Latvia: Polls and trends for the Latvian election 2026

Current Election Trend for Latvia

JV
16.0
P
13.3
NA
13.0
LPV
11.1
ZZS
10.1
AS
8.4
S!
8.2
S
5.9
SV
2.9
JKP
2.7
LA
2.7
Par!
2.5
PLV
1.3
Sonst.
1.9
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 33.7% of the votes.

Who is leading in the election trend in Latvia?

In the current election trend in Latvia, Jaunā Vienotība leads with 16%. This is a loss of -3.1 percentage points since the last election.

Progresīvie reaches 13.3%. This is a significant increase of +7.1 percentage points since the last election.

Nacionālā Apvienība lands at 13% and gains +3.6 percentage points since the last election.

LPV lands at 11.1% and gains +4.8 percentage points since the last election.

ZZS experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 10.1% (-2.7).

AS experiences slight losses compared to the last election and lands at 8.4% (-2.7).

Stabilitātei! lands at 8.2% and gains +1.4 percentage points since the last election.

SDPS lands at 5.9% and gains +1.1 percentage points since the last election.

SV (2.9%), JKP (2.7%), LA (2.7%), Par! (2.5%) and PLV (1.3%) fail to meet the percentage threshold and could not enter parliament.

1.9% would vote for another small party in current polls (Other).

Which polls were considered in the election trend?

For the election trend, polls from various polling institutes from the last 3 months were analyzed. These include polls from SKDS for LTV, for example. The latest poll from each institute was considered, and then, taking into account various factors, it was recalculated into a weighted average. The election trend is therefore more robust against outliers from individual institutes and provides a quick overview of the political mood in the country.

Therefore, the will of at least 1799 individuals was considered in the polls of the election trend. Election polls are not predictions of the election outcome but reflect the current mood during the respective poll period.

What values do the small parties have?

Representative polls are subject to statistical fluctuations and have a margin of error of 1.5 to 3 percentage points. Some polling institutes only mention small parties with a value of 3% or higher. PolitPro does not conduct its own polls and therefore has no more detailed information about small parties. To calculate reliable values, parties are only considered in the election trend if they are explicitly listed in at least half of all polls.

Polls are usually a projection. This means that the raw data is modified by the institutes based on various criteria to come as close as possible to the possible outcome of an election. However, the exact calculation methods of the polling institutes are not publicly known.

Could the government stay in office?

If there were an election this Sunday in Latvia, the government from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, AP! and K would secure 33.7% of the virtual seats. The government could thus not remain in office.

Which parties would enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, Nacionālā Apvienība, LPV, ZZS, AS, Stabilitātei! and SDPS reach the necessary percentages to surpass the parliamentary threshold.

To calculate virtual seats, all parties in the election trend that achieve sufficient votes to surpass the parliamentary threshold are considered. Since polls only determine the voting intentions of parties, compensation and overhang mandates cannot be taken into account.

Are non-voters considered in the election trend?

When presenting election polls and results, non-voters are not considered: the votes cast for a party are calculated in relation to the number of valid second votes cast. Non-voters as well as invalid votes (including blank votes) are ignored. For comparison: In the last election, the voter turnout was 57% - 43% of the eligible population were non-voters or cast invalid votes.

Why does PolitPro show the political orientation of parties?

To make parties comparable across borders and provide a quick overview of political events, we show the rough political orientation of parties. These are rough categorizations and can never capture all the positions of the parties. The respective election programs of the parties provide a complete overview of their positions.

Current Election Trend for EU-Parliament

Latvia
· 9 / 720 seats
EU-Parliament
17.9
16.5
9.2
9.1
8.9
7.5
7.4
6.6
4
3.5
3.2
6.2

Latest polls for Latvia

SKDS
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
16
13.3
13
11.1
10.1
8.4
8.2
5.9
2.9
2.7
2.7
2.5
1.3
0.7
1.2
SKDS
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
14.4
13.1
12
12
11.3
9.1
8.9
3.6
3.3
3.2
2.5
2.2
1.3
1.1
SKDS
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
Open Details
17.3
13.7
12.9
11.6
11
8.7
8.2
4.5
2.7
2.3
2.3
2.1
1
1.7

What is the latest poll for Latvia?

The latest poll for the election in Latvia was published by SKDS. The parties achieve the following values: Jaunā Vienotība 16%, Progresīvie 13.3%, Nacionālā Apvienība 13%, LPV 11.1%, ZZS 10.1%, AS 8.4%, Stabilitātei! 8.2%, SDPS 5.9%, SV 2.9%, JKP 2.7%, LA 2.7%, Par! 2.5%, PLV 1.3% and P21 0.7%.

Coalitions

Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Progresīvie + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + AS
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + AS + Stabilitātei!
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + AS
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Show more

Which coalitions are currently possible in Latvia?

In current election polls, various coalitions would be possible: Coalition from Nacionālā Apvienība, LPV, ZZS, AS and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, LPV and ZZS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, ZZS, AS, Stabilitātei! and SDPS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, LPV and AS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, LPV and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, ZZS and AS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, ZZS and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, ZZS and AS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, ZZS and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Progresīvie, ZZS, AS, Stabilitātei! and SDPS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, AS and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, LPV, ZZS and AS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, AS and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, ZZS and SDPS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, LPV, ZZS and Stabilitātei!, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, AS and SDPS, Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, LPV, AS and Stabilitātei! and Coalition from Jaunā Vienotība, Progresīvie, Stabilitātei! and SDPS each achieve a majority in parliament.

Information on the Coalition Overview

The overview of possible coalitions for the election in Latvia shows the main coalition possibilities. The coalitions are calculated based on the virtual seats of the election trend. Only parties that surpass the percentage threshold with their votes are considered. A complete overview of coalition possibilities can be found through the link below.

The number on the right indicates how many percent of the virtual seats a coalition would reach. From 50% of the votes, a coalition has realistic chances of forming the government. The icon above a bar on the right indicates the political orientation of a coalition (Left, right, center).

Election trend by party at a glance

On the rise: Progresīvie
+2.3 growth in the last 3 months
Trending down: ZZS
-3.6 loss in the last 3 months
Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Jaunā Vienotība
Progresīvie
Nacionālā Apvienība
LPV
ZZS
AS
Stabilitātei!
SDPS
SV
LA
JKP
Par!
PLV
Show more

Latvia — National parliament voting intention

Information on the Development of the Election Trend

The line chart provides an overview of the development of the election trend in Latvia in recent years. For this, the current election trend is recorded as a data point every Sunday and added to the chart. The course of the poll values can reveal short-term and long-term trends in polls and election polls. The last election in Latvia took place on 01.10.2022.

Government and parliament

Egils Levits
Head of state
Krišjānis Kariņš
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 100
Government & opposition
Government : 42
Opposition : 58
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 10
Right-leaning parties : 84

Which parties are in the parliament of Latvia?

In the parliament of Latvia, there are 100 representatives from 8 parties. 42 representatives are part of the government from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība and AP!. The opposition from ZZS, AS, Stabilitātei!, LPV and Progresīvie has 58 representatives.

10 of the representatives are politically more left-leaning, while 84 representatives are politically more right-leaning.

Who governs in Latvia?

Krišjānis Kariņš governs in Latvia with a coalition of Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, AP! and K. The head of state is Egils Levits.

Parliamentary election in Latvia 2026

The Parliamentary election in Latvia 2026 will probably take place in 2026. Once the results are in, the election results will be posted on this page.

Krišjānis Kariņš is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition of PCL, K, AP!, Nacionālā Apvienība and Jaunā Vienotība. In the last Parliamentary election in Latvia in 2022, Jaunā Vienotība (19.1% - 23 seats), ZZS (12.8% - 16 seats), AS (11.1% - 13 seats), Nacionālā Apvienība (9.4% - 13 seats), Stabilitātei! (6.8% - 10 seats), LPV (6.3% - 9 seats), Progresīvie (6.2% - 10 seats) and AP! (5.1% - 6 seats) entered parliament. The turnout of that election was 57%.

FAQ

When is the next election in Latvia?

The next election in Latvia is expected to take place in the year 2026.

Who is the president of Latvia?

The head of state of Latvia is Egils Levits.

Who governs in Latvia?

Krišjānis Kariņš governs in Latvia with a coalition of Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība, AP! and K.

What is the electoral threshold in Latvia?

The electoral threshold in Latvia is 5%.

What is the latest poll for Latvia?

The latest poll for the election in Latvia was published by SKDS. The parties achieve the following values: Jaunā Vienotība 16%, Progresīvie 13.3%, Nacionālā Apvienība 13%, LPV 11.1%, ZZS 10.1%, AS 8.4%, Stabilitātei! 8.2%, SDPS 5.9%, SV 2.9%, JKP 2.7%, LA 2.7%, Par! 2.5%, PLV 1.3% and P21 0.7%.

Which parties are in the parliament of Latvia?

In the parliament of Latvia, there are 100 representatives from 8 parties. 42 representatives are part of the government from Jaunā Vienotība, Nacionālā Apvienība and AP!. The opposition from ZZS, AS, Stabilitātei!, LPV and Progresīvie has 58 representatives.