Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 26.7%, followed by AfD with 23%, SPD with 15.1%, Grüne with 12%, Die Linke with 10%, BSW with 4.3% and FDP with 3.6%. Other parties reach 5.3%.
On the rise: AfD
+1.3 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: CDU/CSU
-2.0 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2029
The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 31.3% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 23.02.2025
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter the Bundestag?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Die Linke reaches 72 MPs, SPD reaches 110 MPs, Grüne reaches 87 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 194 MPs and AfD reaches 167 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.
Majority from 316 MPs
To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD
SPD + Grüne
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
72
11.4%
SPD
110
17.5%
Grüne
87
13.8%
Union
194
30.8%
AfD
167
26.5%
Latest polls for Germany
Germany — National parliament voting intention
Polling the states
Parties in Germany
Election trend by party at a glance
What's happening in Germany?
German top court upholds reunification solidarity tax
A judge ruled that Germany's solidarity tax is still necessary to cope with the costs of reunification. Just 10% of the highest income earners are still subject to the tax, in addition to businesses and investors.
DW.com
- 26.03.2025
Germany: Police raids target Eritrean terror group
The nationwide police operation targeted suspected members of the so-called "Brigade N'hamedu" in Germany. The group is believed to have been responsible for violent riots at Eritrean cultural events.
DW.com
- 26.03.2025
Berlin police arrest scores as neo-Nazi march blocked
Right-wing extremists aimed to march through Berlin's district of Friedrichshain. However, they didn't get very far as counter-protests blocked the way.
DW.com
- 22.03.2025
Government and parliament
Frank-Walter Steinmeier
Head of state
Olaf Scholz
Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 630
Government & opposition
Government
: 205
Opposition
: 425
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 270
Right-leaning parties
: 360
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Germany
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
87
|
1.1
|
low
| |
|
87
|
1.1
|
low
| |
|
87
|
1.3
|
very low
| |
|
85
|
0.9
|
low
| |
|
85
|
1.5
|
very low
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.