Election trends and current polls for Bulgaria

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
GERB
32.7%
+0.8
BSP
15.4%
-12.8
VMRO
7.3%
+2.6
DPS
14.8%
+3.7
RB
8.9%
±0
PB
5.7%
±0
Ataka
4.5%
+2.7
ABV
4.2%
±0
Sonstige
6.5%
±0
Changes to last election from 26.03.2017
GERB
±0.0
BSP
-11.8
VMRO
-1.8
DPS
+14.8
RB
+5.8
PB
+4.6
Ataka
+4.5
ABV
+2.6
Political orientation
GERB
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BSP
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VMRO
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DPS
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RB
arrow_forward_ios
PB
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Ataka
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ABV
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Narodno Sabranie
Trend - 10.02.2020
32.6%
-3.4
BSP
29.1%
+1.1
4.2%
-0.8
DPS
10.8%
-1.2
2.1%
+0.1
1.8%
±0
DB
6.4%
+1.4
NTD
11.4%
+3.4
1.6%
-2.4
Narodno Sabranie
Alpha Research - 12.12.2019
30%
+0.4
BSP
25%
-0.8
7%
±0
DPS
11%
-0.8
2%
-0.8
2%
-0.6
DB
7%
+1.4
NTD
12%
+1
4%
-2
Narodno Sabranie
Market LINKS - 28.11.2019
30%
-4
BSP
27%
-4
DPS
13%
+6
2%
±0
DB
8%
+2
NTD
13%
±0
OP
7%
+1
0%
-14
Narodno Sabranie
Trend - 15.11.2019
36%
-2.1
BSP
28%
-2.2
5%
-0.8
DPS
12%
+0.6
2%
+0.1
DB
5%
-0.3
NTD
8%
±0
4%
+0.6
Narodno Sabranie
Alpha Research - 16.09.2019
29.6%
+7.4
BSP
25.8%
+6.1
DPS
11.8%
+5.2
2.8%
+0.8
2.6%
±0
DB
5.6%
+2.7
NTD
11%
±0
OP
4.8%
+0.1
6%
-35.9
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
GERB + DPS + VMRO
58.6%
GERB + BSP
51.5%
GERB + DPS
50.8%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 4%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
GERB
BSP
VMRO
DPS
RB
ABV
Ataka
PB
Volya
DB
NTD
OP
DSB
YB

Last election

The results of the last election from 26.03.2017
Seats
Party Percent Seats
GERB 32.7% 0% 95 11
BSP 27.2% 11.8% 80 41
VMRO 9.1% 1.8% 27 8
DSB 9.0% 9% 26 26
Volya 4.2% 4.2% 12 12
Sonstige 3.7% -2.8% 0 0
Reformatorski Blok 3.1% -5.8% 0 -23
Da, Bŭlgariya! 2.9% 2.9% 0 0
DOST 2.9% 2.9% 0 0
ABV 1.6% -2.6% 0 -11
Prezaredete Bŭlgariya 1.1% -4.6% 0 -15
In the last election of the 26.03.2017 240 representatives from 5 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2021.