Current Election Trend for Croatia
Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Croatia, HDZ is leading with 31.5%, followed by SDP with 27%, Možemo! with 12.6%, Most with 6.7%, DP with 3.1%, MSR NL with 3.1%, DOMiNO with 1.7%, IDS with 1.6%, PP with 1.6%, Centar with 1.2% and NPS with 1%. Other parties reach 8.9%.
On the rise: SDP
+2.0 growth in the last 30 days
Trending down: CENTAR
-0.7 loss in the last 30 days
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Croatia is expected to take place in 2028.
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 40.4% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 17.04.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 4 parties could enter parliament: Možemo! reaches 24 MPs, SDP reaches 53 MPs, HDZ reaches 61 MPs and Most reaches 13 MPs.
Electoral System
The Croatian Sabor has 151 seats. 140 are allocated in ten electoral districts based on proportional representation, eight seats are reserved for national minorities. Three additional seats are designated for Croats living abroad. The 5 percent threshold only applies to the regular electoral districts.
5% restrictive clause
The restrictive clause in Croatia is 5% at the constituency level.
Majority from 76 MPs
To form a government, 76 of 151 MPs are required.
HDZ + SDP
SDP + Možemo!
HDZ + Most
151
Majority requires 76 seats
M
24
15.9%
SDP
53
35.1%
HDZ
61
40.4%
Most
13
8.6%
Latest polls for Croatia
Parliamentary Election in Croatia 2024
17.04.2024
Parliamentary Election in Croatia 2020
05.07.2020
Croatia — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Croatia
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HDZ |
+1.5
|
-3.0
|
-0.1
|
-3.3
|
-2.9
|
| SDP |
+2.0
|
-0.1
|
-1.5
|
+0.6
|
+1.6
|
| Možemo! |
-0.1
|
+0.4
|
+1.9
|
+1.9
|
+3.5
|
| Most |
-0.4
|
-0.2
|
-0.4
|
-1.4
|
-1.3
|
| DP |
+0.3
|
+0.4
|
-0.3
|
-0.8
|
-6.5
|
| MSR NL |
+0.2
|
+0.9
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+3.1
|
| DOMiNO |
-0.5
|
-0.6
|
-0.5
|
-0.7
|
+1.7
|
| IDS |
+0.2
|
±0.0
|
-0.3
|
-0.1
|
-0.6
|
| PP |
±0.0
|
+0.5
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.6
|
| Centar |
-0.7
|
-0.4
|
-0.2
|
-0.9
|
+1.2
|
| NPS |
±0.0
|
-0.3
|
-0.7
|
±0.0
|
+1.0
|
Government and parliament
Andrej Plenković
Head of state
Andrej Plenković
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 151
Government & opposition
Government
: 75
Opposition
: 76
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 56
Right-leaning parties
: 86
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Croatia
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
70
|
?
|
medium
| |
|
67
|
?
|
low
| |
|
8
|
8.0
|
high
|
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.