Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Norway, Fremskrittspartiet is leading with 23.9%, followed by Høyre with 22.4%, Arbeiderpartiet with 18.9%, Sosialistisk Venstreparti with 8%, Senterpartiet with 5.9%, Rødt with 5.6%, Venstre with 4.8%, Kristelig Folkeparti with 3.4% and De Grønne with 3.4%. Other parties reach 3.7%.
On the rise: Ap
+1.7 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: SV
-1.6 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Norway is expected to take place in 2025.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 27.2% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 13.09.2021
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Sosialistisk Venstreparti reaches 15 MPs, Rødt reaches 10 MPs, Arbeiderpartiet reaches 35 MPs, Venstre reaches 9 MPs, Senterpartiet reaches 11 MPs, Høyre reaches 43 MPs and Fremskrittspartiet reaches 46 MPs.
4% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Norway is 4% (only for compensatory mandates).
Majority from 85 MPs
To form a government, 85 of 169 MPs are required.
Fremskrittspartiet + Sosialistisk Venstreparti + Senterpartiet + Rødt + Venstre
Fremskrittspartiet + Høyre
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
Høyre + Arbeiderpartiet + Venstre
Arbeiderpartiet + Senterpartiet
169
Majority requires 85 seats
SV
15
8.9%
R
10
5.9%
Ap
35
20.7%
V
9
5.3%
Sp
11
6.5%
H
43
25.4%
FrP
46
27.2%
Latest polls for Norway
Norway — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Norway
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fremskrittspartiet |
-1.3
|
+2.8
|
+6.4
|
+11.0
|
+12.3
|
| Høyre |
+1.3
|
-1.4
|
-1.1
|
-3.6
|
+2.0
|
| Arbeiderpartiet |
+1.7
|
-0.4
|
-0.4
|
-0.5
|
-7.4
|
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
-1.6
|
-1.0
|
-2.2
|
-2.7
|
+0.4
|
| Senterpartiet |
+0.6
|
+0.3
|
-0.5
|
-0.8
|
-7.6
|
| Rødt |
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
-0.4
|
+0.4
|
+0.9
|
| Venstre |
-0.5
|
-1.1
|
-1.1
|
-1.1
|
+0.2
|
| De Grønne |
+0.4
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
-0.5
|
| Kristelig Folkeparti |
-0.6
|
+0.3
|
-0.3
|
-0.5
|
-0.4
|
Government and parliament
Jonas Gahr Støre
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 169
Government & opposition
Government
: 76
Opposition
: 93
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 80
Right-leaning parties
: 60
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Norway
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Neutrality |
|---|---|---|---|
|
87
|
0.8
|
good
| |
|
86
|
1.0
|
good
| |
|
83
|
1.2
|
good
| |
|
70
|
?
|
ok
| |
|
65
|
0.6
|
unknown
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.