Current Election Trend for Poland

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Poland, KO is leading with 33.4%, followed by PiS with 31.4%, Kon with 14.6%, PL2050/PSL with 8.4%, Lewica with 7.5% and Razem with 4.3%. Other parties reach 0.4%.

On the rise: Lewica

+1.5 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: Kon

-3.1 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Government would have to worry

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 51.7% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
KO
33.4
PiS
31.4
Kon
14.6
PL2050/PSL
8.4
Lewica
7.5
Razem
4.3
Others
0.4

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Lewica reaches 36 MPs, PL2050/PSL reaches 40 MPs, KO reaches 162 MPs, PiS reaches 152 MPs and Kon reaches 70 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Poland is 5% for parties and 8% for party alliances.

Majority from 231 MPs

To form a government, 231 of 460 MPs are required.
KO + PiS
68.3%
PiS + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57.0%
PiS + Kon + Lewica
56.1%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
51.7%
KO + Kon
50.4%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
49.6%
460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
36
7.8%
PL2050/PSL
40
8.7%
KO
162
35.2%
PiS
152
33%
Kon
70
15.2%

Latest polls for Poland

IBRiS
· 4 days ago
4 days ago
Open Details
34.1
33.4
12
3.9
Pollster
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
32.3
31.1
15.1
5.9
5.4
0.7
United Surveys
· 1 week ago
1 week ago
Open Details
34.2
30.2
14.4
8.3
4.3
0.5

Poland — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Poland

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative
PiS

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
KO
PiS
Kon
PL2050/PSL
Lewica
Razem
Show more

What's happening in Poland?

Germany updates: Merz government to reject more asylum-seekers
Germany's new government, led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, plans to increase the number of border police to enforce stricter migration policies. Meanwhile, Merz is on his first official trip to France and Poland.
DW.com - 07.05.2025
Germany's Scholz to meet Poland's Tusk in Warsaw visit
The trip comes as center-left Scholz is expected to soon hand over his position as chancellor to conservative Friedrich Merz. German-Polish relations have faced challenges such as reparations during Scholz's term.
DW.com - 16.04.2025
Poland presents plan to fortify border to Russia, Belarus
Defense officials in Poland have shared details on a plan to strengthen the country's eastern border. The movement of Russian diplomats in Poland will also be restricted due to accusations of spying and nefarious acts.
DW.com - 27.05.2024

Government and parliament

Andrzej Duda

Head of state

Donald Tusk

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 460
Government & opposition
Government : 248
Opposition : 212
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 26
Right-leaning parties : 212

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Poland

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
76
1.6
medium
69
1.6
low
67
1.7
high
65
2.2
high
65
2.3
high
More Institutes

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.