Current Election Trend for Norway

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Norway, Arbeiderpartiet is leading with 29%, followed by Fremskrittspartiet with 20.1%, Høyre with 18.8%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti with 7.1%, Senterpartiet with 5.9%, Rødt with 5.3%, Venstre with 3.8%, Kristelig Folkeparti with 3.2% and De Grønne with 3%. Other parties reach 3.8%.

On the rise: Ap

+1.2 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: H

-1.5 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 08.09.2025

The next general election in Norway will be held in 116.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 33.7% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Ap
29.0
FrP
20.1
H
18.8
SV
7.1
Sp
5.9
R
5.3
V
3.8
KrF
3.2
MDG
3.0
Others
3.8

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: Sosialistisk Venstreparti reaches 14 MPs, Rødt reaches 10 MPs, Arbeiderpartiet reaches 57 MPs, Senterpartiet reaches 11 MPs, Høyre reaches 37 MPs and Fremskrittspartiet reaches 40 MPs.

4% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Norway is 4% (only for compensatory mandates).

Majority from 85 MPs

To form a government, 85 of 169 MPs are required.
Arbeiderpartiet + Høyre
55.6%
Arbeiderpartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt
54.4%
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre + Senterpartiet
52.1%
Arbeiderpartiet
33.7%
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
14
8.3%
R
10
5.9%
Ap
57
33.7%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
37
21.9%
FrP
40
23.7%

Latest polls for Norway

InFact
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
29
21.2
18.6
7.3
5.8
5.5
3
3
2.8
3.8
Norstat
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
28.4
20.3
19.1
7.1
5.5
5.3
4
3.1
2.3
4.9
Verian
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
30
19
18.1
7.4
5.8
5.4
4.6
4.2
2.5

Norway — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Norway

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Arbeiderpartiet
Fremskrittspartiet
Høyre
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Senterpartiet
Rødt
Venstre
Kristelig Folkeparti
De Grønne
Show more

Parliamentary Election in Norwegen 2025

What's happening in Norway?

Sweden Quran burner says he will go to Norway
A Christian Iraqi who burned the Quran in Stockholm said "freedom of speech" in Sweden is a "big lie." His desecration of the Islamic holy book sparked anger across the Muslim world and complicated Sweden-Turkey ties.
DW.com - 27.03.2024
Norway sovereign wealth fund reports $164 billion loss
One of the world's largest investors — and its biggest sovereign wealth fund — has reported a record loss for 2022. The results end a three-year run of soaraway profits.
DW.com - 31.01.2023
Archaeologists find 'world's oldest runestone' in Norway
Researchers in Norway believe they have found the oldest runestone as yet discovered. They say the inscriptions are up to 2,000 years old and date back to the earliest days of runic writing.
DW.com - 17.01.2023

Government and parliament

Jonas Gahr Støre

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 169
Government & opposition
Government : 48
Opposition : 121
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 80
Right-leaning parties : 60

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Norway

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
89
0.9
very low
86
0.6
medium
86
1.0
low
84
0.9
low
83
1.2
low
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.