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Romania: Polls and trends for the Romanian election 2024

Current Election Trend for Romania

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Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary election in Romania, PSD is leading with 33%, followed by PNL with 23%, AUR with 14%, USR with 11%, UDMR with 5%, S.O.S. with 5% and PMP with 4%. Other parties reach 5%.

On the rise: PNL

+4.1 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: USR

-1.2 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 01.12.2024

The next general election in Romania will be held in 48.

Government could stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 67.1% of the votes.
PSD
33.0
PNL
23.0
AUR
14.0
USR
11.0
UDMR
5.0
SOS
5.0
PMP
4.0
Sonst.
5.0

Coalitions

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Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: PSD reaches 120 MPs, USR reaches 40 MPs, PNL reaches 83 MPs, UDMR reaches 18 MPs, AUR reaches 51 MPs and S.O.S. reaches 18 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Romania is 5% for parties and 8% or 10% for party alliances.

Majority from 166 MPs

To form a government, 166 of 330 MPs are required.
PSD + PNL + UDMR
221
PSD + PNL
203
PSD + USR + UDMR
178
PNL + AUR + USR
174
PNL + AUR + UDMR + S.O.S.
330
PSD
120
USR
40
PNL
83
UDMR
18
AUR
51
SOS
18
Majority requires 166 seats

Latest polls for Romania

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INSCOP
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
30.1
17.1
14.7
14.3
8.9
1.9
1.4
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.3
3.9
CURS
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
INSCOP
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
29.4
18.9
14.7
12.2
6.1
4.6
3.6
2.2
1.5
1.1
5.7
PSD
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365 days trend
PNL
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365 days trend
AUR
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365 days trend
USR
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365 days trend
UDMR
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365 days trend
SOS
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365 days trend
PMP
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365 days trend
Others
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365 days trend

Election trend by party at a glance

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On the rise: PNL

+4.1 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: USR

-1.2 loss in the last 30 days
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
PSD
PNL
AUR
USR
UDMR
S.O.S.
PMP
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Romania — National parliament voting intention

Election 2024

General Information: Election Day, Voters, and Electorate

Romania's next parliamentary election will be held on December 1st, 2024. Approximately 18 million citizens are eligible to vote, including a large diaspora community. Any Romanian citizen aged 18 or older can vote. In the last election, voter turnout was around 32%, and it remains to be seen if more people will participate this time.

Electoral Threshold & Mandates

Romania has a 5% electoral threshold for parties to enter parliament, while coalitions need 8%. There are 330 seats in the Chamber of Deputies and 136 in the Senate. Additionally, representatives of national minorities can gain seats even if they do not meet the threshold.

Electoral System

Romania uses a proportional representation system. Seats are allocated based on the percentage of votes each party receives. The parliament is bicameral, with the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate. An extra 17 seats are reserved for representatives of recognized national minorities. The election is largely contested by the major parties PNL and PSD.

Prime Minister Candidates

Romania does not have a Chancellor but a Prime Minister. The next Prime Minister might come from either the ruling PSD or PNL parties. The right-wing populist AUR may also put forward a candidate. Current Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu from the PSD may seek re-election.

Current Government

The current government is a coalition between the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the National Liberal Party (PNL). Marcel Ciolacu (PSD) has been Prime Minister since June 2023. The coalition aims to maintain political stability, though it faces frequent challenges due to corruption allegations and internal conflicts.

Last Election

In the 2020 parliamentary election, PSD narrowly won with 29%, followed by the PNL. A surprise was the rise of the right-wing populist AUR, which gained 9%. Due to the fragmented results, a PSD-PNL coalition was necessary to form a stable government. Voter turnout was historically low at 32%.

Government and parliament

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Florin Cîțu

Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 330
Government & opposition
Government : 224
Opposition : 106
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 110
Right-leaning parties : 202

FAQ

When is the next election in Romania?

The next election in Romania is on 01.12.2024.

Who is the president of Romania?

The head of state of Romania is Florin Cîțu.

Who governs in Romania?

Florin Cîțu governs in Romania with a coalition of .

What is the restrictive clause in Romania?

The restrictive clause in Romania is 5% for parties and 8% or 10% for party alliances.

What is the latest poll for Romania?

The latest poll for the election in Romania was published by INSCOP. The parties achieve the following values: PSD 30.1%, USR 17.1%, AUR 14.7%, PNL 14.3%, S.O.S. 8.9%, UDMR 5%, REPER 1.9%, PRO România 1.4%, FD 0.9%, PMP 0.8%, PER 0.7% and PUSL 0.3%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Romania?

In the parliament of Romania, there are 330 representatives from 6 parties. 224 representatives are part of the government from PSD, PNL and UDMR. The opposition from USR, AUR and Sonstige Parteien has 106 representatives.