Election trends and current polls for Latvia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SDPS
18.8%
-4.1
KPV
2.4%
-0.7
JKP
10.7%
-0.3
AP!
13.4%
+1.6
NA
11.8%
+0.4
ZZS
11.9%
-2.2
JV
15.1%
+3.2
LRA
5.1%
-0.1
LKS
3.8%
+0.4
P
5.5%
+0.6
Sonstige
1.5%
+1.2
Changes to last election from 06.10.2018
SDPS
-1.1
KPV
-11.9
JKP
-3.0
AP!
+1.3
NA
+0.7
ZZS
+1.9
JV
+8.4
LRA
+0.9
LKS
+0.6
P
+2.9
Political orientation
SDPS
arrow_back_ios
KPV
arrow_forward_ios
JKP
arrow_forward_ios
AP!
zoom_out_map
NA
arrow_forward_iosarrow_forward_ios
ZZS
nature
JV
arrow_forward_ios
LRA
location_city
LKS
arrow_back_iosarrow_back_ios
P
arrow_back_ios

The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Saeima
Factum - 17.05.2020
17%
-1
KPV
2%
±0
JKP
11%
-2
AP!
14%
+1
NA
12%
±0
ZZS
11%
-1
JV
16%
+3
LRA
5%
±0
LKS
4%
±0
P
6%
-1
2%
+1
Saeima
SKDS - 31.03.2020
27.7%
+3.4
KPV
4.1%
+1.5
JKP
9%
+0.8
AP!
10.5%
-0.2
NA
10.8%
+0.1
ZZS
16.1%
+0.5
JV
10.8%
-1.8
LRA
5.4%
-1.1
LKS
2.8%
-1.1
P
2.8%
-1.5
0%
-0.6
Saeima
Factum - 28.03.2020
18%
±0
KPV
2%
-1
JKP
13%
+2
AP!
13%
+1
NA
12%
±0
ZZS
12%
-1
JV
13%
-1
LRA
5%
±0
LKS
4%
±0
P
7%
+1
1%
-1
Saeima
Factum - 28.02.2020
18%
-3
KPV
3%
+1
JKP
11%
±0
AP!
12%
+1
NA
12%
±0
ZZS
13%
+3
JV
14%
-2
LRA
5%
±0
LKS
4%
+1
P
6%
-1
2%
±0
Saeima
SKDS - 18.02.2020
24.3%
+10.7
KPV
2.6%
+0.6
JKP
8.2%
+2.1
AP!
10.7%
+5.3
NA
10.7%
+4.4
ZZS
15.6%
+6.9
JV
12.6%
+6.5
LRA
6.5%
+3.6
LKS
3.9%
±0
P
4.3%
+2.5
0.6%
-42.6
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
SDPS + JV + AP! + ZZS
64.2%
SDPS + JV + AP! + JKP
62.9%
SDPS + JV + ZZS + JKP
61.3%
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + JKP
59.4%
SDPS + JV + AP! + P
57.3%
SDPS + JV + AP! + LRA
56.8%
JV + AP! + ZZS + NA
56.6%
SDPS + JV + ZZS + P
55.7%
JV + AP! + ZZS + JKP
55.4%
JV + AP! + NA + JKP
55.3%
SDPS + JV + ZZS + LRA
55.2%
SDPS + JV + JKP + P
54.4%
JV + AP! + JKP + P + LRA
54%
SDPS + JV + JKP + LRA
53.9%
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + P
53.8%
JV + ZZS + NA + JKP
53.7%
SDPS + AP! + ZZS + LRA
53.3%
SDPS + AP! + JKP + P
52.5%
JV + ZZS + JKP + P + LRA
52.4%
SDPS + AP! + JKP + LRA
52%
AP! + ZZS + NA + JKP
51.8%
SDPS + JV + AP!
51.3%
SDPS + ZZS + JKP + P
50.9%
AP! + ZZS + JKP + P + LRA
50.5%
SDPS + ZZS + JKP + LRA
50.4%
JV + AP! + ZZS + P
49.8%
SDPS + JV + ZZS
49.7%
JV + AP! + ZZS + LRA
49.3%
JV + AP! + NA + LRA
49.2%
JV + AP! + JKP + P
48.5%
SDPS + JV + JKP
48.4%
SDPS + JV + P + LRA
48.3%
JV + AP! + JKP + LRA
48%
SDPS + AP! + ZZS
47.8%
JV + ZZS + NA + LRA
47.6%
JV + ZZS + JKP + P
46.9%
SDPS + AP! + JKP
46.5%
SDPS + AP! + P + LRA
46.4%
JV + ZZS + JKP + LRA
46.4%
JV + NA + JKP + LRA
46.3%
AP! + ZZS + NA + LRA
45.7%
AP! + ZZS + JKP + P
45%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SDPS
KPV
JKP
AP!
NA
ZZS
JV
LRA
LKS
P

Last election

The results of the last election from 06.10.2018
Seats
Party Percent Seats
SDPS 19.9% -3.1% 23 -1
KPV 14.3% 14.3% 16 16
JKP 13.7% 13% 16 16
AP! 12.1% 11.2% 13 13
Nacionālā Apvienība 11.1% -5.5% 13 -4
ZZS 10.0% -9.5% 11 -10
JV 6.7% -15.2% 8 -15
LRA 4.2% -2.5% 0 -8
LKS 3.2% 1.6% 0 0
Progresīvie 2.6% 2.6% 0 0
Sonstige 1.4% 0.4% 0 0
NSL 0.8% -6.1% 0 -7
In the last election of the 06.10.2018 100 representatives from 7 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2022.