Current Election Trend for Croatia

Who is leading the election trend?

In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia, HDZ is leading with 33.6%, followed by SDP with 26.9%, Možemo! with 10.8%, Most with 7.1%, DP with 3%, IDS with 2.9%, HSU with 2.3%, DOMiNO with 1.8%, Centar with 1.5%, Hrvatski suverenisti with 1.3%, HSLS with 1.1% and HSS with 1.1%. Other parties reach 6.6%.

On the rise: HDZ

+2.0 growth in the last 30 days

Trending down: SDP

-1.6 loss in the last 30 days

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.

Government might not stay in office

In the current election trend, the government parties receive 43.0% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
HDZ
33.6
SDP
26.9
M
10.8
Most
7.1
DP
3.0
IDS
2.9
HSU
2.3
DOM
1.8
CENTAR
1.5
HS
1.3
HSLS
1.1
HSS
1.1
Others
6.6

Coalitions

Who could enter parliament?

In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: Možemo! reaches 21 MPs, SDP reaches 52 MPs, HDZ reaches 65 MPs and Most reaches 13 MPs.

5% restrictive clause

The restrictive clause in Croatia is 5% at the constituency level.

Majority from 76 MPs

To form a government, 76 of 151 MPs are required.
HDZ + SDP
77.5%
HDZ + Most
51.7%
SDP + Možemo!
48.3%
151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
21
13.9%
SDP
52
34.4%
HDZ
65
43%
Most
13
8.6%

Latest polls for Croatia

Ipsos
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
33.6
26.6
11
3.1
3.1
15.6
2x1 Komunikacije
· 1 month ago
1 month ago
Open Details
33.3
28.1
9.6
7.4
2.7
2.3
1.9
1.8
1.5
1.3
1.1
1.1
7.9
Ipsos
· 2 months ago
2 months ago
Open Details
29.1
28.4
12
6.4
4.8
2.8
16.5

Croatia — National parliament voting intention

Parties in Croatia

Liberal
Socialist
Capitalist
Conservative

Election trend by party at a glance

Party 30 days 3 months 6 months 12 months Since election
HDZ
SDP
Možemo!
Most
DP
IDS
HSU
DOMiNO
Centar
Hrvatski suverenisti
HSS
HSLS
Show more

What's happening in Croatia?

Government and parliament

Andrej Plenković

Head of state

Andrej Plenković

Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament : 151
Government & opposition
Government : 75
Opposition : 76
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties : 56
Right-leaning parties : 86

Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Croatia

Score Institute Accuracy Deviation
73
?
low
69
?
medium
8
8.0
high

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.