Russia: Election Polls & Latest Voting Intentions for the Russian Election

The frontrunner in the current PolitPro Poll Trend for the Russian election is YeR with 45.4%. This is followed by KPRF: 13.4%, LDPR: 12.8%, NL: 11.3% and SRPZP: 6.1%. Other parties secure 11% of the votes.

The incumbent governing parties in Russia confirm their majority in the current poll trend with 65.6% of the seats. Thus, the coalition of YeR and LDPR continues to enjoy solid parliamentary support to stably continue governmental affairs.

The PolitPro Poll Trend is more than just a snapshot. We aggregate data from all relevant polling institutes into a weighted average for the Russian election. Since the classic hypothetical election question ('Who would you vote for if an election were held next Sunday?') inherently fluctuates due to methodology, our poll trend provides a statistically robust data basis. It smooths out short-term outliers and reveals the real political dynamics over time.

By combining multiple data sources, we minimize the risk of random effects. Each survey is subject to a statistical margin of error (usually between 1.5% and 3%). Our poll check for Russia precisely indicates whether a party's gain represents a sustainable development or merely falls within the statistical uncertainty of a single institute.

The calculation follows a transparent mathematical model: Current polls receive a higher weighting than older data. Furthermore, the historical predictive accuracy of the institutes is incorporated into the calculation to compensate for methodological biases. The result is a valid trend line that accurately reflects the party system of Russia.

Based on the poll trend, 5 parties would enter Russia's State Duma: YeR with 230 representatives, KPRF with 68 representatives, LDPR with 65 representatives, NL with 57 representatives and SRPZP with 30 representatives.