Current Election Trend for Romania

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Romania, AUR is leading with 29.7%, followed by PSD with 21.7%, PNL with 14.4%, USR with 13.7%, POT with 7.1%, UDMR with 4.7%, S.O.S. with 4.6%, PMP with 2.1% and REPER with 1.2%. Other parties reach 0.8%.

On the rise: AUR

+1.9 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: USR

-3.0 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Romania is expected to take place in 2028.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 41.9% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
AUR
29.7
PSD
21.7
PNL
14.4
USR
13.7
POT
7.1
UDMR
4.7
SOS
4.6
PMP
2.1
REPER
1.2
Others
0.8

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 5 parties could enter parliament: PSD reaches 83 MPs, USR reaches 52 MPs, PNL reaches 55 MPs, AUR reaches 113 MPs and POT reaches 27 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Romania is 5% for parties and 8% or 10% for party alliances.

Majority from 166 MPs

To form a government, 166 of 330 MPs are required.
PSD + PNL + USR
57.6%
AUR + PNL
50.9%
AUR + USR
50.0%
330
Majority requires 166 seats
PSD
83
25.2%
USR
52
15.8%
PNL
55
16.7%
AUR
113
34.2%
POT
27
8.2%

Latest polls for Romania

Verifield
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
31.7
21.2
15
12.9
7
5.1
3.6
1.2
0.8
0.6
0.9
FlashData
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
27.9
21.2
19
12.3
6.7
5.6
3.4
1.1
1.1
0.6
1.1
CURS
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details

Romania — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Romania

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
AUR
PSD
PNL
USR
POT
UDMR
S.O.S.
PMP
REPER
Show more

What's happening in Romania?

Romania election: Hard-right George Simion wins 1st round
Official electoral data shows Romania's hard-right nationalist leader, George Simion, won the most votes. A runoff with Bucharest mayor Nicusor Dan is set to take place on May 18.
DW.com - 04.05.2025
Andrew Tate trial can start, Romanian court rules
Sixteen months after his arrest, a tribunal ordered the influencer's human trafficking trial to proceed. Tate has often courted controversy and was banned from social media for misogynistic views and hate speech.
DW.com - 26.04.2024
Andrew Tate freed from house arrest before trafficking trial
Andrew Tate, who was indicted in June for human trafficking and rape, has won an appeal in a Romanian court to be released from house arrest. The timing of the trial is not clear yet.
DW.com - 04.08.2023

Government and parliament

Florin Cîțu

Head of state
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 330
Government & opposition
Government : 154
Opposition : 176
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 80
Right-leaning parties : 231

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Romania

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
62
?
low
60
?
high
58
1.9
high
51
3.1
high

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.