Current Poll Trend for Andorra

PolitPro Analysis
Likelihood of an Absolute Majority
  • DA
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  • Conc
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  • AE
    ??%
Likelihood of Winning the Election
  • DA
    ??%
  • Conc
    ??%
  • AE
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Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold

How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Current government without a parliamentary majority

In the current poll trend, the governing parties in Andorra secure 39.3% of the seats.

Next Andorra's General Election: 2027

The next Andorra's General Election is expected in 2027.

Who is leading in the PolitPro Poll Trend for Andorra?

The frontrunner in the current PolitPro Poll Trend for the Andorran election is DA with 35%. This is followed by Concòrdia: 29%, Andorra Endavant: 17.5%, Partit Socialdemòcrata: 15% and SDP: 1%. Other parties secure 2.5% of the votes.

Would the incumbent government in Andorra currently still hold a majority?

The incumbent coalition in Andorra currently secures only 39.3% of the seats and would thus lose its parliamentary majority. This signals a significant shift in political power dynamics: A coalition of DA would, as it stands, be unable to continue its governmental work.

Data Analysis: How we calculate the PolitPro Poll Trend

The PolitPro Poll Trend is more than just a snapshot. We aggregate data from all relevant polling institutes into a weighted average for the Andorran election. Since the classic hypothetical election question ('Who would you vote for if an election were held next Sunday?') inherently fluctuates due to methodology, our poll trend provides a statistically robust data basis. It smooths out short-term outliers and reveals the real political dynamics over time.

By combining multiple data sources, we minimize the risk of random effects. Each survey is subject to a statistical margin of error (usually between 1.5% and 3%). Our poll check for Andorra precisely indicates whether a party's gain represents a sustainable development or merely falls within the statistical uncertainty of a single institute.

The calculation follows a transparent mathematical model: Current polls receive a higher weighting than older data. Furthermore, the historical predictive accuracy of the institutes is incorporated into the calculation to compensate for methodological biases. The result is a valid trend line that accurately reflects the party system of Andorra.

Latest Polls at a Glance

Poll Trend History: Developments in Andorra

Latest Election Results

Composition of the Current Government

Emmanuel Macron
Co-Princes
Xavier Espot Zamora
Head of Government

DA

Democrats for Andorra
Centre-Right

Key Parties in Andorra

Polling Institutes in Andorra

Election Accuracy
Highly Accurate
Low Accuracy

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score assesses polling reliability based on election accuracy and deviations from the overall trend. Significant outliers in party values lead to deductions, as they may indicate systematic over- or under-representation. The maximum score is 100.

Political System & Democracy in Andorra

Closed Autocracy

No free elections are held, and political opposition is largely suppressed.

±0

Trend: Significant Decline

Over the past decade, the democracy score has severely deteriorated.

What is the PolitPro Democracy Score?

The PolitPro Democracy Score evaluates various aspects of democratic quality based on data from the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) project. This international research initiative is led by the University of Gothenburg (Sweden) and the University of Notre Dame (USA). Over 3,500 experts assess countries according to standardized scientific criteria. PolitPro aggregates and contextualizes this data to provide an understandable and comparable overview. The score ranges from 0 to 100.

Electoral Law & Electoral System in Andorra

Collective Leadership

A council collectively represents the state, with active parliamentary participation.

Electoral System

The election is decided in a single round of voting.

Post-Election Analysis

Following the election and the formal constitution of the General Council, members of parliament are officially sworn in. A unique feature of the Andorran system is the role of the Co-Princes (the Bishop of Urgell and the French President), who serve as heads of state. While their role is largely ceremonial, they formally sign legislation into law and confirm the appointment of the Head of Government. The elected Cap de Govern leads the executive branch and is accountable to Parliament.

Demographics of the Electorate

All Andorran citizens aged 18 and over are eligible to vote. Voter turnout is traditionally high, reflecting citizens' strong connection to their local parishes and national politics. Historically, suffrage in Andorra was highly restrictive for a long time and was only solidified in its modern form with the constitutional reform of 1993. The demographic structure ensures that election campaigns are often very personal, as the electorate in individual Parròquies is manageable.

OSCE

An organization dedicated to fostering peace, security, and human rights across Europe.

FAQ - Frequently Asked Questions

When is the next General Election in Andorra?

The next Andorra's General Election is expected in 2027. Until then, current election polls serve as the primary barometer for the political climate in Andorra.

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.

V-Dem – Varieties of Democracy

A global research project from the University of Gothenburg. Independent experts worldwide assess political systems and democracy levels based on scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Coppedge, Michael, John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Staffan I. Lindberg, Jan Teorell, David Altman, Fabio Angiolillo, Michael Bernhard, Agnes Cornell, M. Steven Fish, Linnea Fox, Lisa Gastaldi, Haakon Gjerløw, Adam Glynn, Ana Good God, Allen Hicken, Katrin Kinzelbach, Kyle L. Marquardt, Kelly McMann, Valeriya Mechkova, Anja Neundorf, Pamela Paxton, Daniel Pemstein, Josefine Pernes, Johannes von Römer, Brigitte Seim, Rachel Sigman, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jeffrey Staton, Aksel Sundström, Marcus Tannenberg, Eitan Tzelgov, Yi-ting Wang, Tore Wig, and Daniel Ziblatt. 2026. "V-Dem Codebook v16" Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project.

V-Party – Parties of the World Dataset

A specialized project by the University of Gothenburg, where international political scientists evaluate the fundamental identities and organizations of parties worldwide.

Additional Sources

Lindberg, Staffan I., et al. 2022. "Varieties of Party Identity and Organization (V–Party) Dataset V2."

ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”