Latest election polls for Bulgaria

Electoral trends Election polls Coalitions Development

PolitPro Election trend

GERB

21.8

+0.3

BSP

16.1

+0.5

VMRO

2.3

+0.4

DPS

10.7

-0.3

Volya

3.4

-0.5

ITN

16.6

-0.7

14.6

-0.9

IS.BG

4.5

-0.2

Sonst.

10.0

+1.4

Development since the last election on 10.07.2021

GERB

-1.4

BSP

+2.9

VMRO

-0.8

DPS

+0.4

Volya

ITN

-7.2

+2.1

IS.BG

-0.5

Political orientation

GERB

BSP

VMRO

DPS

Volya

ITN

IS.BG

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

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Alpha Research

2 days ago

GERB

21.1%

-0.4

BSP

16.5%

±0

DPS

9.6%

-1.5

Volya

3.5%

+0.3

ITN

16.9%

-4.9

13.2%

+1.2

IS.BG

4.1%

-1.3

Sonst.

15.1%

+6.6

Gallup

2 days ago

GERB

22.5%

+2.2

BSP

16.1%

+0.2

VMRO

2.4%

+2.4

DPS

11.9%

+0.4

Volya

3.1%

±0

IS.BG

4.8%

-1.3

ITN

15.5%

-5.8

15.8%

+3.6

Sonst.

7.9%

-1.7

Market LINKS

2 weeks ago

GERB

21.6%

+3.5

BSP

15.7%

-0.7

DPS

11%

+2.2

Volya

4.3%

+0.9

IS.BG

4.5%

-0.4

16.5%

+0.8

ITN

15.7%

-5

Sonst.

10.7%

-1.3

Trend

1 month ago

GERB

22.4%

+0.7

BSP

14.5%

-1.6

VMRO

1.9%

+1.9

DPS

10.2%

-0.7

Volya

2.9%

+0.6

14.1%

+2.9

IS.BG

4.4%

-0.6

ITN

21.6%

+1.4

Sonst.

-4.6

Market LINKS

1 month ago

GERB

18.1%

-1.6

BSP

16.4%

-0.5

DPS

8.8%

-0.7

Volya

3.4%

15.7%

+3.2

ITN

20.7%

+1.9

IS.BG

4.9%

-0.5

Sonst.

12%

-2.8

Gallup

2 months ago

GERB

20.3%

-0.7

BSP

15.9%

±0

DPS

11.5%

-0.4

Volya

3.1%

+3.1

ITN

21.3%

+0.1

IS.BG

6.1%

+0.3

12.2%

+0.1

Sonst.

9.6%

-2.5

Many more poll results in the PolitPro app

Possible coalitions

GERB + ITN + DB

62.9%

GERB + BSP + DB

62.3%

GERB + ITN + DPS

58.3%

GERB + BSP + DPS

57.7%

GERB + DB + DPS

55.9%

BSP + DB + DPS + IS.BG

54.4%

GERB + BSP + IS.BG

50.3%

ITN + DB + DPS

49.7%

BSP + DB + DPS

49.1%

GERB + DB + IS.BG

48.5%

GERB + ITN

45.6%

GERB + BSP

45.0%

How are the coalitions calculated?

The overview shows the currently most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter parliament are taken into account. The threshold for this is 4%.

The percentages shown refer to the percentage number of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the electoral trend

GERB

BSP

VMRO

DPS

Volya

IS.BG

ITN

ABV

Ataka

DSB

More info on the development

The last election took place on 10.07.2021. The Corona crisis, with a large number of political actions, began in March 2020.