Germany: Polls and trends for the German election 2025

Current Election Trend for Germany

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 32.3%, followed by AfD with 17.9%, SPD with 15.9%, Grüne with 13%, BSW with 5.9%, FDP with 3.8% and Die Linke with 3.2%. Other parties reach 8%.

On the rise: Grüne

+1.8 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: BSW

-0.9 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 79.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 34.0% of the votes.
Union
32.3
AfD
17.9
SPD
15.9
Grüne
13.0
BSW
5.9
FDP
3.8
Linke
3.2
Others
8.0

Coalitions

Who could enter the Bundestag?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: SPD reaches 118 MPs, Grüne reaches 96 MPs, BSW reaches 43 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 240 MPs and AfD reaches 133 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

Majority from 316 MPs

To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.2%
CDU/CSU + SPD
56.8%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
53.3%
SPD + Grüne
34.0%
630
Majority requires 316 seats
SPD
118
18.7%
Grüne
96
15.3%
BSW
43
6.9%
Union
240
38%
AfD
133
21.1%

Latest polls for Germany

Germany — National parliament voting intention

Polling the states

Parties in Germany

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU/CSU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
BSW
FDP
Die Linke
Show more

Election 2025

General Information: Election Day & Eligible Voters

The 2025 federal election will take place on September 28, 2025. Around 60 million Germans aged 18 and over are eligible to vote. Voters will elect the representatives of the 21st German Bundestag for a four-year term. This election is one of the most significant democratic events in Germany and will be conducted based on general, free, and equal voting principles.

Threshold Clause & Mandates

The 5% threshold remains in effect for the 2025 election. Parties must win at least 5% of second votes or three direct mandates to enter the Bundestag. The Bundestag is expected to be capped at 630 seats under a new electoral reform aimed at preventing the expansion of the parliament.

Electoral System

Germany's electoral system combines majority and proportional representation. Each voter has two votes: the first vote is for a direct candidate in the electoral district, while the second vote decides the composition of the Bundestag by party. The second vote is crucial for determining seat distribution.

Chancellor Candidates

No candidates for chancellor have yet been announced for the 2025 federal elections. Chancellor Olaf Scholz would like to run again for the SPD. However, critical voices from within the SPD are bringing up Boris Pistorius, the popular defence minister in the polls, as an alternative candidate for chancellor. For the CDU/CSU, Friedrich Merz will run as the official candidate. Competitors Hendrick Wüst from the CDU and Markus Söder from the CSU assured Merz of their support. For the Greens, Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock has already announced that she will not run. This means that Economics Minister Robert Habeck is the hottest contender to be the Greens' candidate for chancellor in the Bundestag elections. The AfD could also put forward a candidate for chancellor: Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel are considered promising candidates for the AfD.

Current Government

As of 2025, the government consists of a coalition between the SPD, the Greens, and the FDP. This 'traffic light coalition' has been in power since 2021, focusing on issues such as climate policy, social justice, and digitalization. The future of the coalition is uncertain as the next election approaches.

Previous Election

In the 2021 federal election, the SPD, led by Olaf Scholz, won 25.7% of the vote and secured the chancellorship for the first time in 16 years. The CDU/CSU suffered significant losses, while the Greens emerged as the third-strongest party. This led to the formation of the traffic light coalition.

Government and parliament

Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Head of state

Olaf Scholz

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 735
Government & opposition
Government : 324
Opposition : 411
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 364
Right-leaning parties : 371

FAQ

When is the next election in Germany?

The next election in Germany is on 23.02.2025.

Who is the president of Germany?

The head of state of Germany is Frank-Walter Steinmeier.

Who governs in Germany?

Olaf Scholz governs in Germany with a coalition of Grüne and SPD.

What is the restrictive clause in Germany?

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

What is the latest poll for Germany?

The latest poll for the election in Germany was published by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The parties achieve the following values: CDU/CSU 33%, AfD 17%, SPD 15%, Grüne 14%, BSW 5%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%.