Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia, HDZ is leading with 32.2%, followed by SDP with 28.9%, Možemo! with 11.2%, Most with 7.4%, DP with 3.2%, HSU with 2.7%, DOMiNO with 1.9%, IDS with 1.9%, HSS with 1.7%, NPS with 1.7%, Centar with 1.2%, HNS with 1.2% and Hrvatski suverenisti with 1.2%. Other parties reach 3.6%.
On the rise: HDZ
+0.8 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: M
-1.1 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 40.4% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: Možemo! reaches 21 MPs, SDP reaches 55 MPs, HDZ reaches 61 MPs and Most reaches 14 MPs.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Croatia is 5% at the constituency level.
Majority from 76 MPs
To form a government, 76 of 151 MPs are required.
HDZ + SDP
SDP + Možemo!
HDZ + Most
151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
21
13.9%
SDP
55
36.4%
HDZ
61
40.4%
Most
14
9.3%
Latest polls for Croatia
Croatia — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Croatia
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDZ |
+0.8
|
-0.5
|
-2.4
|
+1.7
|
-2.2
|
| SDP |
-0.5
|
+1.6
|
+2.4
|
+5.1
|
+3.5
|
| Možemo! |
-1.1
|
+0.6
|
+0.6
|
-2.0
|
+2.1
|
| Most |
+0.2
|
-0.9
|
-0.5
|
-1.5
|
-0.6
|
| DP |
-0.4
|
+0.1
|
-0.7
|
-7.6
|
-6.4
|
| HSU |
-1.1
|
-0.4
|
+1.6
|
±0.0
|
+2.7
|
| IDS |
+0.1
|
+0.4
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
-0.3
|
| DOMiNO |
-0.1
|
-1.0
|
-0.5
|
±0.0
|
+1.9
|
| HSS |
±0.0
|
+0.3
|
+0.6
|
±0.0
|
+1.7
|
| NPS |
±0.0
|
+0.5
|
+0.7
|
±0.0
|
+1.7
|
| HNS |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
+1.2
|
| Hrvatski suverenisti |
±0.0
|
-0.4
|
-0.2
|
±0.0
|
+1.2
|
| Centar |
+0.1
|
-0.4
|
-0.9
|
±0.0
|
+1.2
|
What's happening in Croatia?
Croatia holds parliamentary polls amid PM-president rivalry
Croatia is holding polls marked by a bitter campaign between the present heads of state and government as candidates. The elections could determine whether the EU nation moves toward Moscow or remains pro-West.
DW.com
- 17.04.2024
Croatia: Opposition protesters call for early elections
Saturday's protests were prompted by the government's appointment of a new attorney general, whom the opposition accuse of complicity in corruption. Elections are due to be held this year, but a date has yet to be set.
DW.com
- 17.02.2024
Government and parliament
Andrej Plenković
Head of state
Andrej Plenković
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 151
Government & opposition
Government
: 75
Opposition
: 76
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 56
Right-leaning parties
: 86
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Croatia
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
73
|
?
|
low
| |
|
68
|
?
|
medium
| |
|
8
|
8.0
|
high
|
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.