Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 30.1%, followed by AfD with 20.4%, SPD with 15.4%, Grüne with 13.2%, Die Linke with 6.5%, BSW with 4.5% and FDP with 4.3%. Other parties reach 5.6%.
On the rise: Linke
+2.7 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: SPD
-1.1 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 23.02.2025
The next general election in Germany will be held in 5.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 33.3% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter the Bundestag?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Die Linke reaches 48 MPs, SPD reaches 113 MPs, Grüne reaches 97 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 222 MPs and AfD reaches 150 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.
Majority from 316 MPs
To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD
CDU/CSU + Grüne
SPD + Grüne
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
48
7.6%
SPD
113
17.9%
Grüne
97
15.4%
Union
222
35.2%
AfD
150
23.8%
Latest polls for Germany
Germany — National parliament voting intention
Polling the states
Parties in Germany
Election trend by party at a glance
Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2025
General Information: Election Day & Eligible Voters
The 2025 federal election will take place on September 28, 2025. Around 60 million Germans aged 18 and over are eligible to vote. Voters will elect the representatives of the 21st German Bundestag for a four-year term. This election is one of the most significant democratic events in Germany and will be conducted based on general, free, and equal voting principles.
Threshold Clause & Mandates
The 5% threshold remains in effect for the 2025 election. Parties must win at least 5% of second votes or three direct mandates to enter the Bundestag. The Bundestag is expected to be capped at 630 seats under a new electoral reform aimed at preventing the expansion of the parliament.
Electoral System
Germany's electoral system combines majority and proportional representation. Each voter has two votes: the first vote is for a direct candidate in the electoral district, while the second vote decides the composition of the Bundestag by party. The second vote is crucial for determining seat distribution.
Chancellor Candidates
The candidates for the 2025 German federal election have been announced. Chancellor Olaf Scholz will run again for the SPD. Following the withdrawal of Defense Minister Boris Pistorius, who is popular in polls, as an alternative candidate, Scholz's candidacy was the logical outcome despite internal criticism, given his position as incumbent Chancellor. For the CDU/CSU Union, Friedrich Merz has been chosen as the candidate for Chancellor. His competitors, Hendrik Wüst of the CDU and Markus Söder of the CSU, decided not to run and have pledged their support to Merz. Green Party Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock had already announced her decision not to stand as a candidate. Consequently, Economics Minister Robert Habeck has been nominated as the Greens' candidate for Chancellor. The AfD has chosen Alice Weidel as its candidate for Chancellor.
Current Government
As of 2025, the government consists of a coalition between the SPD, the Greens, and the FDP. This 'traffic light coalition' has been in power since 2021, focusing on issues such as climate policy, social justice, and digitalization. The future of the coalition is uncertain as the next election approaches.
Previous Election
In the 2021 federal election, the SPD, led by Olaf Scholz, won 25.7% of the vote and secured the chancellorship for the first time in 16 years. The CDU/CSU suffered significant losses, while the Greens emerged as the third-strongest party. This led to the formation of the traffic light coalition.
Government and parliament
Frank-Walter Steinmeier
Head of state
Olaf Scholz
Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 735
Government & opposition
Government
: 324
Opposition
: 411
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 364
Right-leaning parties
: 371
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Germany
Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
---|---|---|---|
87
|
1.1
|
low
| |
86
|
1.2
|
low
| |
86
|
1.3
|
very low
| |
85
|
1.5
|
very low
| |
81
|
1.2
|
medium
| |
More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.