Current Election Trend for Romania

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Romania, AUR is leading with 27.1%, followed by PSD with 21.6%, USR with 17.2%, PNL with 12.7%, POT with 6.8%, S.O.S. with 5.8%, UDMR with 3.6%, FD with 1.9%, PMP with 1.3% and REPER with 1%. Other parties reach 1.1%.

On the rise: AUR

+9.2 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: UDMR

-2.8 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 37.5% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
AUR
27.1
PSD
21.6
USR
17.2
PNL
12.7
POT
6.8
SOS
5.8
UDMR
3.6
FD
1.9
PMP
1.3
REPER
1.0
Others
1.1

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 6 parties could enter parliament: PSD reaches 78 MPs, USR reaches 62 MPs, PNL reaches 46 MPs, AUR reaches 98 MPs, POT reaches 25 MPs and S.O.S. reaches 21 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Romania is 5% for parties and 8% or 10% for party alliances.

Majority from 166 MPs

To form a government, 166 of 330 MPs are required.
AUR + USR + PNL
62.4%
PSD + USR + PNL
56.4%
AUR + USR + S.O.S.
54.8%
AUR + PNL + S.O.S.
50.0%
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
78
23.6%
USR
62
18.8%
PNL
46
13.9%
AUR
98
29.7%
POT
25
7.6%
SOS
21
6.4%

Latest polls for Romania

FlashData
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
27.9
21.2
19
12.3
6.7
5.6
3.4
1.1
1.1
0.6
1.1
CURS
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
Avangarde
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details

Romania — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Romania

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
AUR
PSD
USR
PNL
POT
S.O.S.
UDMR
FD
PMP
REPER
Show more

What's happening in Romania?

Andrew Tate trial can start, Romanian court rules
Sixteen months after his arrest, a tribunal ordered the influencer's human trafficking trial to proceed. Tate has often courted controversy and was banned from social media for misogynistic views and hate speech.
DW.com - 26.04.2024
Andrew Tate freed from house arrest before trafficking trial
Andrew Tate, who was indicted in June for human trafficking and rape, has won an appeal in a Romanian court to be released from house arrest. The timing of the trial is not clear yet.
DW.com - 04.08.2023
Andrew Tate indicted on human trafficking, rape charges in Romania
Romanian officials have forwarded charges against divisive online influencer Andrew Tate for trial. He is accused of human trafficking, rape and forming a criminal gang.
DW.com - 20.06.2023

Government and parliament

Florin Cîțu

Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 330
Government & opposition
Government : 154
Opposition : 176
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 80
Right-leaning parties : 231

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Romania

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
62
?
low
60
?
high
58
1.9
high
51
3.1
high

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.