Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria, GERB is leading with 27.5%, followed by PP/DB with 15.4%, Vŭzrazhdane with 14.1%, DPS with 12.5%, BSP with 7.7%, APS with 6.8%, ITN with 4.8% and MECh with 3.6%. Other parties reach 7.6%.
On the rise: GERB
+1.9 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: APS
-1.7 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 45.5% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: BSP reaches 21 MPs, APS reaches 18 MPs, ITN reaches 13 MPs, DPS reaches 34 MPs, GERB reaches 75 MPs, PP/DB reaches 41 MPs and Vŭzrazhdane reaches 38 MPs.
4% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Bulgaria is 4%.
Majority from 121 MPs
To form a government, 121 of 240 MPs are required.
GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
GERB + PP/DB + DPS
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
GERB + PP/DB + BSP
GERB + PP/DB + APS
GERB + DPS + BSP
GERB + PP/DB + ITN
GERB + BSP + APS + ITN
GERB + DPS + APS
PP/DB + DPS + BSP + APS + ITN
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + ITN
PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + ITN
GERB + DPS + ITN
GERB + BSP + ITN
240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
21
8.8%
APS
18
7.5%
ITN
13
5.4%
DPS
34
14.2%
GERB
75
31.3%
PP/DB
41
17.1%
V
38
15.8%
Latest polls for Bulgaria
Bulgaria — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Bulgaria
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GERB |
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
+3.5
|
+1.0
|
+2.0
|
| PP/DB |
±0.0
|
-0.2
|
+1.5
|
-4.1
|
+1.7
|
| Vŭzrazhdane |
±0.0
|
-1.1
|
+0.7
|
-1.0
|
+1.2
|
| DPS |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-4.1
|
-2.0
|
+1.3
|
| BSP |
±0.0
|
+0.5
|
+0.8
|
-2.8
|
+0.4
|
| APS |
±0.0
|
-1.7
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.4
|
| ITN |
±0.0
|
-1.6
|
-1.0
|
-0.4
|
-1.8
|
| MECh |
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.8
|
Government and parliament
Rumen Radev
Head of state
Galab Donev
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 240
Government & opposition
Government
: 107
Opposition
: 133
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 20
Right-leaning parties
: 153
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Bulgaria
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Neutrality |
|---|---|---|---|
|
61
|
1.3
|
unknown
| |
|
60
|
2.3
|
bad
| |
|
60
|
2.6
|
good
| |
|
59
|
1.2
|
unknown
| |
|
55
|
2.3
|
bad
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.