Ireland: Latest election trends & polls

The current political sentiment at a glance

PolitPro Election trend

SF
36.0
FG
20.2
FF
16.3
S-PBP
4.5
SD
3.7
Lab
3.2
Aon
2.7
GP
2.5
Sonst.
10.9
If this Sunday were a general election in Ireland, the parties would receive the following results: Sinn Féin 36%, Fine Gael 20.2%, Fianna Fáil 16.3%, Solidarity–People Before Profit 4.5%, Social Democrats 3.7%, Labour Party 3.2%, Aontú 2.7% and Green Party 2.5%.
52.6% of the votes went to parties with a more left-wing orientation (center-left, left, far-left), 36.5% to parties with a more right-wing orientation (center-right, right, far-right).
The current government of Micheál Martin would achieve 43.8% of seats in parliament and thus lose its majority.

Latest election polls

Possible coalitions

Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Labour Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Aontú
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Aontú
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party + Green Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Aontú
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party + Green Party
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Social Democrats
49.7
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Labour Party
49.1
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Labour Party
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Aontú
48.5
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit + Green Party
48.3
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Aontú
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Labour Party
48.2
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Aontú
47.6
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Aontú
Sinn Féin + Social Democrats + Green Party
47.4
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Labour Party + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Aontú
47.0
Sinn Féin + Labour Party + Green Party
46.8
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Aontú + Green Party
Sinn Féin + Aontú + Green Party
46.2
Sinn Féin + Solidarity–People Before Profit
45.5
Fine Gael + Fianna Fáil + Social Democrats
45.2

Development of the electoral trend

Things to know about the election trend

This is how the PolitPro election trend is calculated

The PolitPro AI calculates its own election trend from the latest election polls of leading opinion research institutes. The individual values are calculated from a weighted average of the polls. Thereby, time dependencies, i.e. how long ago a poll was asked, or the accuracy of the institutes are also taken into account. The PolitPro election trend therefore allows a quick overview of the different parliaments.
The election trend takes into account the last polls of all institutes with election polls in the past 100 days. At least 2204 persons participated in these polls.
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