Election trends and current polls for Croatia

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
HDZ
27%
-0.8
SDP
27.7%
-0.9
Most
4.2%
+0.5
ŽZ
2.1%
+0.2
BM365
1.4%
+0.3
IDS
1.7%
±0
P
2%
+0.5
HSS
1.8%
-0.5
HNS
1.4%
+0.1
DPMŠ
11.4%
+11.4
HS
1.1%
-0.1
NHR
1.1%
-1.1
Sonstige
17.1%
-9.6
Changes to last election from 08.11.2018
HDZ
-6.4
SDP
-5.5
Most
-9.3
ŽZ
-2.1
BM365
-1.9
IDS
-0.1
P
+2.0
HSS
+1.8
HNS
+1.4
DPMŠ
+11.4
HS
+1.1
NHR
+1.1
Political orientation
HDZ
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SDP
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Most
arrow_forward_ios
ŽZ
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BM365
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IDS
arrow_back_ios
P
zoom_out_map
HSS
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HNS
zoom_out_map
DPMŠ
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HS
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NHR
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Sabor
Promocija PLUS - 21.05.2020
HDZ
29.7%
-0.5
SDP
28.7%
+0.9
4.3%
+0.3
ŽZ
0.8%
-0.3
1%
-0.1
IDS
1.6%
-0.3
P
1.7%
+0.7
9.3%
-0.8
0.8%
+0.3
HNS
1.4%
-0.2
HS
0.6%
±0
HSS
2.2%
-0.5
NHR
0.6%
+0.1
17.3%
+1.5
Sabor
IPSOS PULS - 18.05.2020
HDZ
25.2%
-3.2
SDP
23.7%
-6.4
4.4%
+1.1
ŽZ
3%
+0.8
1.7%
±0
IDS
1.6%
+0.6
P
2.3%
±0
12.5%
±0
HNS
1.3%
+1.2
HSS
1.3%
-0.1
23%
+14.8
Sabor
2x1 Komunikacije - 18.05.2020
HDZ
26.1%
+1.9
SDP
30.7%
-4.3
3.9%
+0.5
ŽZ
1.2%
-0.7
IDS
2%
±0
12.5%
±0
0.9%
-1.3
HS
1.1%
±0
NHR
1.1%
-1.1
20.5%
+11.1
Sabor
Promocija PLUS - 18.05.2020
HDZ
29.9%
+1.5
SDP
27.4%
+0.4
4.1%
+0.3
ŽZ
1.6%
-0.3
1.4%
+0.3
IDS
1.5%
-0.3
P
1.5%
+0.3
9.2%
±0
0.8%
±0
HNS
1.3%
±0
HS
1.1%
+0.1
HSS
2.1%
-0.6
NHR
0.9%
±0
1%
±0
0.9%
±0
15.3%
-3.6
Sabor
IPSOS PULS - 18.05.2020
HDZ
27.9%
-0.5
SDP
23.2%
-6.9
5.1%
+1.8
ŽZ
1.3%
-0.9
1.1%
±0
IDS
2.6%
+1.6
P
2.8%
+0.5
10.5%
±0
HNS
1%
+0.9
HS
1.6%
-0.3
HSS
1.1%
-0.3
21.8%
+13.6
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
SDP + HDZ
82.7%
HDZ + DPMŠ
58%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 5%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
HDZ
SDP
Most
ŽZ
BM365
IDS
P
DPMŠ
HNS
HS
HSS
NHR
GLAS
NLMŠ
NLMK
START
Hrast
HKS
HDSSB
NH

Last election

The results of the last election from 08.11.2018
Seats
Party Percent Seats
HDZ 33.4% 33.4% 59 59
SDP 33.2% 33.2% 56 56
Most 13.5% 13.5% 19 19
Sonstige 7.7% 7.7% 8 8
IDS 1.8% 1.8% 3 3
BM 365 3.3% 3.3% 2 2
HDSSB 1.4% 1.4% 2 2
Živi zid 4.2% 4.2% 1 1
Naprijed Hrvatska! 1.5% 1.5% 1 1
In the last election of the 08.11.2018 149 representatives from 8 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2020.