Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Sweden, Socialdemokraterna is leading with 34.9%, followed by Moderaterna with 19.7%, Sverigedemokraterna with 19.3%, Vänsterpartiet with 7.7%, Miljöpartiet with 6%, Centerpartiet with 4%, Kristdemokraterna with 3.7% and Liberalerna with 2.8%. Other parties reach 1.9%.
On the rise: S
+1.7 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: SD
-1.7 loss in the last 3 months
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 21.5% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: Vänsterpartiet reaches 29 MPs, Socialdemokraterna reaches 133 MPs, Miljöpartiet reaches 23 MPs, Centerpartiet reaches 15 MPs, Moderaterna reaches 75 MPs and Sverigedemokraterna reaches 74 MPs.
4% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Sweden is 4% (or 12% in one constituency).
Majority from 175 MPs
To form a government, 175 of 349 MPs are required.
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
Socialdemokraterna + Miljöpartiet + Centerpartiet
349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
29
8.3%
S
133
38.1%
MP
23
6.6%
C
15
4.3%
M
75
21.5%
SD
74
21.2%
Latest polls for Sweden
Sweden — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Sweden
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socialdemokraterna |
+0.3
|
+1.7
|
+2.0
|
+1.0
|
+4.6
|
| Moderaterna |
±0.0
|
+0.9
|
+0.7
|
±0.0
|
+0.6
|
| Sverigedemokraterna |
-0.3
|
-1.7
|
-0.2
|
-1.5
|
-1.2
|
| Vänsterpartiet |
-0.3
|
+0.2
|
-0.1
|
-0.4
|
+0.9
|
| Miljöpartiet |
+0.4
|
-0.4
|
-0.2
|
+0.9
|
+0.9
|
| Centerpartiet |
-0.2
|
-0.9
|
-1.0
|
-0.5
|
-2.7
|
| Kristdemokraterna |
+0.1
|
+0.4
|
-0.1
|
+0.3
|
-1.6
|
| Liberalerna |
±0.0
|
-0.5
|
-0.8
|
-0.3
|
-1.8
|
What's happening in Sweden?
Sweden Quran burner says he will go to Norway
A Christian Iraqi who burned the Quran in Stockholm said "freedom of speech" in Sweden is a "big lie." His desecration of the Islamic holy book sparked anger across the Muslim world and complicated Sweden-Turkey ties.
DW.com
- 27.03.2024
Turkish lawmakers approve Swedish NATO bid after long delay
Turkish approval leaves Hungary as the last holdout to block the Scandinavian country from joining the Western military alliance.
DW.com
- 23.01.2024
Extreme cold: Temperatures drop below minus 40 C in Sweden
A frigid cold wave has swept Sweden and Finland, with temperatures in northern Sweden plunging to record lows. Rail and road traffic were substantially affected, with Norway and Denmark also impacted.
DW.com
- 03.01.2024
Government and parliament
Carl XVI. Gustaf
Head of state
Ulf Kristersson
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 349
Government & opposition
Government
: 103
Opposition
: 246
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 149
Right-leaning parties
: 176
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Sweden
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
90
|
0.4
|
low
| |
|
88
|
0.8
|
low
| |
|
88
|
0.8
|
very low
| |
|
84
|
1.1
|
low
| |
|
75
|
?
|
very low
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.