Current Election Trend for Sweden

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Sweden, Socialdemokraterna is leading with 33.4%, followed by Sverigedemokraterna with 20.8%, Moderaterna with 19%, Vänsterpartiet with 7.4%, Miljöpartiet with 6.2%, Centerpartiet with 4.8%, Kristdemokraterna with 3.6% and Liberalerna with 3%. Other parties reach 1.8%.

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 20.6% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
S
33.4
SD
20.8
M
19.0
V
7.4
MP
6.2
C
4.8
KD
3.6
L
3.0
Others
1.8

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: Vänsterpartiet reaches 28 MPs, Socialdemokraterna reaches 127 MPs, Miljöpartiet reaches 24 MPs, Centerpartiet reaches 18 MPs, Moderaterna reaches 72 MPs and Sverigedemokraterna reaches 80 MPs.

4% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Sweden is 4% (or 12% in one constituency).

Majority from 175 MPs

To form a government, 175 of 349 MPs are required.
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
57.0%
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
51.3%
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
49.6%
349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
28
8%
S
127
36.4%
MP
24
6.9%
C
18
5.2%
M
72
20.6%
SD
80
22.9%

Latest polls for Sweden

New Verian
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
33.7
20.9
19.7
7.4
6.2
4.1
3.8
2.5
1.7
Verian
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
33.7
20.3
19.3
7.2
6.1
4.6
4
2.9
1.9
Indikator Opinion
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
33.8
21.6
18.6
7.1
6.2
4.8
3.4
3.2
1.3

Sweden — National parliament voting intention

S M SD C V KD L MP

Parties in Sweden

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative
S SD M C V KD MP L

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Socialdemokraterna
Sverigedemokraterna
Moderaterna
Vänsterpartiet
Miljöpartiet
Centerpartiet
Kristdemokraterna
Liberalerna
Show more

Government and parliament

Carl XVI. Gustaf

Head of state

Ulf Kristersson

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 349
Government & opposition
Government : 103
Opposition : 246
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 149
Right-leaning parties : 176

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Sweden

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
90
0.4
low
88
0.8
low
88
0.8
very low
84
1.1
low
75
?
very low
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.