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Election trends and latest polls for Germany

PolitPro election trend

CDU/CSU
28%
-0.7
SPD
16.2%
+0.5
AfD
10.7%
+0.3
FDP
12.2%
-0.1
Linke
6.9%
+0.3
Grüne
19.2%
+0.2
Sonst.
6.8%
-0.5
Development since the last election on 24.09.2017
CDU/CSU
-4.9
SPD
-4.3
AfD
-1.9
FDP
+1.5
Linke
-2.3
Grüne
+10.3
Political orientation
CDU/CSU
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SPD
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AfD
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FDP
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Linke
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Grüne
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 05.08.2021.

Latest election polls

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CDU/CSU
24%
-3
SPD
18%
+1
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
13%
±0
Linke
6%
±0
Grüne
22%
+3
Sonst.
6%
-1
CDU/CSU
26%
±0
SPD
16%
+1
AfD
10%
±0
FDP
13%
±0
Linke
6%
-1
Grüne
20%
-1
Sonst.
9%
+1
CDU/CSU
27%
-1
SPD
18%
+3
AfD
11%
+1
FDP
10%
-1
Linke
7%
-1
Grüne
20%
-1
Sonst.
7%
±0
CDU/CSU
27.5%
+0.5
SPD
18%
+1
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
13%
±0
Linke
7%
+1
Grüne
18%
±0
Sonst.
5.5%
-2.5
CDU/CSU
27%
±0
SPD
17%
-0.5
AfD
11%
-1
FDP
13%
±0
Linke
6%
±0
Grüne
18%
+0.5
Sonst.
8%
+1
CDU/CSU
27%
-1
SPD
17%
+1
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
13%
+1
Linke
6%
-1
Grüne
19%
±0
Sonst.
7%
±0

Possible coalitions

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Koalition der Mitte
81.1%
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Kenia-Koalition
68.0%
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Jamaika-Koalition
63.7%
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Deutschland-Koalition
60.5%
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Liberale Rechtskoalition
54.6%
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Ampelkoalition
51.1%
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Schwarz-Grün
50.6%
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Große Koalition
47.4%
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Rot-Rot-Grün
45.4%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

CDU/CSU
SPD
AfD
FDP
Linke
Grüne

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2019 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 24.09.2017.