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Sweden: Polls and trends for the Swedish election 2026

Current Election Trend for Sweden

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Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Sweden, Socialdemokraterna is leading with 32.9%, followed by Sverigedemokraterna with 19.5%, Moderaterna with 19%, Vänsterpartiet with 7.8%, Miljöpartiet with 6.2%, Centerpartiet with 5%, Kristdemokraterna with 3.8% and Liberalerna with 3.6%. Other parties reach 2.2%.

On the rise: KD

+0.6 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: V

-1.1 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 21.0% of the votes.
S
32.9
SD
19.5
M
19.0
V
7.8
MP
6.2
C
5.0
KD
3.8
L
3.6
Others
2.2

Coalitions

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Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: Vänsterpartiet reaches 30 MPs, Socialdemokraterna reaches 127 MPs, Miljöpartiet reaches 24 MPs, Centerpartiet reaches 19 MPs, Moderaterna reaches 73 MPs and Sverigedemokraterna reaches 76 MPs.

4% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Sweden is 4% (or 12% in one constituency).

Majority from 175 MPs

To form a government, 175 of 349 MPs are required.
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
200
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
181
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
176
349
V
30
S
127
MP
24
C
19
M
73
SD
76
Majority requires 175 seats

Latest polls for Sweden

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Novus
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
33.1
20.2
19.3
7.1
6.2
5.2
3.7
3.6
1.6
Ipsos
· 2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago
Open Details
33
19
18
8
6
5
4
4
Demoskop
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
32
20.2
19.2
8.4
6.9
4.8
3.3
3.2
S
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365 days trend
SD
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M
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365 days trend
V
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365 days trend
MP
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365 days trend
C
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365 days trend
KD
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365 days trend
L
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365 days trend
Others
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365 days trend

Election trend by party at a glance

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On the rise: KD

+0.6 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: V

-1.1 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Socialdemokraterna
Sverigedemokraterna
Moderaterna
Vänsterpartiet
Miljöpartiet
Centerpartiet
Kristdemokraterna
Liberalerna
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Sweden — National parliament voting intention

S M SD C V KD L MP

Government and parliament

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Carl XVI. Gustaf

Head of state

Ulf Kristersson

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 349
Government & opposition
Government : 103
Opposition : 246
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 149
Right-leaning parties : 176

FAQ

When is the next election in Sweden?

The next election in Sweden is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who is the president of Sweden?

The head of state of Sweden is Carl XVI. Gustaf.

Who governs in Sweden?

Ulf Kristersson governs in Sweden with a coalition of Moderaterna, Kristdemokraterna and Liberalerna.

What is the restrictive clause in Sweden?

The restrictive clause in Sweden is 4% (or 12% in one constituency).

What is the latest poll for Sweden?

The latest poll for the election in Sweden was published by Novus. The parties achieve the following values: Socialdemokraterna 33.1%, Sverigedemokraterna 20.2%, Moderaterna 19.3%, Vänsterpartiet 7.1%, Miljöpartiet 6.2%, Centerpartiet 5.2%, Kristdemokraterna 3.7% and Liberalerna 3.6%.