Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Sweden, Socialdemokraterna is leading with 33.4%, followed by Sverigedemokraterna with 20.8%, Moderaterna with 19%, Vänsterpartiet with 7.4%, Miljöpartiet with 6.2%, Centerpartiet with 4.8%, Kristdemokraterna with 3.6% and Liberalerna with 3%. Other parties reach 1.8%.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Sweden is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 20.6% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 11.09.2022
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: Vänsterpartiet reaches 28 MPs, Socialdemokraterna reaches 127 MPs, Miljöpartiet reaches 24 MPs, Centerpartiet reaches 18 MPs, Moderaterna reaches 72 MPs and Sverigedemokraterna reaches 80 MPs.
4% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Sweden is 4% (or 12% in one constituency).
Majority from 175 MPs
To form a government, 175 of 349 MPs are required.
Socialdemokraterna + Moderaterna
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Miljöpartiet
Socialdemokraterna + Vänsterpartiet + Centerpartiet
349
Majority requires 175 seats
V
28
8%
S
127
36.4%
MP
24
6.9%
C
18
5.2%
M
72
20.6%
SD
80
22.9%
Latest polls for Sweden
New
Verian
Open Details
Sweden — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Sweden
Election trend by party at a glance
Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Socialdemokraterna |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
-1.5
|
+3.1
|
Sverigedemokraterna |
±0.0
|
+0.7
|
+1.7
|
-0.4
|
+0.3
|
Moderaterna |
±0.0
|
-0.3
|
-0.5
|
±0.0
|
-0.1
|
Vänsterpartiet |
±0.0
|
-0.5
|
-1.3
|
-0.5
|
+0.6
|
Miljöpartiet |
±0.0
|
+0.1
|
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
+1.1
|
Centerpartiet |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.2
|
+0.6
|
-1.9
|
Kristdemokraterna |
±0.0
|
-0.4
|
+0.1
|
+0.1
|
-1.7
|
Liberalerna |
-0.1
|
-0.4
|
-0.4
|
-0.1
|
-1.6
|
Government and parliament
Carl XVI. Gustaf
Head of state
Ulf Kristersson
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 349
Government & opposition
Government
: 103
Opposition
: 246
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 149
Right-leaning parties
: 176
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Sweden
Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
---|---|---|---|
90
|
0.4
|
low
| |
88
|
0.8
|
low
| |
88
|
0.8
|
very low
| |
84
|
1.1
|
low
| |
75
|
?
|
very low
| |
More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.