Latest election polls for Bulgaria

PolitPro election trend

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GERB
32.7%
+0.8
BSP
15.4%
-12.8
VMRO
7.3%
+2.6
DPS
14.8%
+3.7
RB
8.9%
±0
PB
5.7%
±0
Ataka
4.5%
+2.7
ABV
4.2%
±0
Sonstige
6.5%
±0
Changes to the last election from 26.03.2017
GERB
±0.0
BSP
-11.8
VMRO
-1.8
DPS
+14.8
RB
+5.8
PB
+4.6
Ataka
+4.5
ABV
+2.6
Political orientation
GERB
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BSP
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VMRO
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DPS
zoom_out_map
RB
arrow_forward_ios
PB
arrow_forward_ios
Ataka
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ABV
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 26.09.2020.

Latest election polls

Narodno Sabranie
GERB
24.6%
+0.4
BSP
24.1%
+1.2
DPS
10.7%
+0.9
Volya
1.2%
±0
NTD
16.4%
+1.5
DB
10.2%
+0.1
OP
4%
-0.1
Ataka
1.1%
±0
Sonstige
7.7%
-3.8
2 weeks ago
Trend
Narodno Sabranie
GERB
27.7%
-9.7
BSP
24.5%
+3.1
VMRO
3.7%
+0.9
DPS
9.2%
+1.5
Volya
3%
-1.2
NTD
15.7%
+6.6
DB
7%
+2.8
ABV
1.1%
-0.7
Sonstige
8.1%
+5.4
3 weeks ago
Sova Harris
Narodno Sabranie
GERB
24.2%
-8.4
BSP
22.9%
-6.2
DPS
9.8%
-1
Volya
1.2%
-0.9
NTD
14.9%
+3.5
Ataka
1.1%
-0.7
ABV
0.2%
+0.2
OP
4.1%
+4.1
DB
10.1%
+3.7
Sonstige
11.5%
+9.9
1 month ago
Trend
Narodno Sabranie
GERB
22%
±0
BSP
21.1%
±0
DPS
10.3%
±0
Volya
2.4%
±0
DB
8.6%
±0
NTD
12%
±0
OP
3.5%
±0
Sonstige
20.1%
±0
1 month ago
Gallup
Narodno Sabranie
GERB
26.7%
-6.2
BSP
19.2%
-0.1
DPS
8.3%
-1.8
Volya
0.9%
-0.6
OP
4.1%
+4.1
DB
12.3%
+6.4
NTD
18.8%
+4.4
Sonstige
9.7%
+1.4
1 month ago
Alpha Research
Narodno Sabranie
GERB
37.4%
-3.6
BSP
21.4%
-12.6
VMRO
2.8%
+2.8
DPS
7.7%
-2.3
Volya
4.2%
+2.2
NFSB
0.7%
+0.7
Ataka
1.2%
+1.2
NTD
9.1%
+9.1
DB
4.2%
+1.2
ABV
1.8%
+1.8
Sonstige
2.7%
+1.7
2 months ago
Sova Harris

Possible coalitions

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GERB + BSP + Reformatorski Blok
61.0%
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GERB + DPS + Reformatorski Blok
60.3%
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GERB + DPS + VMRO
58.6%
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GERB + BSP + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya
57.6%
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GERB + DPS + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya
56.9%
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GERB + BSP + ABV
56.0%
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GERB + DPS + Ataka
55.6%
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GERB + Reformatorski Blok + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya + Ataka
55.4%
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GERB + DPS + ABV
55.3%
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GERB + Reformatorski Blok + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya + ABV
55.1%
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GERB + VMRO + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya + Ataka
53.7%
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BSP + DPS + Reformatorski Blok + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya + ABV
52.4%
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GERB + Reformatorski Blok + VMRO
52.3%
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GERB + BSP
51.5%
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GERB + DPS
50.8%
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GERB + Reformatorski Blok + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya
50.6%
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GERB + Reformatorski Blok + Ataka
49.3%
cancel
GERB + Reformatorski Blok + ABV
49.0%
cancel
GERB + VMRO + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya
48.9%
cancel
BSP + DPS + Reformatorski Blok + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya
47.9%
cancel
GERB + VMRO + Ataka
47.6%
cancel
BSP + DPS + Reformatorski Blok + ABV
46.3%
cancel
GERB + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya + Ataka
45.9%
cancel
GERB + Prezaredete Bŭlgariya + ABV
45.6%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 4%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

GERB
BSP
VMRO
DPS
RB
ABV
Ataka
PB
Volya
DB
NTD
OP
DSB
YB

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 26.03.2017.