Current Election Trend for Latvia

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Latvia, Nacionālā Apvienība is leading with 18%, followed by LPV with 14.6%, Jaunā Vienotība with 12%, Progresīvie with 11.2%, AS with 8.4%, ZZS with 7.6%, Stabilitātei! with 6.7%, SDPS with 6.1%, SV with 4.6%, LA with 3.4%, JKP with 1.7%, PLV with 1.4% and Par! with 1.3%. Other parties reach 3%.

On the rise: NA

+1.8 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: JV

-2.0 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Latvia is expected to take place in 2026.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 36.0% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
NA
18.0
LPV
14.6
JV
12.0
P
11.2
AS
8.4
ZZS
7.6
S!
6.7
S
6.1
SV
4.6
LA
3.4
JKP
1.7
PLV
1.4
Par!
1.3
Others
3.0

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 8 parties could enter parliament: Progresīvie reaches 13 MPs, SDPS reaches 7 MPs, ZZS reaches 9 MPs, Jaunā Vienotība reaches 14 MPs, AS reaches 10 MPs, Stabilitātei! reaches 8 MPs, Nacionālā Apvienība reaches 22 MPs and LPV reaches 17 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Latvia is 5%.

Majority from 51 MPs

To form a government, 51 of 100 MPs are required.
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + ZZS
58.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS + Stabilitātei!
57.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
56.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS
55.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
54.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + Jaunā Vienotība
53.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + Jaunā Vienotība + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
53.0%
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + ZZS + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + AS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
Jaunā Vienotība + Progresīvie + ZZS + Stabilitātei! + SDPS
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + ZZS
50.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + LPV + AS
49.0%
Nacionālā Apvienība + AS + ZZS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
LPV + Jaunā Vienotība + AS + Stabilitātei!
49.0%
100
Majority requires 51 seats
P
13
13%
S
7
7%
ZZS
9
9%
JV
14
14%
AS
10
10%
S!
8
8%
NA
22
22%
LPV
17
17%

Latest polls for Latvia

SKDS
· 3 weeks ago
3 weeks ago
Open Details
18
14.6
12
11.2
8.4
7.6
6.7
6.1
4.6
3.4
1.7
1.4
1.3
0.5
2.5
SKDS
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
16.2
14.2
14
11.5
8.9
8.1
8
6.1
3.8
3.5
1.6
1.1
0.8
0.2
SKDS
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
15.9
15.2
12.5
11.1
9.1
9.1
7.6
7
4
2.6
1.6
1.5
1.1
0.2
1.5

Latvia — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Latvia

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
Nacionālā Apvienība
LPV
Jaunā Vienotība
Progresīvie
AS
ZZS
Stabilitātei!
SDPS
SV
LA
JKP
PLV
Par!
Show more

Government and parliament

Egils Levits

Head of state

Krišjānis Kariņš

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 100
Government & opposition
Government : 42
Opposition : 58
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 10
Right-leaning parties : 84

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Latvia

Score Institute Accuracy Neutrality
77
1.5
ok
55
1.9
bad

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.