Latest election polls for Poland

PolitPro election trend

ZP
41%
-1
KO
26.5%
+0.1
Konf
8.4%
±0
KP
5.7%
-1
L
9.6%
±0
Sonstige
8.8%
-5
Changes to the last election from 13.10.2019
ZP
-2.8
KO
-0.7
Konf
+1.6
KP
+5.7
L
-2.9
Political orientation
ZP
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KO
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Konf
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KP
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L
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The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend was last updated on 27.09.2020.

Latest election polls

PiS
42.9%
-1.1
KO
25.6%
-4.2
Konf
8.2%
-0.3
KP
5.2%
-1.7
P2050
11.4%
+11.4
Razem
6.4%
-3.2
Sonstige
0.3%
-0.9
ZP
40%
-2
KO
27%
+2
Konf
9%
±0
KP
5%
-1
Razem
15%
+3
Sonstige
4%
-2
PiS
44.7%
+2.4
KO
25.7%
-7.1
Konf
7.4%
-2.4
KP
5.5%
-0.6
P2050
10%
+10
Razem
6.6%
+6.6
Sonstige
0.1%
+0.1
PiS
44.8%
-0.6
KO
24.6%
-6.9
Konf
8.9%
-0.3
PSL
3.5%
+3.5
P2050
12.3%
+12.3
Razem
5.9%
-1.5
PiS
43.3%
+0.9
KO
28.9%
-9.1
Konf
6.7%
-0.9
KP
4.4%
-1
Razem
4.4%
+4.4
P2050
12.2%
+12.2
Sonstige
0.1%
±0
ZP
42%
+42
KO
25%
±0
Konf
9%
±0
KP
6%
±0
Razem
12%
-1
Sonstige
6%
±0

Possible coalitions

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ZP + KO
74.1%
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ZP + Konf
54.2%
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ZP + KP
51.3%
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KO + Lewica + KP
45.9%
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ZP
45.0%

The overview shows the most likely coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend. Only parties that would enter the parliament are taken into account. The blocking clause for these parties is 5%.
The percentages displayed refer to the percentage of seats. Possible direct or overhang mandates are not taken into account.

Development of the election trend

ZP
KO
Konf
KP
L
BS
PO
K’15
.N
PSL
PiS
KORWiN
Razem
SLD
Wiosna

The chart above shows the development of the poll results from January 2018 to the most recent election polls. The corona crisis with its many political interventions started in March 2020, the last election took place on 13.10.2019.