8%
-0.9
MDG
4.1%
-0.8
R
3.8%
-0.4
Sonstige
1.9%
+0.3
Ap
24.3%
-1.2
H
24.8%
+1.8
FrP
11.5%
+1.1
Sp
14.7%
+0.3
SV
6.8%
-0.8
V
4%
+0.4
KrF
3.3%
-1.6
MDG
4.5%
-0.7
R
3.9%
+0.1
Sonstige
2.2%
+0.6

Possible coalitions

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Høyre + Senterpartiet + Fremskrittspartiet
57.3%
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Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + De Grønne
54.0%
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Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Rødt
53.0%
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Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet
52.2%
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Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + De Grønne + Rødt
50.3%
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Høyre + Senterpartiet + De Grønne
49.0%
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Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti
48.5%
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Høyre + Fremskrittspartiet + De Grønne
47.0%
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Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet + De Grønne
45.8%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 4%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

Ap
H
FrP
Sp
SV
V
KrF
MDG
R

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 11.11.2017.