Election trends and current polls for Norway

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
Ap
25.9%
±0
H
26.9%
-0.3
FrP
9.9%
+0.4
Sp
13.6%
-0.2
SV
6.9%
+0.1
V
3.1%
±0
KrF
3.7%
+0.1
MDG
4.8%
-0.1
R
3.7%
-0.2
Sonstige
1.5%
+0.2
Changes to last election from 11.11.2017
Ap
-1.5
H
+1.9
FrP
-5.3
Sp
+3.3
SV
+0.9
V
-1.3
KrF
-0.5
MDG
+1.6
R
+1.3
Political orientation
Ap
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H
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FrP
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Sp
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SV
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V
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KrF
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MDG
nature
R
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Storting
Sentio - 21.05.2020
Ap
25.5%
±0
H
26%
±0
FrP
11%
±0
Sp
13.5%
±0
SV
7.1%
±0
V
3.3%
±0
KrF
4%
±0
MDG
4.4%
±0
R
3.3%
±0
1.9%
±0
Storting
Opinion Perduco - 14.05.2020
Ap
26.7%
+1
H
28.3%
+1
FrP
9.6%
-2
Sp
12%
-1.8
SV
6.6%
+0.7
V
2.7%
-0.2
KrF
3.6%
+0.6
MDG
5.6%
+0.9
R
3.7%
±0
1.2%
-0.2
Storting
Norfakta - 12.05.2020
Ap
25.1%
+1.8
H
26.9%
+1
FrP
9.1%
-2
Sp
13.5%
-1.2
SV
8%
-1.1
V
3.3%
±0
KrF
4.1%
±0
MDG
4.4%
-0.6
R
4.3%
+1.8
1.3%
+0.3
Storting
Norstat - 09.05.2020
Ap
24.7%
±0
H
26.5%
±0
FrP
10.1%
±0
Sp
15.3%
±0
SV
6.6%
±0
V
3.1%
±0
KrF
3.2%
±0
MDG
5.2%
±0
R
3.3%
±0
2%
-0.4
Storting
Respons Analyse - 09.05.2020
Ap
27%
+0.3
H
26.5%
+1.3
FrP
9.4%
-3
Sp
14.7%
+1.2
SV
6.2%
-1.1
V
3%
+0.2
KrF
3.6%
+0.4
MDG
5%
+0.8
R
3.5%
±0
1.1%
-0.1
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
H + Ap
60%
H + Sp + FrP
57.4%
Ap + Sp + SV
52.7%
H + Sp + MDG
51.6%
Ap + Sp + MDG
50.4%
H + FrP + MDG
47.4%
H + Sp
46.1%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 4%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
Ap
H
FrP
Sp
SV
V
KrF
MDG
R

Last election

The results of the last election from 11.11.2017
Seats
Party Percent Seats
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% -3.4% 49 -6
Høyre 25.0% -1.8% 45 -3
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% -1.1% 27 -2
Senterpartiet 10.3% 4.8% 19 9
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 1.9% 11 4
Venstre 4.4% -0.8% 8 -1
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% -1.4% 8 -2
De Grønne 3.2% 0.4% 1 0
Rødt 2.4% 1.3% 1 1
Sonstige 0.7% 0.2% 0 0
Helsepartiet 0.4% 0.4% 0 0
Pensjonistpartiet 0.4% 0% 0 0
De Kristne 0.3% -0.3% 0 0
In the last election of the 11.11.2017 169 representatives from 9 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2021.