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Germany: Polls and trends for the German election 2025

Current Election Trend for Germany

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Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 31.6%, followed by AfD with 18%, SPD with 15.7%, Grüne with 11.1%, BSW with 7.6%, FDP with 4% and Die Linke with 3.2%. Other parties reach 8.8%.

On the rise: SPD

+1.2 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: CDU/CSU

-1.1 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 28.09.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 357.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 31.9% of the votes.
CDU/CSU
31.6
AfD
18.0
SPD
15.7
Grüne
11.1
BSW
7.6
FDP
4.0
Linke
3.2
Sonst.
8.8

Coalitions

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Who could enter the Bundestag?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SPD reaches 118 MPs, Grüne reaches 83 MPs, BSW reaches 57 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 237 MPs and AfD reaches 135 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

Majority from 316 MPs

To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + AfD
372
CDU/CSU + SPD
355
CDU/CSU + Grüne
320
630
SPD
118
Grüne
83
BSW
57
CDU/CSU
237
AfD
135
Majority requires 316 seats

Latest polls for Germany

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New INSA
· 2 days ago
2 days ago
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INSA
· 6 days ago
6 days ago
Open Details
CDU/CSU
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365 days trend
AfD
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365 days trend
SPD
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365 days trend
Grüne
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365 days trend
BSW
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365 days trend
FDP
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365 days trend
Linke
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365 days trend
Others
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365 days trend

Election trend by party at a glance

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On the rise: SPD

+1.2 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: CDU/CSU

-1.1 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU/CSU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
BSW
FDP
Die Linke
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Polling the states

Germany — National parliament voting intention

Election 2025

General Information: Election Day & Eligible Voters

The 2025 federal election will take place on September 28, 2025. Around 60 million Germans aged 18 and over are eligible to vote. Voters will elect the representatives of the 21st German Bundestag for a four-year term. This election is one of the most significant democratic events in Germany and will be conducted based on general, free, and equal voting principles.

Threshold Clause & Mandates

The 5% threshold remains in effect for the 2025 election. Parties must win at least 5% of second votes or three direct mandates to enter the Bundestag. The Bundestag is expected to be capped at 630 seats under a new electoral reform aimed at preventing the expansion of the parliament.

Electoral System

Germany's electoral system combines majority and proportional representation. Each voter has two votes: the first vote is for a direct candidate in the electoral district, while the second vote decides the composition of the Bundestag by party. The second vote is crucial for determining seat distribution.

Chancellor Candidates

No candidates for chancellor have yet been announced for the 2025 federal elections. Chancellor Olaf Scholz would like to run again for the SPD. However, critical voices from within the SPD are bringing up Boris Pistorius, the popular defence minister in the polls, as an alternative candidate for chancellor. For the CDU/CSU, Friedrich Merz will run as the official candidate. Competitors Hendrick Wüst from the CDU and Markus Söder from the CSU assured Merz of their support. For the Greens, Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has already announced that she will not run. This means that Economics Minister Robert Habeck is the hottest contender to be the Greens' candidate for chancellor in the Bundestag elections. The AfD could also put forward a candidate for chancellor: Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel are considered promising candidates for the AfD.

Current Government

As of 2025, the government consists of a coalition between the SPD, the Greens, and the FDP. This 'traffic light coalition' has been in power since 2021, focusing on issues such as climate policy, social justice, and digitalization. The future of the coalition is uncertain as the next election approaches.

Previous Election

In the 2021 federal election, the SPD, led by Olaf Scholz, won 25.7% of the vote and secured the chancellorship for the first time in 16 years. The CDU/CSU suffered significant losses, while the Greens emerged as the third-strongest party. This led to the formation of the traffic light coalition.

Government and parliament

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Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Head of state

Olaf Scholz

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 735
Government & opposition
Government : 416
Opposition : 319
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 364
Right-leaning parties : 371

FAQ

When is the next election in Germany?

The next election in Germany is on 28.09.2025.

Who is the president of Germany?

The head of state of Germany is Frank-Walter Steinmeier.

Who governs in Germany?

Olaf Scholz governs in Germany with a coalition of .

What is the restrictive clause in Germany?

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

What is the latest poll for Germany?

The latest poll for the election in Germany was published by INSA. The parties achieve the following values: CDU/CSU 31%, AfD 20%, SPD 16%, Grüne 11%, BSW 8%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Germany?

In the parliament of Germany, there are 735 representatives from 7 parties. 416 representatives are part of the government from SPD, Grüne and FDP. The opposition from CDU/CSU, AfD, Die Linke and Südschleswigscher Wählerverband has 319 representatives.