Who is leading the election trend?
In the current election trend for the Parliamentary Election in Ireland, Fianna Fáil is leading with 21.9%, followed by Fine Gael with 20.8%, Sinn Féin with 19%, Independents with 13.2%, Social Democrats with 4.8%, Labour Party with 4.7%, Aontú with 3.9%, Independent Ireland with 3.6%, Green Party with 3% and Solidarity–People Before Profit with 2.8%. Other parties reach 2.3%.
Next election: 2029
The next parliamentary election in Ireland is expected to take place in 2029.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties receive 58.9% of the votes.
Development since the last election on 29.11.2024
What do the symbols mean?
Far left
Left-wing
Centre-left
Center
Centre-right
Right-wing
Far right
Transversal
Liberal politics
Environment & Climate
Animal Protection
Satire
Regional interests
Unknown
Coalitions
Who could enter parliament?
In the current election trend, 10 parties could enter parliament: Sinn Féin reaches 39 MPs, Solidarity–People Before Profit reaches 3 MPs, Social Democrats reaches 11 MPs, Labour Party reaches 11 MPs, Green Party reaches 1 MPs, Independents reaches 16 MPs, Aontú reaches 2 MPs, Fianna Fáil reaches 48 MPs, Fine Gael reaches 38 MPs and Independent Ireland reaches 4 MPs.
No restrictive clause
The restrictive clause is 0%.
Majority from 87 MPs
To form a government, 87 of 173 MPs are required.
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Independents
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Labour Party
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Social Democrats
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael + Independent Ireland
Fianna Fáil + Fine Gael
Fianna Fáil + Independents + Social Democrats + Labour Party
173
Majority requires 87 seats
SF
39
22.5%
S-PBP
3
1.7%
SD
11
6.4%
Lab
11
6.4%
GP
1
0.6%
I
16
9.2%
Aon
2
1.2%
FF
48
27.7%
FG
38
22%
II
4
2.3%
Latest polls for Ireland
Ireland — National parliament voting intention
Parties in Ireland
Election trend by party at a glance
| Party | 30 days | 3 months | 6 months | 12 months | Since election |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fianna Fáil |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+2.8
|
+5.1
|
±0.0
|
| Fine Gael |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-3.0
|
+0.4
|
±0.0
|
| Sinn Féin |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+1.0
|
-7.2
|
±0.0
|
| Independents |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Social Democrats |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.5
|
-1.0
|
±0.0
|
| Labour Party |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.7
|
+1.2
|
±0.0
|
| Aontú |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.3
|
-0.3
|
±0.0
|
| Independent Ireland |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-0.4
|
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
| Green Party |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
-1.0
|
-1.1
|
±0.0
|
| Solidarity–People Before Profit |
±0.0
|
±0.0
|
+0.2
|
+0.8
|
±0.0
|
What's happening in Ireland?
Biden arrives in Northern Ireland for peace deal anniversary
The Good Friday peace accord anniversary comes amid heightened tensions in Northern Ireland in the aftermath of Brexit. Meanwhile, Northern Ireland police said they found four suspected pipe bombs near Derry.
DW.com
- 11.04.2023
Sex Pistols star loses Eurovision bid to represent Ireland
Former Sex Pistols frontman John Lydon, better known as Johnny Rotten, failed in his bid to represent Ireland. He lost out to the band Wild Youth with their song "We Are One."
DW.com
- 04.02.2023
Government and parliament
Micheál Martin
Head of state
Micheál Martin
Head of government
Parties in parliament
Seats in parliament
: 174
Government & opposition
Government
: 102
Opposition
: 72
Political orientation
Left-leaning parties
: 65
Right-leaning parties
: 90
Most Reliable Polling Institutes in Ireland
| Score | Institute | Accuracy | Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
|
73
|
0.6
|
high
| |
|
70
|
0.7
|
medium
| |
|
67
|
1.7
|
low
| |
|
63
|
1.0
|
high
| |
|
60
|
?
|
medium
| |
| More Institutes |
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.