Current Election Trend for Belgium

N-VA
14.6
VB
13.8
MR
10.8
PVDA
10.8
PS
10.2
VO
9.0
CD&V
7.7
LE
7.3
OVLD
4.2
Groen
4.0
ECO
3.9
DéFI
0.6
Others
3.1
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Belgium is expected to take place in 2029.

Government could stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 58.7% of the votes.

Current Election Trend for Wallonia

MR
27.4
PS
24.6
LE
20.6
PVDA
12.9
ECO
8.1
Others
6.4
Wallonia Ipsos
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
27.4
24.6
20.6
12.9
8.1
6.4
Wallonia Ipsos
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
Open Details
26.6
22.6
21.7
13.1
8.1
7.9
Wallonia Ipsos
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details
22.6
22.6
18.1
14.5
8.8
4.3
9.1

Current Election Trend for Brussels

PS
23.1
PVDA
20.9
MR
20.7
ECO
13.5
LE
7.3
DéFI
5.7
N-VA
3.2
VB
1.6
Others
4.0
Brussels Ipsos
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
23.1
20.9
20.7
13.5
7.3
5.7
3.2
1.6
Brussels Ipsos
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
Open Details
22.6
20.4
15.4
9.8
8.4
6.2
17.2
Brussels Ipsos
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details
23.3
19.8
15.2
12.5
7.7
7.2
14.3

Current Election Trend for Flanders

N-VA
24.6
VB
23.5
VO
15.5
CD&V
13.3
PVDA
7.9
OVLD
7.2
Groen
6.9
Others
1.1
Flanders Ipsos
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
24.6
23.5
15.5
13.3
7.9
7.2
6.9
1.1
Flanders Ipsos
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
Open Details
26.7
23.2
14.8
11.3
8.9
6.8
6.5
1.8
Flanders Ipsos
· 10 months ago
10 months ago
Open Details
25.8
21
15.6
12.3
10.2
6.1

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: PVDA/PTB reaches 19 MPs, PS reaches 18 MPs, Vooruit reaches 16 MPs, MR reaches 19 MPs, CD&V reaches 14 MPs, LE reaches 13 MPs, N-VA reaches 26 MPs and VB reaches 25 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Belgium is 5% at the constituency level.

Majority from 76 MPs

To form a government, 76 of 150 MPs are required.
N-VA + MR + Vooruit + CD&V + LE
N-VA + MR + Vooruit + CD&V + LE
N-VA + PS + Vooruit + CD&V + LE
N-VA + PS + Vooruit + CD&V + LE
N-VA + VB + MR + CD&V
56.0%
N-VA + VB + MR + CD&V
56.0%
N-VA + VB + MR + LE
55.3%
N-VA + VB + MR + LE
55.3%
MR + PS + Vooruit + CD&V + LE
MR + PS + Vooruit + CD&V + LE
N-VA + MR + PS + Vooruit
52.7%
N-VA + VB + CD&V + LE
52.0%
N-VA + VB + CD&V + LE
52.0%
N-VA + MR + PS + CD&V
51.3%
N-VA + MR + PS + LE
50.7%
N-VA + MR + PS + LE
50.7%
N-VA + MR + Vooruit + CD&V
50.0%
N-VA + PS + Vooruit + CD&V
49.3%
N-VA + MR + Vooruit + LE
49.3%
N-VA + MR + Vooruit + LE
49.3%
150
Majority requires 76 seats
PVDA
19
12.7%
PS
18
12%
VO
16
10.7%
MR
19
12.7%
CD&V
14
9.3%
LE
13
8.7%
N-VA
26
17.3%
VB
25
16.7%

Latest polls for Belgium

Belgium — National parliament voting intention

What's happening in Belgium?

Belgium: Shooting in Brussels, 2 dead, terror alert raised
The gunman's motives remain unclear, but Belgium's federal prosecutor in charge of terrorism has taken over the case, with the suspect at large. Belgium's prime minister said the victims were both Swedish.
DW.com - 16.10.2023
Unnamed European country buys Leopard 1 tanks for Ukraine
An undisclosed European government has bought dozens of second-hand tanks that once belonged to Belgium, according to the weapons dealer who sold them. The vehicles are to be stripped, repaired and then sent to Ukraine.
DW.com - 09.08.2023
Belgian court acquits four over airport diamond heist
Ten years after a heist that has been praised for its execution still only one perpetrator remains behind bars. The thieves were able to make off with $50 million (€47 million) worth of diamonds.
DW.com - 08.03.2023

Government and parliament

Philippe I

Head of state

Bart De Wever

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 150
Government & opposition
Government : 82
Opposition : 68
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 53
Right-leaning parties : 69

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Belgium

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
38
?
high
16
4.5
high

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.