Current Election Trend for Germany

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 25.9%, followed by AfD with 24.3%, SPD with 15.5%, Grüne with 11.4%, Die Linke with 10%, BSW with 3.9% and FDP with 3.7%. Other parties reach 5.3%.

On the rise: AfD

+4.0 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: CDU/CSU

-4.5 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 47.6% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Union
25.9
AfD
24.3
SPD
15.5
Grüne
11.4
Linke
10.0
BSW
3.9
FDP
3.7
Others
5.3

Coalitions

Who could enter the Bundestag?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Die Linke reaches 72 MPs, SPD reaches 112 MPs, Grüne reaches 82 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 188 MPs and AfD reaches 176 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

Majority from 316 MPs

To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
60.6%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.8%
CDU/CSU + SPD
47.6%
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
72
11.4%
SPD
112
17.8%
Grüne
82
13%
Union
188
29.8%
AfD
176
27.9%

Latest polls for Germany

Germany — National parliament voting intention

Polling the states

Parties in Germany

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU/CSU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Die Linke
BSW
FDP
Show more

What's happening in Germany?

Argentina's top court finds boxes of Nazi items in basement
Argentina's Supreme Court discovered dozens of boxes filled with Nazi material dating from World War II, including photos and postcards, among its archives in its basement.
DW.com - 12.05.2025
Germany turns first asylum seekers away at border — report
In the two days since the new German government under Chancellor Friedrich Merz tightened border controls, 19 people who had applied for asylum have reportedly been turned away.
DW.com - 11.05.2025
Germany updates: AfD party's 'extremist' label suspended
The far-right party launched an appeal against the "extremist" classification by the domestic intelligence agency. Berlin's new government is marking VE Day and the end of WWII. DW rounds up the latest news from Germany.
DW.com - 08.05.2025

Government and parliament

Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Head of state

Friedrich Merz

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 630
Government & opposition
Government : 328
Opposition : 302
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 270
Right-leaning parties : 360

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Germany

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
87
1.1
low
87
1.1
low
87
1.3
very low
85
0.9
low
85
1.5
very low
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.