Current Election Trend for Latvia

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia, LPV is leading with 16.9%, followed by Nacionālā Apvienība with 16.4%, Jaunā Vienotība with 12.9%, ZZS with 10.8%, Progresīvie with 8.8%, AS with 8.7%, Stabilitātei! with 7%, SDPS with 5%, SV with 4.1%, LA with 2.7%, LKS with 2%, JKP with 1.6% and Par! with 1.4%. Other parties reach 1.7%.

On the rise: ZZS

+3.2 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: P

-2.4 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 34.0% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
LPV
16.9
NA
16.4
JV
12.9
ZZS
10.8
P
8.8
AS
8.7
S!
7.0
S
5.0
SV
4.1
LA
2.7
LKS
2.0
JKP
1.6
Par!
1.4
Others
1.7

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Progresīvie reaches 10 MPs, SDPS reaches 6 MPs, ZZS reaches 12 MPs, Jaunā Vienotība reaches 15 MPs, AS reaches 10 MPs, Stabilitātei! reaches 8 MPs, LPV reaches 20 MPs and Nacionālā Apvienība reaches 19 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Latvia is 5%.

Majority from 51 MPs

To form a government, 51 of 100 MPs are required.
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
57.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + Stabilitātei!
57.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS
56.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei!
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība
54.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie + AS + SDPS
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
52.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Progresīvie + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
LPV + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
50.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + AS
49.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + AS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
10
10%
S
6
6%
ZZS
12
12%
JV
15
15%
AS
10
10%
S!
8
8%
LPV
20
20%
NA
19
19%

Latest polls for Latvia

SKDS
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
16.5
16
12.8
9.7
9.5
8.8
7.3
5.1
4.5
2.5
2
1.7
1.4
0.3
1.9
Latvijas Fakti
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
18.9
18.1
16.1
13.2
8.9
5.3
4.6
4.2
3.5
2.1
1.4
1
2.7
SKDS
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
18
14.6
12
11.2
8.4
7.6
6.7
6.1
4.6
3.4
1.7
1.4
1.3
0.5
2.5

Latvia — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Latvia

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
LPV
Nacionālā Apvienība
Jaunā Vienotība
ZZS
Progresīvie
AS
Stabilitātei!
SDPS
SV
LA
LKS
JKP
Par!
Show more

What's happening in Latvia?

Government and parliament

Egils Levits

Head of state

Krišjānis Kariņš

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 100
Government & opposition
Government : 42
Opposition : 58
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 10
Right-leaning parties : 84

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Latvia

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
77
1.5
medium
55
1.9
medium

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.