Russia: Polls and trends for the Russian election 2026

Current Election Trend for Russia

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Russia, YeR is leading with 53%, followed by KPRF with 13%, LDPR with 11%, SRPZP with 7% and NL with 6%. Other parties reach 10%.

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Russia is expected to take place in 2026.
Development since the last election on 19.11.2021
YeR
+3.2
KPRF
-5.9
LDPR
+3.4
SRPZP
-0.5
NL
+0.7
Political orientation
YeR
KPRF
LDPR
SRPZP
NL
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
YeR
53.0
KPRF
13.0
LDPR
11.0
SRPZP
7.0
NL
6.0
Others
10.0

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: KPRF reaches 65 MPs, SRPZP reaches 35 MPs, NL reaches 30 MPs, YeR reaches 266 MPs and LDPR reaches 54 MPs.

Electoral System

The 450 seats in the State Duma are divided equally between direct candidates in electoral districts and party lists. Parties must achieve 5% of the votes. The distribution of mandates is done using the d'Hondt method for the lists.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Russia is 7%.

Majority from 226 MPs

To form a government, 226 of 450 MPs are required.
YeR
59.1%
KPRF + SRPZP + NL
28.9%
KPRF + NL
21.1%
450
Majority requires 226 seats
KPRF
65
14.4%
SRPZP
35
7.8%
NL
30
6.7%
YeR
266
59.1%
LDPR
54
12%

Latest polls for Russia

Levada Centre
· 2 years ago
2 years ago
YeR
53
KPRF
13
LDPR
11
SRPZP
7
NL
6
Others
10
Levada Centre
· 3 years ago
3 years ago
YeR
49
KPRF
15
LDPR
11
NL
5
SRPZP
5
Others
15
Levada Centre
· 3 years ago
3 years ago
YeR
49
KPRF
15
LDPR
12
SRPZP
6
NL
4
Others
14

Parliamentary Election in Russia 2021

19.11.2021

Parliamentary Election in Russia 2016

18.09.2016

Russia — National parliament voting intention

YeR KPRF LDPR SRPZP NL KR Yabloko RPPSS Zely. Rodina

Electoral system

Two paths to Parliament: Direct mandate or party list

The Russian State Duma has 450 representatives elected through a mixed system. 225 seats are allocated to direct candidates from electoral districts, while another 225 are filled through nationwide party lists. Voters have two votes: one for the local candidate and one for a party. This system combines regional representation with a national party landscape.

Five percent hurdle: Smaller parties face challenges

Only parties that receive at least 5% of the votes gain seats through the regional list. This threshold ensures stable majorities but often excludes smaller parties. Interestingly, even if a party fails to meet the 5% hurdle, its direct candidates can still enter Parliament, but only through the electoral districts.

Election date every five years - usually in September

The State Duma is elected every five years, traditionally on a Sunday in September. Notably, all Russian citizens aged 18 and over, including those living abroad, are eligible to vote. The election lasts three days to increase participation in this vast country. Online voting is being gradually expanded.
Direct Election Members are elected directly by the people.
Mixed Vote The election combines candidate votes and party list votes.
Parallel System Some seats are won by majority, others by proportional vote, without adjustment.
One Round The election is decided in a single round of voting.
Not Free Elections are not free or competitive.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 450
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 84
Right-leaning parties : 346

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Russia

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
75
Levada Centre
?
very low

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
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