Current Election Trend for Germany

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Germany, CDU/CSU is leading with 30.1%, followed by AfD with 20.4%, SPD with 15.4%, Grüne with 13.2%, Die Linke with 6.5%, BSW with 4.5% and FDP with 4.3%. Other parties reach 5.6%.

On the rise: Linke

+2.7 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: SPD

-1.1 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 23.02.2025

The next general election in Germany will be held in 5.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 33.3% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Union
30.1
AfD
20.4
SPD
15.4
Grüne
13.2
Linke
6.5
BSW
4.5
FDP
4.3
Others
5.6

Coalitions

Who could enter the Bundestag?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Die Linke reaches 48 MPs, SPD reaches 113 MPs, Grüne reaches 97 MPs, CDU/CSU reaches 222 MPs and AfD reaches 150 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause for the German federal election is 5%, except for parties representing national minorities.

Majority from 316 MPs

To form a government, 316 of 630 MPs are required.
CDU/CSU + AfD
59.0%
CDU/CSU + SPD
53.2%
CDU/CSU + Grüne
50.6%
SPD + Grüne
33.3%
630
Majority requires 316 seats
Linke
48
7.6%
SPD
113
17.9%
Grüne
97
15.4%
Union
222
35.2%
AfD
150
23.8%

Latest polls for Germany

New INSA
· 1 day ago
1 day ago
Open Details
New Forsa
· 4 days ago
4 days ago
Open Details

Germany — National parliament voting intention

Polling the states

Parties in Germany

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
CDU/CSU
AfD
SPD
Grüne
Die Linke
BSW
FDP
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Parliamentary Election in Deutschland 2025

General Information: Election Day & Eligible Voters

The 2025 federal election will take place on September 28, 2025. Around 60 million Germans aged 18 and over are eligible to vote. Voters will elect the representatives of the 21st German Bundestag for a four-year term. This election is one of the most significant democratic events in Germany and will be conducted based on general, free, and equal voting principles.

Threshold Clause & Mandates

The 5% threshold remains in effect for the 2025 election. Parties must win at least 5% of second votes or three direct mandates to enter the Bundestag. The Bundestag is expected to be capped at 630 seats under a new electoral reform aimed at preventing the expansion of the parliament.

Electoral System

Germany's electoral system combines majority and proportional representation. Each voter has two votes: the first vote is for a direct candidate in the electoral district, while the second vote decides the composition of the Bundestag by party. The second vote is crucial for determining seat distribution.

Chancellor Candidates

The candidates for the 2025 German federal election have been announced. Chancellor Olaf Scholz will run again for the SPD. Following the withdrawal of Defense Minister Boris Pistorius, who is popular in polls, as an alternative candidate, Scholz's candidacy was the logical outcome despite internal criticism, given his position as incumbent Chancellor. For the CDU/CSU Union, Friedrich Merz has been chosen as the candidate for Chancellor. His competitors, Hendrik Wüst of the CDU and Markus Söder of the CSU, decided not to run and have pledged their support to Merz. Green Party Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock had already announced her decision not to stand as a candidate. Consequently, Economics Minister Robert Habeck has been nominated as the Greens' candidate for Chancellor. The AfD has chosen Alice Weidel as its candidate for Chancellor.

Current Government

As of 2025, the government consists of a coalition between the SPD, the Greens, and the FDP. This 'traffic light coalition' has been in power since 2021, focusing on issues such as climate policy, social justice, and digitalization. The future of the coalition is uncertain as the next election approaches.

Previous Election

In the 2021 federal election, the SPD, led by Olaf Scholz, won 25.7% of the vote and secured the chancellorship for the first time in 16 years. The CDU/CSU suffered significant losses, while the Greens emerged as the third-strongest party. This led to the formation of the traffic light coalition.

Government and parliament

Frank-Walter Steinmeier

Head of state

Olaf Scholz

Chancellor
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 735
Government & opposition
Government : 324
Opposition : 411
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 364
Right-leaning parties : 371

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Germany

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
87
1.1
low
86
1.2
low
86
1.3
very low
85
1.5
very low
81
1.2
medium
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What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.