Ireland: Latest election trends & polls

If this Sunday were a general election in Ireland, the parties would receive the following results: Sinn Féin 36%, Fine Gael 20.2%, Fianna Fáil 16.3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 4.5%, Social Democrats 3.7%, Labour Party 3.2%, Aontú 2.7% and Green Party 2.5%.

52.6% of the votes went to parties with a more left-wing orientation (center-left, left, far-left), 36.5% to parties with a more right-wing orientation (center-right, right, far-right).

The current government of Micheál Martin would achieve 43.8% of seats in parliament and thus lose its majority.

Latest election polls

Ireland Thinks

2 weeks ago

Behaviour and Attitudes

3 weeks ago

Ipsos MRBI

3 weeks ago

Red C

3 months ago

Red C

3 months ago

Possible coalitions

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party

54.9

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party

54.6

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party

54.0

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Labour Party

53.3

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Aontú

52.7

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Green Party

52.5

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Aontú

52.1

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Green Party

51.9

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú

51.8

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party

51.6

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú + Green Party

51.3

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú

51.2

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú + Green Party

51.0

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party

51.0

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party

50.4

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú + Green Party

50.4

Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party

49.8

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats

49.7

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party

49.1

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party

48.8

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú

48.5

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Green Party

48.3

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú

48.2

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party

48.2

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Green Party

48.0

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú

47.6

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Aontú

47.6

Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Green Party

47.4

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Green Party

47.4

Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Aontú

47.0

Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Green Party

46.8

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú + Green Party

46.8

Sinn Féin + Aontú + Green Party

46.2

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit

45.5

Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats

45.2

Development of the electoral trend

SF FF FG GP Lab SD S-PBP Aon Sonst. I IA RI

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.

The election trend takes into account the last polls of all institutes with election polls in the past 100 days. At least 2204 persons participated in these polls.