Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Poland, KO is leading with 34.6%, followed by PiS with 30.4%, Kon with 19.2%, PL2050/PSL with 7.7%, Lewica with 5.7% and Razem with 2.2%. Other parties reach 0.2%.
On the rise: Kon
+7.8 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: Lewica
-3.8 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Government would have to worry
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 49.2% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: Lewica reaches 26 MPs, PL2050/PSL reaches 36 MPs, KO reaches 164 MPs, PiS reaches 144 MPs and Kon reaches 90 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Poland is 5% for parties and 8% for party alliances.
Majority from 231 MPs
To form a government, 231 of 460 MPs are required.
KO + PiS
KO + Kon
PiS + Kon
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
26
5.7%
PL2050/PSL
36
7.8%
KO
164
35.7%
PiS
144
31.3%
Kon
90
19.6%
Latest polls for Poland
Poland — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Poland
Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative
What's happening in Poland?
Poland presents plan to fortify border to Russia, Belarus
Defense officials in Poland have shared details on a plan to strengthen the country's eastern border. The movement of Russian diplomats in Poland will also be restricted due to accusations of spying and nefarious acts.
DW.com
- 27.05.2024
Poland: Police raid suspected Russian spy network
Raids have been carried out in Warsaw and the southern city of Tychy as part of an investigation into Russian espionage.
DW.com
- 28.03.2024
Polish farmers block crossings on German border again
Polish farmers escalate their protest against EU farm imports and environmental policies with border blockades into Germany. Although Brussels has taken steps to relax its rules, they have not stopped protesting.
DW.com
- 18.03.2024
Government and parliament
Andrzej Duda
Head of state
Donald Tusk
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 460
Government & opposition
Government
: 248
Opposition
: 212
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 26
Right-leaning parties
: 212
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Poland
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
75
|
1.6
|
medium
| |
|
69
|
1.6
|
low
| |
|
67
|
1.7
|
high
| |
|
65
|
2.3
|
high
| |
|
64
|
2.2
|
high
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.