Slovakia: Polls and trends for the Slovak election 2027

Current Election Trend for Slovakia

SMER
22.3
PS
21.7
HLAS
16.3
KDH
7.2
SaS
6.0
S/KÚ/ZL
6.0
REP
5.1
SNS
4.5
MA
3.7
SR
3.2
D
2.3
ĽSNS
1.6
Sonst.
0.1
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 45.7% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Slovakia?

In the current election trend in Slovakia, SMER leads with 22.3% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.6 percentage points).

PS lands at 21.7% and gains +3.7 percentage points since the last election.

HLAS lands at 16.3% and gains +1.6 percentage points since the last election.

KDH reaches 7.2% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.4 percentage points).

SaS reaches 6% and thus maintains the level of the last election (-0.3 percentage points).

S/KÚ/ZL reaches 6%. This means a significant loss in voter favor since the last election ().

Republika reaches 5.1% and thus maintains the level of the last election (+0.3 percentage points).

SNS (4.5%), MA (3.7%), Sme Rodina (3.2%), Demokrati (2.3%) and ĽSNS (1.6%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

0.1% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from FOCUS for TV Markiza, Ipsos, NMS and AKO, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 4057 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Slovakia, the government from SMER, HLAS and SNS would secure 45.7% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: SMER, PS, HLAS, KDH, SaS, S/KÚ/ZL and Republika reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 69% - 31% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament

Slovakia
· 15 / 720 seats
22.3
21.7
16.3
7.2
6
5.1
4.5
3.7
3.2
2.3
1.6
0.1

Latest polls for Slovakia

New FOCUS
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
21.1
18.9
17.2
6.2
6.1
5.8
5.4
4.2
3.5
2.7
2.6
0.4
Ipsos
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
22.7
21.3
16.5
6.7
6.4
5.2
4.2
3.4
3.2
2.4
1.6
0.6
NMS
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
22
21
16.9
7.2
5.8
5.7
4.2
3.6
3.3
2.5
1.6
0.2

What is the latest poll for Slovakia?

The latest poll for the election in Slovakia was published by FOCUS. The parties achieve the following values: SMER 21.1%, PS 18.9%, HLAS 17.2%, SaS 6.2%, KDH 6.1%, S/KÚ/ZL 5.9%, SNS 5.8%, MA 5.4%, Republika 4.2%, Demokrati 3.5%, ĽSNS 2.7% and Sme Rodina 2.6%.

Coalitions

SMER + HLAS + KDH
54.2
PS + HLAS + KDH
53.5
SMER + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL
52.8
SMER + HLAS + SaS
52.8
PS + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL
52.1
SMER + PS
52.1
PS + HLAS + SaS
52.1
SMER + KDH + SaS + S/KÚ/ZL
Show more

Which coalitions are currently possible in Slovakia?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from SMER, HLAS and KDH, Coalition from PS, HLAS and KDH, Coalition from SMER, HLAS and S/KÚ/ZL, Coalition from SMER, HLAS and SaS, Coalition from PS, HLAS and S/KÚ/ZL, Coalition from SMER and PS and Coalition from PS, HLAS and SaS each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Slovakia shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: S/KÚ/ZL
+1.9 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: SMER
-1.3 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
SMER
PS
HLAS
KDH
SaS
S/KÚ/ZL
Republika
SNS
MA
Sme Rodina
Demokrati
ĽSNS
Show more

Slovakia — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Slovakia in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Slovakia took place on 30.09.2023.

Government and parliament

Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 150
Government & opposition
Government : 69
Opposition : 81
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 101
Right-leaning parties : 49

Which parties are in the parliament of Slovakia?

In the parliament of Slovakia, there are 150 representatives from 7 parties. 69 representatives are part of the government from SMER, HLAS and SNS. The opposition from PS, OĽaNO, KDH and SaS has 81 representatives.

101 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 49 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Slovakia?

In Slovakia, a coalition of SMER, HLAS and SNS governs.

Parliamentary election in Slovakia 2027

The Parliamentary election in Slovakia 2027 will probably take place in 2027. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

The country is lead by a Coalition of the center of HLAS, SMER and SNS. In the last Parliamentary election in Slovakia in 2023, SMER (22.9% - 32 seats), PS (18% - 42 seats), HLAS (14.7% - 27 seats), OĽaNO (8.9% - 16 seats), KDH (6.8% - 12 seats), SaS (6.3% - 11 seats) and SNS (5.6% - 10 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 69%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Slovakia?

The next election in Slovakia is expected to take place in the year 2027.

Who governs in Slovakia?

In Slovakia, a coalition of SMER, HLAS and SNS governs.

What is the electoral threshold in Slovakia?

The electoral threshold in Slovakia is 5% for parties, 7% for two-party alliances, and 10% for alliances with more than two parties.

What is the latest poll for Slovakia?

The latest poll for the election in Slovakia was published by FOCUS. The parties achieve the following values: SMER 21.1%, PS 18.9%, HLAS 17.2%, SaS 6.2%, KDH 6.1%, S/KÚ/ZL 5.9%, SNS 5.8%, MA 5.4%, Republika 4.2%, Demokrati 3.5%, ĽSNS 2.7% and Sme Rodina 2.6%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Slovakia?

In the parliament of Slovakia, there are 150 representatives from 7 parties. 69 representatives are part of the government from SMER, HLAS and SNS. The opposition from PS, OĽaNO, KDH and SaS has 81 representatives.