Election trends and current polls for Ireland

PolitPro Election Trend

The current PolitPro election trend for the next parliamentary elections
SF
28.1%
-0.2
FF
16.1%
+1.3
FG
33.7%
+1
GP
6.1%
-0.7
Lab
3.7%
+0.7
SD
2.7%
±0
S-PBP
2.1%
-0.1
Aon
1%
±0
Sonstige
6.5%
-2
Changes to last election from 08.02.2020
SF
+3.6
FF
-6.1
FG
+12.8
GP
-1.0
Lab
-0.7
SD
-0.2
S-PBP
-0.5
Aon
-0.9
Political orientation
SF
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FF
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FG
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GP
nature
Lab
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SD
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S-PBP
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Aon
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The artificial intelligence (AI) of PolitPro analyzes and evaluates current election polls of leading opinion research institutes. In the election trend, it calculates an intelligently weighted average of the values of current Sunday questions. For the calculation always the last values of an institute are used, taking into account the time dependencies as well as different qualitative and quantitative weightings.

The aim of the AI is to get a quick and uncomplicated overview of current political trends.

The displayed change of values always refers to the period of the last 7 days.

Latest polls

Current Sunday questions from leading opinion research institutes
Dáil Éireann
Ireland Thinks - 25.05.2020
SF
27%
+7
FF
16%
-11
FG
36%
+14
GP
6%
-4
Lab
4%
-2
SD
3%
±0
2%
+1
6%
-5
Dáil Éireann
Red C - 09.05.2020
SF
27%
-1
FF
14%
-4
FG
35%
+1
GP
7%
+2
Lab
3%
±0
SD
3%
±0
2%
±0
Aon
1%
-1
8%
+3
Dáil Éireann
Red C - 25.03.2020
SF
28%
+4
FF
18%
-6
FG
34%
+13
GP
5%
-2
Lab
3%
-2
SD
3%
±0
2%
+1
Aon
2%
±0
5%
-10
Dáil Éireann
Behaviour and Attitudes - 10.03.2020
SF
35%
±0
FF
19%
-1
FG
21%
+3
GP
6%
±0
Lab
3%
±0
SD
1%
-1
3%
±0
Aon
0%
-1
12%
±0
Dáil Éireann
Behaviour and Attitudes - 25.02.2020
SF
35%
+16
FF
20%
-12
FG
18%
-2
GP
6%
-1
Lab
3%
-1
SD
2%
+1
3%
+1
Aon
1%
±0
12%
+1
Data source: EOPAOD

Coalition possibilities

Possible coalitions based on the current PolitPro election trend
Whole Parliament
FG + FF
53.2%
FG + GP + Lab + SD + Aon
50.5%
FG + GP + Lab + SD
49.4%
FG + GP + Lab + Aon
47.6%
SF + GP + Lab + SD + S-PBP + Aon
46.8%
FG + GP + Lab
46.5%
FG + GP + SD + Aon
46.5%
SF + GP + Lab + SD + S-PBP
45.7%
FG + GP + SD
45.4%

The coalitions are determined on the basis of a percentage distribution of seats of all parties represented in parliament. Possible overhang or compensation mandates are not taken into account.

The blocking clause is 0%.

Development of the election trend

The development of all parties since January 2018
SF
FF
FG
GP
Lab
SD
S-PBP
Aon
I
IA
RI

Last election

The results of the last election from 08.02.2020
Seats
Party Percent Seats
Sinn Féin 24.5% 10.7% 37 14
Fianna Fáil 22.2% -2.1% 37 -7
Fine Gael 20.9% -4.6% 35 -14
Independents 12.2% 0.5% 19 6
Green Party 7.1% 4.4% 12 10
Labour Party 4.4% -2.2% 6 -1
Social Democrats 2.9% -0.1% 6 3
Solidarity–People Before Profit 2.6% -1.3% 5 -1
Aontú 1.9% 1.9% 1 1
Independents 4 Change 0.4% -1.1% 1 -3
Sonstige 0.6% 0% 0 0
Renua Ireland 0.3% -1.9% 0 0
In the last election of the 08.02.2020 159 representatives from 10 parliamentary groups were elected to the parliament. The next election is scheduled for the year 2025.