Baden-Wuerttemberg
Bavaria
Berlin
Brandenburg
Bremen
Hamburg
Hessen
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Lower Saxony
North Rhine-Westphalia
Rhineland-Palatinate
Saarland
Saxony
Saxony-Anhalt
Schleswig-Holstein
ThuringiaElection trends and latest polls for Germany
PolitPro Election trend
Union
22.0
+0.3
SPD
25.2
-0.2
AfD
11.0
-0.2
FDP
10.9
+0.1
Linke
6.3
+0.2
Grüne
15.8
-0.3
Sonst.
8.8
+0.1
Development since the last election on 24.09.2017
CDU/CSU
-10.9
SPD
+4.7
AfD
-1.6
FDP
+0.2
Linke
-2.9
Grüne
+6.9
Political orientation
CDU/CSU
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SPD
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AfD
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FDP
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Linke
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Grüne
nature
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This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
Chancellor's question
Laschet
14.8
+1.8
Scholz
33.7
+0.1
Baerbock
13.9
-0.1
latest election polls
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Wahlkreisprognose
1 day ago
CDU/CSU
21.5%
+1.5
SPD
25%
-2
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
12.5%
±0
Linke
6.5%
±0
Grüne
15%
±0
Sonst.
8.5%
+0.5
Trend Research Hamburg
1 day ago
CDU/CSU
22%
+2
SPD
27%
+1
AfD
11%
-1
FDP
11%
-2
Linke
7%
±0
Grüne
15%
±0
Sonst.
7%
±0
Forsa
2 days ago
CDU/CSU
22%
+1
SPD
25%
±0
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
11%
±0
Linke
6%
±0
Grüne
17%
±0
FW
3%
±0
Sonst.
5%
-1
INSA
2 days ago
CDU/CSU
22%
+1
SPD
25%
-1
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
12%
±0
Linke
6.5%
+0.5
Grüne
15%
±0
Sonst.
8.5%
+2.5
INSA
4 days ago
CDU/CSU
21%
+0.5
SPD
26%
±0
AfD
11%
-0.5
FDP
12%
-0.5
Linke
6%
-0.5
Grüne
15%
±0
FW
3%
+3
Sonst.
6%
-2
Ipsos
5 days ago
CDU/CSU
21%
±0
SPD
27%
+2
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
10%
-1
Linke
7%
±0
Grüne
18%
-1
Sonst.
6%
±0
Possible coalitions
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Koalition der Mitte
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Kenia-Koalition
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Deutschland-Koalition
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Ampelkoalition
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Jamaika-Koalition
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Rot-Rot-Grün
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Große Koalition
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Liberale Rechtskoalition
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How are the coalitions calculated?
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The overview shows the currently most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter parliament are taken into account. The threshold for this is 5%.
The percentages shown refer to the percentage number of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.
Development of the electoral trend
CDU/CSU
SPD
AfD
FDP
Linke
Grüne
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More info on the development
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The last election took place on 24.09.2017. The Corona crisis, with a large number of political actions, began in March 2020.