Election trends and current polls for Sweden

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
S
28.4%
-1.7
M
20%
+1
SD
20.8%
+1.3
C
7.1%
-0.1
V
8.7%
-0.7
KD
6%
-0.2
L
3.1%
-0.2
MP
4.1%
+0.6
Sonstige
1.8%
±0
Changes to last election from 09.09.2018
S
+0.1
M
+0.2
SD
+3.3
C
-1.5
V
+0.7
KD
-0.3
L
-2.4
MP
-0.3
Political orientation
S
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M
arrow_forward_ios
SD
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
C
zoom_out_map
V
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
KD
arrow_forward_ios
L
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MP
nature

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Sveriges riksdag
Sentio - 16.07.2020
S
25.5%
-3.3
M
20.3%
+1.7
SD
24.1%
+3.4
C
5.8%
-0.6
V
8.5%
-1.2
KD
5.7%
-0.2
L
2.5%
-0.4
MP
5.1%
+1.2
2.5%
-0.6
Sveriges riksdag
Demoskop - 11.07.2020
S
28.5%
+0.7
M
20.8%
-0.1
SD
19.7%
+0.4
C
8.4%
-1.3
V
7.8%
-0.4
KD
5.7%
-0.8
L
3.2%
+0.5
MP
4.1%
+0.2
1.8%
+0.8
Sveriges riksdag
Ipsos - 04.07.2020
S
31%
±0
M
17%
±0
SD
20%
±0
C
7%
±0
V
9%
±0
KD
7%
±0
L
4%
±0
MP
3%
±0
2%
-1.5
Sveriges riksdag
Sentio - 04.07.2020
S
28.8%
±0
M
18.6%
±0
SD
20.7%
±0
C
6.4%
±0
V
9.7%
±0
KD
5.9%
±0
L
2.9%
±0
MP
3.9%
±0
3.1%
+1.1
Sveriges riksdag
Novus - 04.07.2020
S
30.6%
-0.9
M
20.7%
+1.5
SD
18.4%
+0.4
C
7.8%
-0.3
V
9.4%
±0
KD
5.7%
+0.2
L
3%
±0
MP
3.4%
-0.7
1%
-0.2

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
S + M + C
58.4%
S + M + KD
57.2%
SD + M + C + KD
56.7%
S + M + MP
55.2%
SD + M + C + MP
54.7%
SD + M + KD + MP
53.5%
S + M
50.9%
S + V + C + MP
50.8%
SD + M + C
50.4%
SD + M + KD
49.2%
S + C + KD + MP
48%
SD + M + MP
47.2%
S + V + C
46.5%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 4%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
S
M
SD
C
V
KD
L
MP

Last election

The results of the last election from 09.09.2018
Seats
Party Percent Seats
Socialdemokraterna 28.3% -2.7% 100 -13
Moderaterna 19.8% -3.5% 70 -14
Sverigedemokraterna 17.5% 4.6% 62 13
Centerpartiet 8.6% 2.49% 31 9
Vänsterpartiet 8.0% 2.3% 28 7
Kristdemokraterna 6.3% 1.7% 22 6
Liberalerna 5.5% 0.1% 20 1
Miljöpartiet 4.4% -2.5% 16 -9
Sonstige 0.5% 0.11% 0 0
Feministiskt initiativ 0.5% -2.6% 0 0
Alternativ för Sverige 0.3% 0.1% 0 0
Medborgerlig Samling 0.2% 0.2% 0 0
In the last election of the 09.09.2018 349 representatives from 8 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election takes place on 11.09.2022.