Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Bulgaria, GERB is leading with 27.8%, followed by Vŭzrazhdane with 13.2%, DPS with 13.1%, PP with 12.4%, BSP with 8.6%, APS with 6.2%, ITN with 5.5%, MECh with 4.9% and Velichie with 4%. Other parties reach 4.3%.
On the rise: MECh
+1.2 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: V
-0.9 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Bulgaria is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 44.2% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 27.10.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 9 parties could enter parliament: BSP reaches 22 MPs, APS reaches 15 MPs, PP reaches 31 MPs, ITN reaches 13 MPs, DPS reaches 33 MPs, GERB reaches 71 MPs, MECh reaches 12 MPs, Vŭzrazhdane reaches 33 MPs and Velichie reaches 10 MPs.
4% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Bulgaria is 4%.
Majority from 121 MPs
To form a government, 121 of 240 MPs are required.
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
GERB + DPS + PP
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + PP
GERB + DPS + APS + ITN
GERB + DPS + APS + MECh
GERB + PP + APS + ITN
GERB + DPS + ITN + MECh
GERB + PP + APS + MECh
GERB + PP + ITN + MECh
GERB + DPS + BSP
Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + PP + APS + ITN
GERB + PP + BSP
Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + PP + APS + MECh
Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + PP + ITN + MECh
Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + PP + APS + Velichie
GERB + BSP + APS + ITN
Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + PP + ITN + Velichie
GERB + DPS + APS
Vŭzrazhdane + DPS + PP + MECh + Velichie
GERB + BSP + ITN
240
Majority requires 121 seats
BSP
22
9.2%
APS
15
6.3%
PP
31
12.9%
ITN
13
5.4%
DPS
33
13.8%
GERB
71
29.6%
MECh
12
5%
V
33
13.8%
VEL
10
4.2%
Latest polls for Bulgaria
Bulgaria — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Bulgaria
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GERB |
+1.0
|
+0.3
|
+2.2
|
+1.2
|
+2.3
|
| Vŭzrazhdane |
+0.8
|
-0.9
|
-2.0
|
-0.1
|
+0.3
|
| DPS |
+1.1
|
+0.6
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
| PP |
+1.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+12.4
|
| BSP |
+1.1
|
+0.9
|
+1.4
|
-1.3
|
+1.3
|
| APS |
+0.9
|
-0.6
|
-2.3
|
±0.0
|
-1.0
|
| ITN |
+1.1
|
+0.7
|
-0.9
|
+0.6
|
-1.1
|
| MECh |
+1.2
|
+1.3
|
+1.4
|
±0.0
|
+0.5
|
| Velichie |
+1.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.7
|
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
What's happening in Bulgaria?
Four Bulgarian nationals shot dead in Cape Town
The four deceased were found with gunshot wounds in the leafy suburb of Constantia. One of the dead is believed to be a Bulgarian underworld figure wanted by Interpol.
DW.com
- 25.05.2023
Bulgaria: 18 migrants found dead in truck
The truck, which was carrying timber, had hidden close to 40 migrants from Afghanistan. Four Bulgarian suspects have been arrested.
DW.com
- 18.02.2023
Government and parliament
Rumen Radev
Head of state
Galab Donev
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 240
Government & opposition
Government
: 107
Opposition
: 133
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 20
Right-leaning parties
: 153
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Bulgaria
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
61
|
1.3
|
low
| |
|
60
|
2.3
|
medium
| |
|
60
|
2.6
|
low
| |
|
55
|
2.3
|
high
| |
|
55
|
2.6
|
high
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.