Current Election Trend for Germany

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 25.6%, followed by AfD with 24.7%, SPD with 15.2%, Grüne with 11.4%, Die Linke with 9.8%, BSW with 4.3% and FDP with 3.7%. Other parties reach 5.3%.

On the rise: AfD

+2.1 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: CDU/CSU

-1.1 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Germany is expected to take place in 2029.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 30.8% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Union
25.6
AfD
24.7
SPD
15.2
Grüne
11.4
Linke
9.8
BSW
4.3
FDP
3.7
Others
5.3

Coalitions

Who could enter the Bundestag?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Die Linke reaches 71 MPs, SPD reaches 111 MPs, Grüne reaches 83 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 186 MPs and AfD reaches 179 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

Majority from 316 MPs

To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne
60.3%
CDU/CSU + AfD
57.9%
CDU/CSU + SPD
47.1%
SPD + Grüne
30.8%
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
71
11.3%
SPD
111
17.6%
Grüne
83
13.2%
Union
186
29.5%
AfD
179
28.4%

Latest polls for Germany

New INSA
· 2 days ago
2 days ago
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New Forsa
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
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INSA
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details

Germany — National parliament voting intention

Polling the states

Parties in Germany

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU/CSU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Die Linke
BSW
FDP
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What's happening in Germany?

Government and parliament

Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Head of state

Olaf Scholz

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 630
Government & opposition
Government : 205
Opposition : 425
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 270
Right-leaning parties : 360

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Germany

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
87
1.1
low
87
1.1
low
87
1.3
very low
85
0.9
low
85
1.5
very low
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.