Election trends and current polls for Germany

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
CDU/CSU
38.2%
+0.2
SPD
14.8%
-0.1
AfD
9.6%
-0.2
FDP
5.7%
+0.4
Linke
7.8%
±0
Grüne
18.6%
+0.2
Sonstige
5.3%
-0.5
Changes to last election from 24.09.2017
CDU/CSU
+5.3
SPD
-5.7
AfD
-3.0
FDP
-5.0
Linke
-1.4
Grüne
+9.7
Political orientation
CDU/CSU
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SPD
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AfD
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FDP
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Linke
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Grüne
nature

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Bundestag
INSA - 13.07.2020
37%
+1
SPD
14.5%
-0.5
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
7%
±0
8.5%
+0.5
16.5%
-0.5
5.5%
-0.5
Bundestag
Kantar (Emnid) - 11.07.2020
38%
+1
SPD
15%
-1
AfD
11%
+1
FDP
6%
±0
8%
±0
17%
-2
5%
+1
Bundestag
Forsa - 11.07.2020
38%
±0
SPD
14%
±0
AfD
10%
±0
FDP
6%
+1
7%
-1
18%
±0
7%
±0
Bundestag
FSG Wahlen - 10.07.2020
39%
-1
SPD
15%
±0
AfD
9%
±0
FDP
5%
±0
7%
±0
20%
+1
5%
±0
Bundestag
INSA - 06.07.2020
36%
-0.5
SPD
15%
-1
AfD
11%
+0.5
FDP
7%
±0
8%
±0
17%
±0
6%
+1

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
Schwarz-Grün
59.9%
Liberale Rechts-Koalition
56.4%
Große Koalition
55.9%
Rechts-Koalition
50.4%
Liberale Links-Koalition
49.4%
Schwarz-Gelb
46.3%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
CDU/CSU
SPD
AfD
FDP
Linke
Grüne

Last election

The results of the last election from 24.09.2017
Seats
Party Percent Seats
CDU/CSU 32.9% -8.6% 246 -65
SPD 20.5% -5.2% 153 -40
AfD 12.6% 7.9% 94 94
FDP 10.7% 5.9% 80 80
Die Linke 9.2% 0.6% 69 5
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 8.9% 0.5% 67 4
Die PARTEI 1.0% 0.8% 0 0
Freie Wähler 1.0% 0% 0 0
Tierschutzpartei 0.8% 0.5% 0 0
NPD 0.4% -0.9% 0 0
Piratenpartei 0.4% -1.8% 0 0
ÖDP 0.3% 0% 0 0
Bündnis Grundeinkommen 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 24.09.2017 709 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2021.