Latvia: Polls and trends for the Latvian election 2026

Current Election Trend for Latvia

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia, Jaunā Vienotība is leading with 16.5%, followed by LPV with 14.8%, Progresīvie with 11.8%, Nacionālā Apvienība with 11.1%, ZZS with 8.1%, SV with 6.8%, Stabilitātei! with 5.2%, SDPS with 3%, LA with 2.3%, LKS with 2.3%, Par! with 1.6% and AS with 1.5%. Other parties reach 15%.

On the rise: JV

+5.0 growth in the last 3 months

Trending down: AS

-9.1 loss in the last 3 months

Next election: 03.10.2026

The next general election in Latvia will be held in 295.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 37.0% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 01.10.2022
JV
-2.6
LPV
+8.5
P
+5.6
NA
+1.7
ZZS
-4.7
SV
+3.6
S!
-1.6
S
-1.8
LA
New
LKS
-1.4
Par!
New
AS
-9.6
Political orientation
JV
LPV
P
NA
ZZS
SV
S!
S
LA
LKS
Par!
AS
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
JV
16.5
LPV
14.8
P
11.8
NA
11.1
ZZS
8.1
SV
6.8
S!
5.2
S
3.0
LA
2.3
LKS
2.3
Par!
1.6
AS
1.5
Others
15.0

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 7 parties could enter parliament: Progresīvie reaches 16 MPs, ZZS reaches 11 MPs, Jaunā Vienotība reaches 22 MPs, Stabilitātei! reaches 7 MPs, LPV reaches 20 MPs, Nacionālā Apvienība reaches 15 MPs and SV reaches 9 MPs.

Electoral System

The 100 seats in the Saeima are allocated through proportional representation with open lists in 5 electoral districts. Parties must achieve at least 5% of the votes nationwide. Seats are distributed according to the Sainte-Laguë method.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Latvia is 5%.

Majority from 51 MPs

To form a government, 51 of 100 MPs are required.
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība
57.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + SV
57.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
55.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + SV
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + ZZS
53.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Nacionālā Apvienība + SV + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + SV
51.0%
LPV + Nacionālā Apvienība + SV + Stabilitātei!
51.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + LPV + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + SV + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
16
16%
ZZS
11
11%
JV
22
22%
S!
7
7%
LPV
20
20%
NA
15
15%
SV
9
9%

Latest polls for Latvia

SKDS
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
JV
16.5
LPV
14.8
P
11.8
NA
11.1
ZZS
8.1
SV
6.8
S!
5.2
S
3
LA
2.3
LKS
2.3
Par!
1.6
AS
1.5
JKP
0.9
P21
0.4
Others
3.2
SKDS
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
NA
15.4
LPV
14
P
11.6
JV
11.5
AS
10.6
ZZS
10.4
SV
7.3
S!
5.1
S
4
LA
2.5
Par!
1.8
JKP
1.7
LKS
1
P21
0.3
Others
2.8
SKDS
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
LPV
16.5
NA
16
JV
12.8
ZZS
9.7
AS
9.5
P
8.8
S!
7.3
S
5.1
SV
4.5
LA
2.5
LKS
2
JKP
1.7
Par!
1.4
P21
0.3
Others
1.9

Parliamentary Election in Latvia 2022

01.10.2022

Parliamentary Election in Latvia 2018

06.10.2018

Latvia — National parliament voting intention

JV LPV P NA ZZS SV S! S LA LKS Par! AS JKP PLV K P21 KuK AP! R LAS LRA PCL LK

Parties in Latvia

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative
JV ZZS NA AP! K LKS S

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Jaunā Vienotība
±0.0
+5.0
+3.6
+0.6
-2.6
LPV
±0.0
+0.8
-2.1
+2.3
+8.5
Progresīvie
±0.0
+0.2
+3.0
+0.7
+5.6
Nacionālā Apvienība
±0.0
-4.3
-5.3
-4.1
+1.7
ZZS
±0.0
-2.3
-2.7
-1.0
-4.7
SV
±0.0
-0.5
+2.7
+2.8
+3.6
Stabilitātei!
±0.0
+0.1
-1.8
-1.8
-1.6
SDPS
±0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-4.6
-1.8
LKS
±0.0
+1.3
+0.3
±0.0
-1.4
LA
±0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.3
+2.3
Par!
±0.0
-0.2
+0.2
+0.1
+1.6
AS
±0.0
-9.1
-7.2
-7.6
-9.6
Show more

Electoral system

Five electoral districts, one vote - this is how Latvia's system works.

Latvia's parliament, the Saeima, has 100 representatives from five regional electoral districts. Voters cast their votes for open party lists and can mark their favorite candidates. The unique aspect is that the mandates are distributed proportionally based on the population of the regions - Riga, as the largest city, provides 36 representatives.

The 5% threshold: Small parties face challenges.

To enter parliament, parties must secure at least 5% of the votes nationwide - one of the higher thresholds in Europe. Interestingly, independent candidates can also run without a party but still need 5% in their electoral district. The Sainte-Laguë method ensures fair seat distribution among the successful lists.

Diaspora voting rights: Latvians vote around the globe.

Latvian citizens can vote in consulates worldwide - from New York to Sydney. These overseas votes are counted in the Riga electoral district. A special requirement is that voter turnout must reach at least 50% for the election to be valid. In 2022, seven parties managed to surpass the 5% threshold to enter parliament.
Direct Election Members are elected directly by the people.
Party List Vote Voters choose between party lists instead of individuals.
Proportional System Seats are distributed in proportion to votes received.
One Round The election is decided in a single round of voting.
Free Elections are free, fair and competitive.

Government and parliament

Egils Levits

Head of state

Krišjānis Kariņš

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 100
Government & opposition
Government : 42
Opposition : 58
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 10
Right-leaning parties : 84

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Latvia

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
78
SKDS
1.5
low

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
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