Current Election Trend for Poland
Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Poland, KO is leading with 34.2%, followed by PiS with 28.2%, Kon with 14.8%, KKP with 6.8%, Lewica with 6.8%, Razem with 3.9%, PSL with 2.5% and PL2050 with 2.4%. Other parties reach 0.4%.
On the rise: Kon
+1.2 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: PiS
-1.5 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 45.2% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Lewica reaches 34 MPs, KO reaches 174 MPs, PiS reaches 143 MPs, Kon reaches 75 MPs and KKP reaches 34 MPs.
Electoral System
The Polish Sejm has 460 seats, which are distributed across 41 electoral districts using the D'Hondt method. Parties must achieve 5% of the votes (8% for electoral alliances). The Senate, with 100 seats, is elected through a majority voting system in single-member districts.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Poland is 5% for parties and 8% for party alliances.
Majority from 231 MPs
To form a government, 231 of 460 MPs are required.
KO + PiS
PiS + Kon + Lewica
PiS + Kon + KKP
KO + Kon
460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
34
7.4%
KO
174
37.8%
PiS
143
31.1%
Kon
75
16.3%
KKP
34
7.4%
Latest polls for Poland
Parliamentary Election in Poland 2023
15.10.2023
Parliamentary Election in Poland 2019
13.10.2019
Poland — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Poland
Election trend by party at a glance
Government and parliament
Karol Nawrocki
Head of state
Donald Tusk
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 460
Government & opposition
Government
: 248
Opposition
: 212
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 26
Right-leaning parties
: 212
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Poland
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
75
|
1.6
|
medium
| |
|
69
|
1.6
|
low
| |
|
68
|
2.3
|
medium
| |
|
67
|
1.7
|
high
| |
|
65
|
2.2
|
high
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.