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Election trends and latest polls for Germany

PolitPro election trend

CDU/CSU
36.4%
-0.2
SPD
15.8%
+0.1
AfD
9.6%
-0.1
FDP
6.3%
+0.2
Linke
7.4%
±0
Grüne
19.5%
+0.5
Sonstige
5%
-0.5
Development since the last election on 24.09.2017
CDU/CSU
+3.5
SPD
-4.7
AfD
-3.0
FDP
-4.4
Linke
-1.8
Grüne
+10.6
Political orientation
CDU/CSU
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SPD
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AfD
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FDP
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Linke
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Grüne
nature

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend based on the latest polling results of leading research institutes. The individual values are calculated by a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend is designed to provide you a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 28.11.2020.

Latest election polls

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CDU/CSU
37%
±0
SPD
16%
±0
AfD
9%
±0
FDP
5%
±0
Linke
7%
±0
Grüne
21%
+1
Sonstige
5%
-1
CDU/CSU
35%
-1
SPD
15%
±0
AfD
11%
+1
FDP
7%
+1
Linke
7%
±0
Grüne
21%
+1
Sonstige
4%
-2
CDU/CSU
37%
+2
SPD
15%
±0
AfD
10%
-2
FDP
6%
±0
Linke
9%
±0
Grüne
18%
±0
Sonstige
5%
±0
CDU/CSU
36%
-0.5
SPD
15.5%
±0
AfD
11%
±0
FDP
7%
±0
Linke
7%
-0.5
Grüne
17.5%
±0
Sonstige
6%
+1
CDU/CSU
36%
+1
SPD
16%
+1
AfD
9%
±0
FDP
7%
±0
Linke
7%
-1
Grüne
18%
-1
Sonstige
7%
±0
CDU/CSU
36%
±0
SPD
16%
+1
AfD
9%
-1
FDP
6%
+1
Linke
7%
-1
Grüne
19%
±0
Sonstige
7%
±0

Possible coalitions

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Schwarz-Grün
58.8%
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Liberale Rechts-Koalition
55.0%
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Große Koalition
54.9%
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Liberale Links-Koalition
51.5%
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Rechts-Koalition
48.4%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

CDU/CSU
SPD
AfD
FDP
Linke
Grüne

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 24.09.2017.