Germany: Polls and trends for the German election 2025

Current Election Trend for Germany

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 30.9%, followed by AfD with 20%, SPD with 15.6%, Grüne with 13.5%, BSW with 5.3%, FDP with 4% and Die Linke with 3.3%. Other parties reach 7.4%.

On the rise: AfD

+1.0 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: CDU/CSU

-1.3 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 40.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 34.2% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Union
30.9
AfD
20.0
SPD
15.6
Grüne
13.5
BSW
5.3
FDP
4.0
Linke
3.3
Others
7.4

Coalitions

Who could enter the Bundestag?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SPD reaches 115 MPs, Grüne reaches 100 MPs, BSW reaches 39 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 229 MPs and AfD reaches 147 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

Majority from 316 MPs

To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.7%
CDU/CSU + SPD
54.6%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
52.2%
SPD + Grüne
34.1%
630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
115
18.3%
Grüne
100
15.9%
BSW
39
6.2%
Union
229
36.3%
AfD
147
23.3%

Latest polls for Germany

Germany — National parliament voting intention

Polling the states

Parties in Germany

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU/CSU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
BSW
FDP
Die Linke
Show more

Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2025

General Information: Election Day & Eligible Voters

The 2025 federal election will take place on September 28, 2025. Around 60 million Germans aged 18 and over are eligible to vote. Voters will elect the representatives of the 21st German Bundestag for a four-year term. This election is one of the most significant democratic events in Germany and will be conducted based on general, free, and equal voting principles.

Threshold Clause & Mandates

The 5% threshold remains in effect for the 2025 election. Parties must win at least 5% of second votes or three direct mandates to enter the Bundestag. The Bundestag is expected to be capped at 630 seats under a new electoral reform aimed at preventing the expansion of the parliament.

Electoral System

Germany's electoral system combines majority and proportional representation. Each voter has two votes: the first vote is for a direct candidate in the electoral district, while the second vote decides the composition of the Bundestag by party. The second vote is crucial for determining seat distribution.

Chancellor Candidates

The candidates for the 2025 German federal election have been announced. Chancellor Olaf Scholz will run again for the SPD. Following the withdrawal of Defense Minister Boris Pistorius, who is popular in polls, as an alternative candidate, Scholz's candidacy was the logical outcome despite internal criticism, given his position as incumbent Chancellor. For the CDU/CSU Union, Friedrich Merz has been chosen as the candidate for Chancellor. His competitors, Hendrik Wüst of the CDU and Markus Söder of the CSU, decided not to run and have pledged their support to Merz. Green Party Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock had already announced her decision not to stand as a candidate. Consequently, Economics Minister Robert Habeck has been nominated as the Greens' candidate for Chancellor. The AfD has chosen Alice Weidel as its candidate for Chancellor.

Current Government

As of 2025, the government consists of a coalition between the SPD, the Greens, and the FDP. This 'traffic light coalition' has been in power since 2021, focusing on issues such as climate policy, social justice, and digitalization. The future of the coalition is uncertain as the next election approaches.

Previous Election

In the 2021 federal election, the SPD, led by Olaf Scholz, won 25.7% of the vote and secured the chancellorship for the first time in 16 years. The CDU/CSU suffered significant losses, while the Greens emerged as the third-strongest party. This led to the formation of the traffic light coalition.

Government and parliament

Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Head of state

Olaf Scholz

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 735
Government & opposition
Government : 324
Opposition : 411
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 364
Right-leaning parties : 371

FAQ

When is the next election in Germany?

The next election in Germany is on 23.02.2025.

Who is the president of Germany?

The head of state of Germany is Frank-Walter Steinmeier.

Who governs in Germany?

Olaf Scholz governs in Germany with a coalition of Grüne and SPD.

What is the restrictive clause in Germany?

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

What is the latest poll for Germany?

The latest poll for the election in Germany was published by INSA. The parties achieve the following values: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 22%, SPD 15%, Grüne 13%, BSW 6.5%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3.5%.