Election trends and current polls for Slovakia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
OĽaNO
24.1%
-5.8
SMER
21.1%
+2.8
SR
11%
+1
ĽSNS
9.2%
+2.8
PS
6.5%
±0
SaS
8.3%
-1.4
4.1%
+1.1
KDH
4.6%
+0.9
SMK
4.2%
-0.2
MOST
1.5%
+1.5
SNS
1.5%
-0.7
DV
2%
-0.2
V
1.4%
-0.5
Sonstige
0.5%
-3.1
Changes to last election from 29.02.2020
OĽaNO
-0.9
SMER
+2.8
SR
+2.8
ĽSNS
+1.2
PS
+6.5
SaS
+2.1
-1.7
KDH
-0.1
SMK
+0.3
MOST
-0.6
SNS
-1.7
DV
-1.1
V
-1.5
Political orientation
OĽaNO
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SMER
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SR
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ĽSNS
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PS
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SaS
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KDH
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SMK
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MOST
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SNS
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DV
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V
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Národná rada
FOCUS - 24.05.2020
22.9%
±0
21.6%
±0
SR
11.2%
±0
9.7%
±0
0.2%
±0
PS
6.5%
±0
SaS
8%
±0
4.3%
±0
KDH
4.8%
±0
DV
2%
±0
1.5%
±0
SMK
4.2%
±0
SNS
1.4%
±0
V
1.3%
±0
0.4%
±0
Národná rada
Polis - 18.05.2020
Národná rada
FOCUS - 18.05.2020
Národná rada
AKO - 22.04.2020
29.9%
+14.4
18.3%
+1.4
SR
10%
+2.8
6.4%
-3.9
0.9%
±0
PS
6.5%
±0
SaS
9.7%
+3.6
3%
-5.8
KDH
3.7%
-1.6
DV
2.2%
-2.1
0.6%
-4.1
SMK
4.4%
+1.4
SNS
2.2%
-2.8
V
1.9%
+0.4
0.3%
-1.7
Národná rada
AKO - 13.02.2020
15.5%
+2
16.9%
-0.4
SR
7.2%
+0.8
10.3%
-1.5
9.4%
+0.7
SaS
6.1%
+0.3
8.8%
-0.7
KDH
5.3%
±0
DV
4.3%
+0.2
4.7%
+0.2
SMK
3%
-0.2
SNS
5%
-0.1
V
1.5%
-0.7
2%
-0.6
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
OĽaNO + SMER
56.3%
OĽaNO + SR + ĽSNS
55.2%
OĽaNO + SR + SaS
54%
OĽaNO + SaS + ĽSNS
51.8%
OĽaNO + SaS + PS
48.4%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
OĽaNO
SMER
SR
ĽSNS
PS
SaS
KDH
DV
MOST
SMK
SNS
V
PS–SP
SPOLU

Last election

The results of the last election from 29.02.2020
Seats
Party Percent Seats
OĽaNO 25.0% 14% 53 34
SMER 18.3% -10% 38 -11
Sme Rodina 8.2% 1.6% 17 6
ĽSNS 8.0% 0% 17 3
SaS 6.2% -5.9% 13 -8
5.8% 5.8% 12 12
PS–SPOLU 7.0% 7% 0 0
KDH 4.7% -0.2% 0 0
SMK–MKP 3.9% -0.1% 0 0
SNS 3.2% -5.4% 0 -15
DV 3.1% 3.1% 0 0
V 2.9% 2.9% 0 0
MOST–HÍD 2.1% -4.4% 0 -11
Sonstige 1.6% -2.8% 0 0
In the last election of the 29.02.2020 150 representatives from 6 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2024.